League of Ireland +2.5 goals thread

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  • Real ale Madrid
    The Cheeto God
    • Oct 2002
    • 4102

    #1

    League of Ireland +2.5 goals thread

    I'm going to start a tracker using this thread to see if I can make a profit with a €100 bank, backing 4 team over 2.5 goal accumulators in the League every week.

    Criteria is as follows:
    League games only.
    €10 per stake.
    4 team accumulator, minimum odds must be 11/1. ( odds will normally be higher )
    Looking for a 10% strike rate to break even!
    Need 1 win in the first 10 weeks or its over!

    Starting Bank €100.00
    Week 1 €10 +2.5 goals (bet365)

    Finn Harps v Cobh Ramblers 8/11
    Shelbourne v Athlone 23/20
    Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians 13/10
    Limerick v St. Pats 17/20

    €10 accumulator returns €158 (14.8/1)

    Some weeks there won't even be 4 games with more than 2 goals but the odds normally reflect this so hopefully any win at all will see a good return.

    Follow at your peril and sorry for starting a new thread but I always wanted to have a crack off something like this.
  • Real ale Madrid
    The Cheeto God
    • Oct 2002
    • 4102

    #2
    No luck last week.

    Finn Harps v Cobh Ramblers 8/11 (2-0)
    Shelbourne v Athlone 23/20 (1-3)
    Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians 13/10 (0-0)
    Limerick v St. Pats 17/20 (1-2)
    On to week 2

    Bank €90
    Week 2 €10 +2.5 goals (bet365)

    Sligo Rovers v Bray Wanderers 17/20
    Limerick v Dundalk 8/11
    Longford v St. Patricks Ath 5/4
    Athlone Town v Wexford Youths 23/20

    Accumulator Returns €154.50 (14.45/1)

    Comment

    • Real ale Madrid
      The Cheeto God
      • Oct 2002
      • 4102

      #3
      Few short of the jackpot on week 2.

      Originally posted by Real ale Madrid
      Sligo Rovers v Bray Wanderers 17/20 1-3
      Limerick v Dundalk 8/11 1-1
      Longford v St. Patricks Ath 5/4 2-2
      Athlone Town v Wexford Youths 23/20 0-1
      Onto week 3:

      Bank €80
      Week 3 €10 +2.5 goals accumulator (PP)

      Dundalk v Drogheda 8/11
      Galway United v Sligo Rovers 11/10
      Finn Harps v Athlone 11/8
      Shelbourne v Wexford Youths 5/4

      Accumulator Returns €193.83 (18.38/1)

      Comment

      • Real ale Madrid
        The Cheeto God
        • Oct 2002
        • 4102

        #4
        A fool and his money are easily parted.

        Originally posted by Real ale Madrid
        Dundalk v Drogheda 8/11 1-0
        Galway United v Sligo Rovers 11/10 0-1
        Finn Harps v Athlone 11/8 1-0
        Shelbourne v Wexford Youths 5/4 2-4
        Week 4:

        Bank €70

        Week 4 €10 +2.5 goals accumulator (b365)

        Bohemians v St. Patricks Ath 27/20
        Derry City v Bray Wanderers 21/20
        UCD v Waterford United 23/20
        Cobh Ramblers v Shelbourne 4/5

        Accumulator Returns €186.40 (17.64/1)

        Comment

        • TheBoss
          Stats Man
          • Oct 2005
          • 4826

          #5
          Seeing as this thread is about +2.5 goals, I thought I would check out percentage of games that were over/under 2.5 goals since the league split into 2 divisions in 1985, and here are the results: (Does not include default 3-0 wins, but the actual score in the game)

          2.5 Goals Games %
          Over 4,607 45%
          Under 5,529 55%
          LOI in Europe 1957-2023

          Comment

          • Real ale Madrid
            The Cheeto God
            • Oct 2002
            • 4102

            #6
            Originally posted by Real ale Madrid
            Bohemians v St. Patricks Ath 27/20 0-1
            Derry City v Bray Wanderers 21/20 0-0
            UCD v Waterford United 23/20 3-0
            Cobh Ramblers v Shelbourne 4/5 1-0
            Getting worse!

            Shouldn't even be going to the well tonight but sure going to have another go anyway.

