PDA

View Full Version : Cheltenham festival 2010



De Town
15/03/2010, 9:30 PM
So who does everyone fancy for the festival races?

Dunguib (1.30pm) is an obvious one, and I fancy him to win myself. Won't be having a bet til just before the race I don't think. Some bookies have gone evens about him this evening, would be happy enough to take that price tomorrow. If he doesn't win though, then there'll be a lot of people's wallets with massive holes in them I think.

Go Native (3.20pm) is another big fancy of mine, really expect him to win the Champion Hurdle. His cruising speed is very good and his turn of foot is exceptional. He has Cheltenham form as well after winning the Supreme Novices last year, so the hill shouldn't be a problem for him.

Will probably have 2 nice singles and a hefty enough double on those two, with small enough bets in 1 or 2 of the other races, most notibly Somersby (2.05pm) and Razor Royale (2.40pm).

Real ale Madrid
16/03/2010, 7:14 AM
After getting burned on some supposed dead certs last year I'm staying away from the lower priced horses this year.

I'd be surprised if Dunguib doesn't win tho, got buckets of class - but he's never really raced against the English horses before so that along with his dodgy jumping makes me want to avoid backing him really, esp at evens or worse. It's very open after that. Flat out could be good e/w at 18/1.

I've gone for Medermit in the champion hurdle - very open race mind you and you could make a case for a lot of them. 3/1 about Go native is far too low given that Medermit would have beaten him in last years supreme novices but for having no luck in running - Medermit is 3 times the price, and Starluck nearly caught him on the line at Kempton at Christmas and Starluck is 4 times his price. Pity Solwhit scoped dirty last week cos I really fancied him. Hard to back him now.

I Fancy Ogee in the William Hill - won a grade 1 over hurdles last year - not sure if any other horse has done that in the race. nice e/w price 11/1. Bensalem is the one to beat tho.

Could be some day for the Irish if things go as planned. could easily win 5 out of the 6 races. Lets hope that happens.

Good luck if you bet.

Den Perry
16/03/2010, 10:59 AM
After getting burned on some supposed dead certs last year I'm staying away from the lower priced horses this year.

I'd be surprised if Dunguib doesn't win tho, got buckets of class - but he's never really raced against the English horses before so that along with his dodgy jumping makes me want to avoid backing him really, esp at evens or worse. It's very open after that. Flat out could be good e/w at 18/1.

I've gone for Medermit in the champion hurdle - very open race mind you and you could make a case for a lot of them. 3/1 about Go native is far too low given that Medermit would have beaten him in last years supreme novices but for having no luck in running - Medermit is 3 times the price, and Starluck nearly caught him on the line at Kempton at Christmas and Starluck is 4 times his price. Pity Solwhit scoped dirty last week cos I really fancied him. Hard to back him now.

I Fancy Ogee in the William Hill - won a grade 1 over hurdles last year - not sure if any other horse has done that in the race. nice e/w price 11/1. Bensalem is the one to beat tho.

Could be some day for the Irish if things go as planned. could easily win 5 out of the 6 races. Lets hope that happens.

Good luck if you bet.

I agree with De Town in that its hard to look past Dunguib, but there is no value there

I'm going each way Lucky 15 on the following today

Dan Breen(danger
Sizing Europe(danger Riverside Theatre)
Ogee(danger bensalem) - can't make me mind up here but will definitely go with one of the 7 yr olds
Punjabi

Berst of luck!!!

bennocelt
16/03/2010, 11:10 AM
Yeah Dunquib looks good, here's hoping he doesnt make a mistake on a fence as he can
Others I like for the day................Sports Line, Razor Royale, Go Native, Garde Champetre (Nina again?) and Quenega (a banker in the last for Ruby?)
Feel it will be a good festival for Willie Mullins and P Brennan, and Ruby of course!

Might I suggest a tv programme tonight that RTe are showing following Paul Nolan called Race Horses - well worth a watch. Im currently watching it now, via the web and it gives a great insight into the world of horse racing. Its from the BBC Storyville series, and despite what RTE might say it aint an RTE show!!!!

the 12 th man
16/03/2010, 11:20 AM
1.30 Dunguib (win),Flat Out (E/W)
2.05 Sizing Europe (win),Sports Line (E/W)
2.40-------------------
3.20 Go Native (win),Zaynar (E/W)
4.00-------------------
4.40 Zarinava (E/W)

I just hope the Irish horses cope with the quicker ground as at home it's been very soft all year.

