Tour de France spoiler alert.
I couldn't help thinking of this thread and whole debate today when I saw Froome pull out of the Tour after only a few stages. Team SKY is perceived as one of the slickest, smoothest, best organised and most methodically planned outfits in any sport. I have some doubts but anyway, I think the perception is largely correct. But after only 4 days the Tour favourite is out and unless Richie Porte can step up (he is a super climber) their Tour is goosed earlier than England's World Cup. Now, if Rooney, or Gerrard for that matter, was 3 inches taller I reckon England would have made the last 16. That's not to say England's football architecture and plumbing isn't all wrong.
But let's not overlook just how capricious sport can be. All the analysis in the world can't explain the role tiny things can do. If David Silva had taken a routine chance to make it 2-0 Holland may have been heading for the exit early.
My point is that planning and organisation is probably a necessary but certainly an insufficient ingredient in determining success. Planning, organisation, structures, governance etc can improve your chances but raw luck is often the essential factor. As osarusan(?) said above many doubt that Belgium's success is really down to their NGB. Even those who laud the NGB's role openly accept that raw luck was a factor in this generation coming together.
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