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they were pretty clueless, they spent a good 2-3 mins wondering why Mourinho would be at a Ukraine v Spain game, "when Costa was never likely to feature" - they obviously didn't realise that Chelsea's next CL game is against Dinamo Kiev.Quote:
Originally Posted by zero
Looks like a question from a maths A level exam paper that you know you are gonna get zero marks for!! ;)Quote:
Originally Posted by davidatrb
Isn't penalties a very likely option? Ie like a 1-0 win v Germany and 2-1 defeat to Poland giving a 2-2 draw?
In that situation would we qualify on away goals?
On the betting one bookie has it a a coin flip (5/6 v 5/6) for qualification, another goes 5/4 yes 4/7 no, another 1/1 yes 8/11 no.
But they also went 6-1 and 7-1 to beat Germany so not a great guide.
What's this about? The award for our support? I assume you're joking...?Quote:
Originally Posted by eekers
Nah. Let's just say that play-off draw then, was pre-destined, as some recompense for Paris...
Turkey v Iceland (Draw) - It will either be a draw or Turkey win but feel latter will just happen, 40% ChanceQuote:
Originally Posted by Littlest Hobo
Cyprus v Bosnia (Home win) - Possible but think a draw is more likely, 35% Chance
Malta v Croatia (Away win) - A certain banker, 98% Chance
Italy v Norway (Home win or draw) - Highly likely, 75% Chance
Ukraine Sweden Denmark are already in the play off draw and seeded ahead of us
Slovenia are in the play off draw and unseeded.
Afaiu, we need 2 of these three outcomes to happen in order that we take the 4th seeded spot.
Norway to finish third
Turkey draw
Bosnia to commit suicide + Israel to get a result in Belgium
There is still a live chance that Turkey can secure the best 3rd spot with space to spare, therefore they will be all out for victory.
From rte.ieQuote:
Originally Posted by geysir
Ireland will be banking on a series of results to fall their way in tonight’s Euro 2016 qualifiers that could result in Martin O’Neill’s men being seeded for the play-off draw in Nyon next Sunday.
If Norway fail to beat Italy, Croatia overcome Malta, Bosnia lose to Cyprus and Turkey draw with Iceland the knock-on effect on the coefficent rankings system will elevate Ireland to seeded status and give them a very welcome boost ahead of the draw.
So we need a hat-trick not a brace :) we would need all three group outcomes to go our way. And only one of them (Norway) has a reasonable favoured chance to happen.
Quote:
Originally Posted by geysir
Well cyprus beat Bosnia in bosnia....so it gives us some hope that something can happen there
Add in if Cyprus win they have a massive chance to qualify for the playoffs
I would say if we are unseeded which is likely that 50-50 chance of qualifying sounds about right.
You have to remember that we beat Denmark 4-0 last time we played them and they recently were annihialated at home by Armenia (0-4).
Bosnia as we have reminded ourselves this week were beaten by both Cyprus and Israel in this campaign. Last time we played them, we beat them too. They were in the playoffs for the last Euros as well, and were wiped out by Portugal in the away leg (6-2).
Sweden look like they could be half useful, but only half. Their stats aren't anything to be afraid of, they haven't beaten a top 10 team in 4 years. Last time we played, they beat us 2-1 in Lansdowne, but I think now, if we meet again that we would be favourite over two legs or at least 50-50 chance.
Ukraine look the most useful but then they let Slovakia beat them at home and qualify ahead of them. Slovakia aren't great.
They will all look at Ireland as the World Champion beaters and we WILL be the one to avoid in the unseeded teams (although you could make a case for Turkey too).
We are all in the play-offs together for a reason, they all failed to make the grade just like us.
My preference - Denmark or Sweden.
A Bosnia draw and (very unlikely) Israel victory over Belgium would suit us, wouldn't it? It'd mean Israel would enter the play-offs but wouldn't propel them ahead of us in terms of co-efficient points, if I'm reading everything correctly.
Bosnia 1up after 15 minsQuote:
Originally Posted by DannyInvincible
Balls. Need two from Cyprus now with no reply really.
Netherlands 0-1 down so looking unlikely to make it to the play-offs.
Norway beating Italy 1-0; not good. Croatia 1-0 up versus Malta.
Fantastic; 1-1 in Cyprus. Another will do and hopefully Italy will sort their act out.
Cyprus equalised.
Netherlands 0-2 down, so can kiss their hopes goodbye.
Holland 0 Czechs 2
Czechs 2 up
Pretty obvious that Iceland have shattered Holland's spirit.
Good night Netherlands. 2 down. What a fall from grace.
Goal Cyprus 2-1
Yessssssssssssssss...Cyprus 2 Bosnia 1
Current status is we are still not seeded due to Norway winning in Italy bringing Croatia to the play offs. A goal for Italy and I think we're seeded
Cyprus 2-1 up. Yes!
So Italy don't need to win - just draw?
(And other results to stay the same of course)
Czechs down to 10 men; urgh...
Just Italy we need to score one or more without reply.Quote:
Originally Posted by pineapple stu
Bosnia goal 2-2
bosnia have equalised 2-2
Bah, Bosnia have equalised; 2-2.
If by some travesty Turkey end up as seeded, they would be a dream play off opponent for us.
Struggling to see how?Quote:
Originally Posted by geysir
Why are you struggling to see how?Quote:
Originally Posted by elroy
I don't see us going to Turkey looking for a result as a 'dream' scenario by anyone's standards.Quote:
Originally Posted by geysir
Quote:
Originally Posted by geysir
Away to Istanbul for startQuote:
Originally Posted by geysir
Would much prefer Denmark, or even Bosnia or Sweden
At HT the seeds are Ukraine, Sweden, Croatia, and Bosnia.
come on italy... croatia are probably the strongest team in the mix.
You haven't seen them play, yet you are struggling to see how they would be a dream pairing?Quote:
Originally Posted by elroy
Home venue doesn't do that much for Turkey, they happen to play better away.