Real ale Madrid
16/03/2010, 2:51 PM
anyone else broke already :)

Magicme
16/03/2010, 2:53 PM
Any tips for tomorrow?

the 12 th man
16/03/2010, 2:58 PM
anyone else broke already :)


Going to give the cross country a miss,I'm going to back Voller La Vidette (win) in the last as well |as Zarinava (E/W)

Dillonman
16/03/2010, 6:20 PM
Any tips for tomorrow?

Was about to ask the same Magicme, Doctor Deejay at eachway is a hot tip I got, I quite fancy Deutschland in the 4pm race. Remeber Paddy power pays out on first 5 places for the 4pm race tomorrow.

bennocelt
17/03/2010, 9:23 AM
Thank god for Ruby, saved me on the last so I will have some money for today..............
Nina gave a very bad ride, but then the ground was too good for her, much prefer a mucky day perhaps, and her brother wasn't too better - maybe time to call it a day?
I would reckon a good few Irish punters would have had Seizing Europe and Binocular - so a mixed day for the Irish punters.
The racing was quite good though, and I think today there is much better value going................

Synchronised
Rite Of Passage
Citizen Viv
Masterminded (a Ruby banker)
Lake Legend
Doctor Deejay
Al Ferof

Dillonman
17/03/2010, 10:30 AM
Yesterday killed me, the ones I backed to win finished second and the ones i backed each way finished nowhere....grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr

Went with the following today:

Massasiot
Quel Esprit
Burton Port
Kalahari King
Deutschland
Doctor Deejay win and e/w
Made in Time e/w

the 12 th man
17/03/2010, 10:33 AM
1.30 -
2.05 Rite Of Passage (win),Summit Meeting (E/W)
2.40 Long Run (Win)
3.20 Twist Magic (E/W)
4.00 Deutschland (Win),On Raglan Road (E/W)
4.40-
5.15 Day Of A Lifetime (E/W),Hidden Universe (E/W)

Sam_Heggy
17/03/2010, 11:15 AM
1.30 - Any Currency
2.05 - Ghizao
2.40 - Diamond Harry
3.20 - Master Minded
4.00 - Lake Legend
4.40 - Bothy
5.15 - Al Ferof


Punchestowns in the 2.40 is also hard to look past.

EDIT: Synchronised now a non-runner in 1.30, changed to Any Currency.

Real ale Madrid
17/03/2010, 11:28 AM
Struggling after yesterday - and always wary of any races sponsored by a bookmaker.

Think Finians Rainbow and Khalahari King are going to be my main bets today, small ones. with covers on the fav's.

I think James De Vassey has a chance in the Coral (ffs) cup at 20/1 ran 4th to Khyber Kim in the greatwood and that looks like decent form now albeit giving a lot of weight away. Worth the e/w with 5 places on offer from most bookies.

bennocelt
17/03/2010, 12:29 PM
1.30 - Any Currency


EDIT: Synchronised now a non-runner in 1.30, changed to Any Currency.


Same - changed to Poker De Sivola;)

De Town
17/03/2010, 4:34 PM
Had a good day myself with Big Zeb and Sanctuaire winning, and Burton Port and Frawley placing. Needed that after a bad day yesterday! Just worked out my totals and I'm up €1.26 overall!

the 12 th man
17/03/2010, 6:08 PM
Cleaned out today,ah well tomorrow's another day.

Dillonman
17/03/2010, 6:22 PM
Any tips for tomorrow lads? I broke even the past two days, losta lot yesterday and won alot today. plenty of last minute/spur of the moment bets got me a few returns today!:)

Real ale Madrid
17/03/2010, 7:25 PM
Absolutely cleaned out - backed 2 donkeys, 4 nags and a three legged rocking horse.

Still God loves a trier - if i broke even from here on in id be happy.

