Never like to disappoint!
Personally, I'm not sure how this will pan out, but insofar as it has an effect, I suspect it will help NI's playing pool overall.
In terms of losing players (effectively to ROI), experience of Gibson and Wilson etc suggests that allegiances are tested, approaches made and switches confirmed by the time players are in their late teens, or 20/21.
Also, because we have the smallest playing pool of the 5 home countries, we tend to tie players at a younger age (i.e. by awarding caps) than most countries. Fair enough, there
might be the odd "sleeper" who fails to break into the NI team whilst young, who might be of interest in later years to ROI, but these are likely to be v.few indeed.
On the other hand, I feel we can benefit from this by gaining 1st/2nd generation players from England/Scotland who might eg have played under-age football for the country of their birth, but end up being not quite good enough to gain full caps. In which case, the chance of an international career in their 20's with NI might just tempt a few?
As a matter of principle, however, if I'm going to be consistent on this, I have to say it is an unwelcome development. For I consider playing for your country is a privilege not a right, determined primarily by your place of birth. Therefore since you cannot choose where you are born(!), you should not be allowed to "choose" which country you play for - your country should choose you.
Consequently, I fear that this will facilitate that minority of players who, when it comes to choosing which country they play for, are more motivated by mercenary considerations than by feelings of national pride etc.
To take a non-Irish example, I suspect there will be French-born players of North African descent who are quite happy to play for the country of their birth up the age-groups who, when they find they are not quite good enough to play for the senior French team regularly, will suddenly "rediscover" their Algerian or Moroccan heritage.
Or, at least, their Agents will discover it for them...

Bookmarks