Originally Posted by
Real ale Madrid
After getting burned on some supposed dead certs last year I'm staying away from the lower priced horses this year.
I'd be surprised if Dunguib doesn't win tho, got buckets of class - but he's never really raced against the English horses before so that along with his dodgy jumping makes me want to avoid backing him really, esp at evens or worse. It's very open after that. Flat out could be good e/w at 18/1.
I've gone for Medermit in the champion hurdle - very open race mind you and you could make a case for a lot of them. 3/1 about Go native is far too low given that Medermit would have beaten him in last years supreme novices but for having no luck in running - Medermit is 3 times the price, and Starluck nearly caught him on the line at Kempton at Christmas and Starluck is 4 times his price. Pity Solwhit scoped dirty last week cos I really fancied him. Hard to back him now.
I Fancy Ogee in the William Hill - won a grade 1 over hurdles last year - not sure if any other horse has done that in the race. nice e/w price 11/1. Bensalem is the one to beat tho.
Could be some day for the Irish if things go as planned. could easily win 5 out of the 6 races. Lets hope that happens.
Good luck if you bet.
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