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Thread: TheCursed Value Bet Thread

  1. #241
    Stats Man TheBoss's Avatar
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    Is this thread beginning to lift the curse

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    International Prospect bennocelt's Avatar
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    Do you think we should all lump our winnings on Luca Toni winning next seasons Golden Boot, im sure he would be a lovely price?

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    Seasoned Pro Raheny Red's Avatar
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    Here's my value bet.

    Shelbourne -V- Limerick


    Once again I'm siding with the opposition. I think the 11/2 on Limerick is over priced and got them at 6.6 and 7.2 on Betfair. They have hit a nice bit of form lately while Shels haven't been at the races since we finished up before the break. IMO Limerick should be closer to 4s and I have feeling they may just sneak something from Tolka Park tonight. They've brought in a shed load of players recently which can only help their very young squad. The prices were too good for me to ignore...
    Who Cares?!

  4. #244
    International Prospect bennocelt's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raheny Red View Post
    Here's my value bet.

    Shelbourne -V- Limerick


    Once again I'm siding with the opposition. I think the 11/2 on Limerick is over priced and got them at 6.6 and 7.2 on Betfair. They have hit a nice bit of form lately while Shels haven't been at the races since we finished up before the break. IMO Limerick should be closer to 4s and I have feeling they may just sneak something from Tolka Park tonight. They've brought in a shed load of players recently which can only help their very young squad. The prices were too good for me to ignore...

    wowowowowow, Excellent. take a bow

  5. #245
    Stats Man TheBoss's Avatar
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    See, the thread is starting to deliver

  6. #246
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    Not sure how deep the malaise at waterford is..... 'da yoof' at 12/5 to beat them at home (boyles) may be worth a few quid.... ?

  7. #247
    International Prospect DmanDmythDledge's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bholg View Post
    Not sure how deep the malaise at waterford is..... 'da yoof' at 12/5 to beat them at home (boyles) may be worth a few quid.... ?
    They will have a full squad at the weekend, apparantly. Don't know what their situation with injuries/suspensions is like.

  8. #248
    Apprentice The Scientist's Avatar
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    after accumulating a nice profit from Bohs and Zagrab this week.

    what about throwing ur winnings on FC Copenhagen tonight?? again 2/5

    Corks odds are tempting at even money

    Banker for the weekend is the GAAAAAAAAAAA

    WATERFORD (HURLING)
    DUBLIN (FOOTBALL)
    ARMAGH (FOOTBALL) 1.31/1

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    International Prospect bennocelt's Avatar
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    as i said before 2/5 isn't a tip. How much do you recommend putting on this tip, a few hundred maybe for the working man!!!


    888 sport are giving 2/1 for Cork City

    i got FC Nordsjaelland to win away at 1.66 (not great i know) but treble it up with something

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    International Prospect bennocelt's Avatar
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    I'm in a good mood now, so feck it I backed Mooney to score 2+ goals at 13-1 with PP

    (Dunne at 15/2 for A/T scorer?????)

  11. #251
    Stats Man TheBoss's Avatar
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    The form Mooney is on, I would not bet against it. I would assume that Cork will play a 4-5-1 leaving Mooney up there as the lone striker, so if Cork are to score, it will be Mooney.

  12. #252
    First Team lofty9's Avatar
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    Derry tonight 6/4 vs Bohs is an excellent bet.

    Fenlon has a shocking record at the Brandywell as manager.

    found this - this guy's knowledge ain't too bad. I see he tipped Pat's last night too.

    http://www.betshoot.com/betting-prev...hemians-Dublin
    As Irishmen we dilute our sense of nation by depending on the English to bring us our balls

  13. #253
    Seasoned Pro Raheny Red's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bennocelt View Post
    as i said before 2/5 isn't a tip.
    So at what price does a selection become a tip
    Who Cares?!

  14. #254
    Stats Man TheBoss's Avatar
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    A tip is generally a team that is not favorite and their odds are too big.

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    International Prospect bennocelt's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raheny Red View Post
    So at what price does a selection become a tip
    A tip is value for money.
    The point is will I get value for my money? Putting 50 quid to win 20 is too big of a risk. Sure you will win, and win a few times but what if you lose? Trust me, you only have to lose a few of those kind of bets to wipe out anything you would have won in the first few bets.
    for example, backing rangers all season will not win you a bagful of money

  16. #256
    Seasoned Pro Raheny Red's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bennocelt View Post
    A tip is value for money.
    The point is will I get value for my money? Putting 50 quid to win 20 is too big of a risk. Sure you will win, and win a few times but what if you lose? Trust me, you only have to lose a few of those kind of bets to wipe out anything you would have won in the first few bets.
    for example, backing rangers all season will not win you a bagful of money
    But just because a selection may be odds on doesn't mean it's not value.
    Who Cares?!

  17. #257
    Stats Man TheBoss's Avatar
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    If you bet in the 100s or 1000s that it maybe value.

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    International Prospect bennocelt's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raheny Red View Post
    But just because a selection may be odds on doesn't mean it's not value.

    Most top class tipsters will always tell you never to back anything less than 4 or 5/1 (at least in horse racing anyway)

    I remember I had won about 600 on a few football matches, was 100 each on 6 games, all about evens. I won 6/6, but if i had lost one or two it wouldn't have been a good day. So with my winnings + 200 (800) i lumped it on Rangers to beat Dunfermline away at rubbish odds (2/5 maybe!). Surely rangers would win against the bottom team. 1-1 was the score!!!! high risk

  19. #259
    Banned Rovers fan's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bennocelt View Post
    Most top class tipsters will always tell you never to back anything less than 4 or 5/1 (at least in horse racing anyway)

    I remember I had won about 600 on a few football matches, was 100 each on 6 games, all about evens. I won 6/6, but if i had lost one or two it wouldn't have been a good day. So with my winnings + 200 (800) i lumped it on Rangers to beat Dunfermline away at rubbish odds (2/5 maybe!). Surely rangers would win against the bottom team. 1-1 was the score!!!! high risk
    No,most top class tipsters will tell you not to shy away from odds on favourites.

  20. #260
    International Prospect bennocelt's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rovers fan View Post
    No,most top class tipsters will tell you not to shy away from odds on favourites.
    no thats not true

    you have to look at the value bets

    again, and again this all goes down to how much you are willing to put on a 11/10, etc.
    is 50 euro good, 100, 200, or how about 1000? thats a big risk, and not a good tip

    you know we are not all Jp's around here!!!

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