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Thread: League of Ireland +2.5 goals thread

  1. #1
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    League of Ireland +2.5 goals thread

    I'm going to start a tracker using this thread to see if I can make a profit with a 100 bank, backing 4 team over 2.5 goal accumulators in the League every week.

    Criteria is as follows:
    League games only.
    10 per stake.
    4 team accumulator, minimum odds must be 11/1. ( odds will normally be higher )
    Looking for a 10% strike rate to break even!
    Need 1 win in the first 10 weeks or its over!

    Starting Bank 100.00
    Week 1 10 +2.5 goals (bet365)

    Finn Harps v Cobh Ramblers 8/11
    Shelbourne v Athlone 23/20
    Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians 13/10
    Limerick v St. Pats 17/20

    10 accumulator returns 158 (14.8/1)

    Some weeks there won't even be 4 games with more than 2 goals but the odds normally reflect this so hopefully any win at all will see a good return.

    Follow at your peril and sorry for starting a new thread but I always wanted to have a crack off something like this.

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  3. #2
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    No luck last week.

    Finn Harps v Cobh Ramblers 8/11 (2-0)
    Shelbourne v Athlone 23/20 (1-3)
    Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians 13/10 (0-0)
    Limerick v St. Pats 17/20 (1-2)
    On to week 2

    Bank 90
    Week 2 10 +2.5 goals (bet365)

    Sligo Rovers v Bray Wanderers 17/20
    Limerick v Dundalk 8/11
    Longford v St. Patricks Ath 5/4
    Athlone Town v Wexford Youths 23/20

    Accumulator Returns 154.50 (14.45/1)

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    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Few short of the jackpot on week 2.

    Quote Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid View Post
    Sligo Rovers v Bray Wanderers 17/20 1-3
    Limerick v Dundalk 8/11 1-1
    Longford v St. Patricks Ath 5/4 2-2
    Athlone Town v Wexford Youths 23/20 0-1
    Onto week 3:

    Bank 80
    Week 3 10 +2.5 goals accumulator (PP)

    Dundalk v Drogheda 8/11
    Galway United v Sligo Rovers 11/10
    Finn Harps v Athlone 11/8
    Shelbourne v Wexford Youths 5/4

    Accumulator Returns 193.83 (18.38/1)

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    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    A fool and his money are easily parted.

    Quote Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid View Post
    Dundalk v Drogheda 8/11 1-0
    Galway United v Sligo Rovers 11/10 0-1
    Finn Harps v Athlone 11/8 1-0
    Shelbourne v Wexford Youths 5/4 2-4
    Week 4:

    Bank 70

    Week 4 10 +2.5 goals accumulator (b365)

    Bohemians v St. Patricks Ath 27/20
    Derry City v Bray Wanderers 21/20
    UCD v Waterford United 23/20
    Cobh Ramblers v Shelbourne 4/5

    Accumulator Returns 186.40 (17.64/1)

  6. #5
    Stats Man TheBoss's Avatar
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    Seeing as this thread is about +2.5 goals, I thought I would check out percentage of games that were over/under 2.5 goals since the league split into 2 divisions in 1985, and here are the results: (Does not include default 3-0 wins, but the actual score in the game)

    2.5 Goals Games %
    Over 4,607 45%
    Under 5,529 55%

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  8. #6
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid View Post
    Bohemians v St. Patricks Ath 27/20 0-1
    Derry City v Bray Wanderers 21/20 0-0
    UCD v Waterford United 23/20 3-0
    Cobh Ramblers v Shelbourne 4/5 1-0
    Getting worse!

    Shouldn't even be going to the well tonight but sure going to have another go anyway.

    Week 5:

    Bank 60

    Week 5: +2.5 goals acca (Lads)

    Bray Wanderers v Shamrock Rovers EVENS
    Dundalk v Galway United 8/13
    Sligo Rovers v Bohemians 5/4
    Limerick v Derry City 6/5

    Accumulator returns 159.90 (14.99/1)

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    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheBoss View Post
    Seeing as this thread is about +2.5 goals, I thought I would check out percentage of games that were over/under 2.5 goals since the league split into 2 divisions in 1985, and here are the results: (Does not include default 3-0 wins, but the actual score in the game)

    2.5 Goals Games %
    Over 4,607 45%
    Under 5,529 55%
    32/76 so far this season just over 42%

  10. #8
    Capped Player nigel-harps1954's Avatar
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    Here's a tip. Stop backing Derry to score goals.