            Week 5:

            Bank €60

            Week 5: +2.5 goals acca (Lads)

            Bray Wanderers v Shamrock Rovers EVENS
            Dundalk v Galway United 8/13
            Sligo Rovers v Bohemians 5/4
            Limerick v Derry City 6/5

            Accumulator returns €159.90 (€14.99/1)

            Comment

            • Real ale Madrid
              The Cheeto God
              • Oct 2002
              • 4102

              #7
              Originally posted by TheBoss
              Seeing as this thread is about +2.5 goals, I thought I would check out percentage of games that were over/under 2.5 goals since the league split into 2 divisions in 1985, and here are the results: (Does not include default 3-0 wins, but the actual score in the game)

              2.5 Goals Games %
              Over 4,607 45%
              Under 5,529 55%
              32/76 so far this season just over 42%

              Comment

              • nigel-harps1954
                Capped Player
                • Feb 2009
                • 14248

                #8
                Here's a tip. Stop backing Derry to score goals.
                https://linktr.ee/Boy.m5

                Comment

                • Real ale Madrid
                  The Cheeto God
                  • Oct 2002
                  • 4102

                  #9
                  Originally posted by nigel-harps1954
                  Here's a tip. Stop backing Derry to score goals.
                  LOL - yeah - but Limerick have played 4 home games this year - 3 have hit the 3 goal mark - the only exception being the Dundalk game that finished 1-1 - i think the 6/5 is fair enough and that game merits inclusion in the bet.

                  Comment

                  • nigel-harps1954
                    Capped Player
                    • Feb 2009
                    • 14248

                    #10
                    0-0 it is then!
                    https://linktr.ee/Boy.m5

                    Comment

                    • Real ale Madrid
                      The Cheeto God
                      • Oct 2002
                      • 4102

                      #11
                      Originally posted by nigel-harps1954
                      0-0 it is then!
                      at 0-2 at half time - I thought that one was in the bag! Sligo / Bohs was no good so it didn't matter anyway - another one bites the dust!

                      Comment

                      • nigel-harps1954
                        Capped Player
                        • Feb 2009
                        • 14248

                        #12
                        https://linktr.ee/Boy.m5

                        Comment

                        • Real ale Madrid
                          The Cheeto God
                          • Oct 2002
                          • 4102

                          #13
                          Bad case of the Monday blues:

                          Bray Wanderers v Shamrock Rovers EVENS 0-3
                          Dundalk v Galway United 8/13 3-0
                          Sligo Rovers v Bohemians 5/4 0-0
                          Limerick v Derry City 6/5 0-2
                          But Friday brings renewed sense of hopeless optimism

                          Week 6

                          Bank €50

                          +2.5 goals acca (b365)

                          St Patricks Athletic v Sligo Rovers 23/20
                          Limerick v Shamrock Rovers Evens
                          Athlone Town v Waterford United 43/40
                          UCD v Cobh Ramblers 4/5

                          Accumulator returns €160.60 (€15.06/1)

                          Comment

                          • Real ale Madrid
                            The Cheeto God
                            • Oct 2002
                            • 4102

                            #14
                            St Patricks Athletic v Sligo Rovers 23/20 3-0
                            Limerick v Shamrock Rovers Evens 1-1
                            Athlone Town v Waterford United 43/40 1-0
                            UCD v Cobh Ramblers 4/5 1-1
                            Week 7

                            Bank €40

                            +2.5 goals acca (b365)

                            Cabinteely v Finn Harps 27/20
                            Waterford v Wexford Yths 21/20
                            Dundalk v Bray 4/9
                            Bohemians v Cork City 7/5

                            Accumulator returns €167.00 (15.70 / 1 )

                            Comment

                            • Real ale Madrid
                              The Cheeto God
                              • Oct 2002
                              • 4102

                              #15
                              Cabinteely v Finn Harps 27/20 1-1
                              Waterford v Wexford Yths 21/20 1-4
                              Dundalk v Bray 4/9 8-1
                              Bohemians v Cork City 7/5 1-1
                              Week 8

                              Bank €30

                              +2.5 goals acca (Lads)

                              Wexford v Cobh 3/5
                              Longford v Dundalk 5/6
                              Drogheda v Bray 10/11
                              Derry v Galway 11/10

                              Accumulator returns €117.60 (10.76/1)

                              Comment

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