Fair play if you backed a winner or two today. That bumper horse beat all 40/1 - you could hear a pin drop there.

bennocelt
17/03/2010, 11:04 PM
Another Walsh saved me today - this time Kate, wow what a great ride she gave Poker de S
The other Walsh - Ruby - was all over the place today, jeez
Barry Geraty was awesome, and good to see a Westmeath horse up there taking the honours:good:
Another great day of racing, and I think a good few Irish punters would have gone with O Leary's horse and Big Zeb
Just about breaking even myself
so onto tomorrow..................

Fiendish Flame
Erzen
Tranquil Sea
Big Bucks
Tarotino
NoStringsAttached
:D

De Town
17/03/2010, 11:21 PM
1.30 China Rock 9/1
2.05 Buena Vista 20/1
2.40 Deep Purple 25/1
3.20 War of Attrition 33/1
4.00 The Sawyer 18/1
4.40 Imoncloudnine 16/1

All done e/w with Bet365, where they're paying out enhanced places in a lot of races.

The Sawyer is an old favourite of mine and I expect him to give a very good account of himself tomorrow, good claimer on board too. Buena Vista and Deep Purple are 2 others I fancy strongly. War of Attrition should give a good run as usual. The other 2 are shots to nothing really.

Good Luck to all with their bets!

Sam_Heggy
18/03/2010, 9:55 AM
Well yesterday was a wash out :(

Today, money is firmly in pocket except for a novelty bet on my old friend War Of Attrition :)

1.30 - China Rock
2.05 - Alfie Sherrin
2.40 - Planet of Sound
3.20 - War Of Attrition
4.00 - In Compliance
4.40 - Galant Nuit
5.15 - Watergate

It really should be a good day for Ruby Walsh with Rivaliste, Alfie Sherrin, Poquelin and Big Bucks all starting as favourites.

joeSoap
18/03/2010, 12:11 PM
Big Bucks will not be beaten in the World Hurdle. Not a snowballs chance in hell. The value in the race is Powerstation. He has placed in this race twice before at big odds, and is currently 40/1. Well worth an each way bet. Alternatively, you can back him at 20/1 without Big Bucks in Ladbrokes. Its the bet of the week lads...pile in!!

the 12 th man
18/03/2010, 12:45 PM
Very hard to find them today,

2.05 Boolavogue,Cross Kennon (both E/W)
2.40 Tranquil Sea (Win),Voy Pur Estedes (E/W)
3.20 Cousin Vinny, War Of Attrition (both E/W)
4.00 Jayo,Made In Taipan (both E/W).

De Town
18/03/2010, 12:48 PM
1.30 China Rock 9/1

Not a bad start :) Came 4th so make a few quid :)

the 12 th man
18/03/2010, 12:59 PM
[QUOTE=De Town;1335544]Not a bad start :) Came 4th so make a few quid :)[/QUOTE

It would have been interesting if he had been given a bit more of a defensive ride as he kicked on plenty early.

De Town
18/03/2010, 1:16 PM
1.30 China Rock 9/1
2.05 Buena Vista 20/1

Great start to the day! :D

Den Perry
18/03/2010, 1:35 PM
Great start to the day! :D

sorry about the "afters" but did
2.05 Cross Kennin
2.40 Barbers Shop
3.20 War of Attrition
4.00 From Dawn till Dusk

all in an ew lucky 15

Well done de Town - did you do an ew accum or what?

De Town
18/03/2010, 1:35 PM
Well done de Town - did you do an ew accum or what?
Nope just all e/w singles. Happy days!

the 12 th man
18/03/2010, 1:39 PM
:coins::coins:
Nope just all e/w singles. Happy days!

Well done:)

Sam_Heggy
18/03/2010, 2:35 PM
Big Bucks will not be beaten in the World Hurdle. Not a snowballs chance in hell. The value in the race is Powerstation. He has placed in this race twice before at big odds, and is currently 40/1. Well worth an each way bet. Alternatively, you can back him at 20/1 without Big Bucks in Ladbrokes. Its the bet of the week lads...pile in!!

Great shout, came in third at 33/1.

joeSoap
18/03/2010, 2:44 PM
Had him at 40/1 this morning, and ante-post at 80's 66's and 50's. Nice touch. I know a few of the lads in the syndicate. He's a super little horse and never runs a bad one in Cheltenham.