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    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nigel-harps1954 View Post
    Here's a tip. Stop backing Derry to score goals.
    LOL - yeah - but Limerick have played 4 home games this year - 3 have hit the 3 goal mark - the only exception being the Dundalk game that finished 1-1 - i think the 6/5 is fair enough and that game merits inclusion in the bet.

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    Capped Player nigel-harps1954's Avatar
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    0-0 it is then!

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    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nigel-harps1954 View Post
    0-0 it is then!
    at 0-2 at half time - I thought that one was in the bag! Sligo / Bohs was no good so it didn't matter anyway - another one bites the dust!

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    Capped Player nigel-harps1954's Avatar
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    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Bad case of the Monday blues:

    Bray Wanderers v Shamrock Rovers EVENS 0-3
    Dundalk v Galway United 8/13 3-0
    Sligo Rovers v Bohemians 5/4 0-0
    Limerick v Derry City 6/5 0-2
    But Friday brings renewed sense of hopeless optimism

    Week 6

    Bank 50

    +2.5 goals acca (b365)

    St Patricks Athletic v Sligo Rovers 23/20
    Limerick v Shamrock Rovers Evens
    Athlone Town v Waterford United 43/40
    UCD v Cobh Ramblers 4/5

    Accumulator returns 160.60 (15.06/1)

  16. #14
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    St Patricks Athletic v Sligo Rovers 23/20 3-0
    Limerick v Shamrock Rovers Evens 1-1
    Athlone Town v Waterford United 43/40 1-0
    UCD v Cobh Ramblers 4/5 1-1
    Week 7

    Bank €40

    +2.5 goals acca (b365)

    Cabinteely v Finn Harps 27/20
    Waterford v Wexford Yths 21/20
    Dundalk v Bray 4/9
    Bohemians v Cork City 7/5

    Accumulator returns €167.00 (15.70 / 1 )

  17. #15
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Cabinteely v Finn Harps 27/20 1-1
    Waterford v Wexford Yths 21/20 1-4
    Dundalk v Bray 4/9 8-1
    Bohemians v Cork City 7/5 1-1
    Week 8

    Bank €30

    +2.5 goals acca (Lads)

    Wexford v Cobh 3/5
    Longford v Dundalk 5/6
    Drogheda v Bray 10/11
    Derry v Galway 11/10

    Accumulator returns €117.60 (10.76/1)

  18. #16
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid View Post
    Wexford v Cobh 3/5 1-0
    Longford v Dundalk 5/6 0-2
    Drogheda v Bray 10/11 4-2
    Derry v Galway 11/10 0-2
    Week 9

    Bank €20

    +2.5 acca (b365)

    Dundalk v Derry City 17/20
    Galway United v Bohemians 43/40
    Waterford United v Cabinteely 21/20
    UCD v Wexford Youths 43/40

    Accumulator returns €163.20 (15.32/1)

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  20. #17
    Capped Player nigel-harps1954's Avatar
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    Waterford v cabo to let you down there, I'd almost bet your house on less than 2.5.

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    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nigel-harps1954 View Post
    Waterford v cabo to let you down there, I'd almost bet your house on less than 2.5.
    2-1 at half time. First night Roderick effect

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    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid View Post

    Dundalk v Derry City 17/20 1-0
    Galway United v Bohemians 43/40 5-3
    Waterford United v Cabinteely 21/20 3-1
    UCD v Wexford Youths 43/40 4-1
    T'was the night to do it. Was full sure Dundalk would hammer Derry

  23. #20
    Capped Player nigel-harps1954's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid View Post
    2-1 at half time. First night Roderick effect
    I obviously meant to say Dundalk v Derry.

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