Real ale Madrid
18/03/2010, 3:23 PM
Had him at 40/1 this morning, and ante-post at 80's 66's and 50's. Nice touch. I know a few of the lads in the syndicate. He's a super little horse and never runs a bad one in Cheltenham.

Excellent stuff - nice to hear of someone with a good winner. congrats.

Prices today aside from Big Bucks - 12s , 16s , 14s and 18 to 1. Very difficult.

I gave up after Smokin Aces at 2.05. Watching for the rest of the week. If I was betting id throw a bit e/w on Hello Bud in the last.

Den Perry
18/03/2010, 3:40 PM
Great stuff, well done. Wish I'd listened to you!!

I'll goy Boychuck ew in the 4.40

bennocelt
19/03/2010, 9:44 AM
Just about breaking even myself................
Hope McCoy does not have another fall today - jeez, what a brave rider

here are my selections for today................
Ruprestrian
Rock Noir
Fionnegas
Tricky Trickster (e.w)
Trust Fund
Balthazar King
Youre the top

De Town
19/03/2010, 9:55 AM
1.30 Pittoni 16/1
2.05 Puyol 14/1
2.40 Silver Kate 18/1
3.20 Denman 9/2
4.00 Dun Doire 12/1
4.40 On Borrowed Wings 20/1
5.15 Pigeon Island 33/1

All done e/w with Bet365 to small stakes. Most races they're paying out enhanced places, which is good.

Denman is a bigger e/w bet than the others, think he'll definitely be placed and I fancy him to give Kauto a very very good run for his money tbh.

Got told about 2 weeks ago to look out for Dun Doire on the Friday in Cheltenham, won it's last 2 races and could run into a place tomorrow imo.

the 12 th man
19/03/2010, 10:13 AM
1.30 Westlin Winds,Gilded Age (both E/W)
2.05 Noble Prince,Eradicate (both E/W)
2.40 Quel Espirit,Shinrock Paddy (both E/W)
3.20 Denman (Win) Cooldine (Place)
4.00 -----
4.40------
5.15 Free World (win), Pigeon Island (E/W)

Good luck to all today.

Real ale Madrid
19/03/2010, 10:41 AM
Can't not have a few bets on Gold cup day.......

Going for Alavain and Oldrick in the first two. If they come in - all the winnings going on Kauto Star. Otherwise i'll just be listening in.

1e lucky 15 on the following as well

1.30 Olofi 11/1
2.05 Dee Ee Williams 25/1
4.00 Chestnut Annie 22/1
4.40 Fairyland 14/1

Den Perry
19/03/2010, 12:59 PM
Sorry for the "afters" again...

1.30 Barizan ew
2.05 Arcalis ew
2.40 Premier Victory ew
4.40 Radium ew

all in an ew lucky 15 and accum....thought I was gonna be off to a great start!!

tricky_colour
19/03/2010, 2:26 PM
Come on Denman!!

tricky_colour
19/03/2010, 2:27 PM
Imperial looks good

tricky_colour
19/03/2010, 2:29 PM
I hate racing!!!

De Town
19/03/2010, 7:44 PM
1.30 Pittoni 16/1
2.05 Puyol 14/1
2.40 Silver Kate 18/1
3.20 Denman 9/2
4.00 Dun Doire 12/1
4.40 On Borrowed Wings 20/1
5.15 Pigeon Island 33/1

All done e/w with Bet365 to small stakes. Most races they're paying out enhanced places, which is good.
Denman got me some place money, but the real thanks must go to Pigeon Island who came from the clouds to win the last! Especially after I had a nice lump on Kauto just before the race. Pigeon Island really saved my bacon! :D

Den Perry
19/03/2010, 9:26 PM
Sorry for the "afters" again...

1.30 Barizan ew
2.05 Arcalis ew
2.40 Premier Victory ew
4.40 Radium ew

all in an ew lucky 15 and accum....thought I was gonna be off to a great start!!

I am sick as a parrot!!

had Barizan at 16/1 - he had actually run when I posted my bet above
Arcalis at 40/1
Radium at 14/1

Premier Victory let me down for the ew part of the accum - would have paid 6,237.(for a fiver ew) Got the ew treble on the lucky 15 treble up all right. Am sick!! that would have been my biggest ever win!!!