
Originally Posted by
backtowalsall
Teams in a large population centre (like Galway or Limerick) might have current problems, but at least they have the potential to one day pull in a crowd over 10,000. But given the populations of towns like Sligo, Dundalk, and especially Ballybofey, we can be sure that such a crowd will NEVER show up there. Whilst it might seem unfair to teams achieving fine results on the field to cherry pick sides, it is a financial reality that if this country is to have a league that isn't to continue to fester, and is to have some degree of success in Europe, that cherry picking must happen. The alternative is to carry on as we are, watch more sides go to the wall and stand by as apartments and a TESCO are built on top of their grounds, before realising what has to happen and getting a worse deal in 10 years.
It has to make sense to look at successful formats in other European nations of similar populations.
Serbia - 7,780,000 - 12 teams x 3 meetings per season
Bulgaria - 7,621,337 - 16 teams x 2 meetings per season
Switzerland - 7,301,994 - 10 teams
Ireland - 5,962,000 - ????????
Slovakia - 5,422,366 - 12 teams x 3 meetings per season
Denmark - 5,368,854 - 12 teams x 3 meetings per season
Finland - 5,302,545 - 14 teams x 2 meetings per season
Georgia - 4,960,951 - 12 teams
Norway - 4,743,193 - 14 teams x 2 meetings per season
Croatia - 4,490,751 - 12 teams x 3 meetings per season
LOI has a lower co-efficient than all these league, bar Georgia, which is dominated by one team, and I would suspect Dinamo Tiblisi (who have won 13of the 19 championships played since independence) would expect to progress against any LOI side. As putting all Ireland's eggs in a single Dublin side basket isn't practical, I would conclude the only way to improve the standard is a proposal at least similar to the P1 proposal.
The Georgian league also used to have 16 teams, but reduced this to 14. Croatia also experimented with 16 teams in the 90's, but reverted to 12 after a single season. Slovakia meanwhile used to have 10, but recently expanded this to 12.
To me this suggests 10 is too few, and leads to boredom from playing the same other nine side’s week after week. 16 however leads to boredom from playing poor quality sides every other week, and slices the cake to many ways in a country of our size.
This leaves a number between 12-14. Given our situation of having a concentration of teams around Dublin, the most comparable model to my eyes in the list above is Norway, which has 6 teams in or around Oslo. The Norwegian league has also recently achieved the kind of improvement we seek for Ireland. Perhaps one day we can see a Linfield or Cork City playing in the group stages of the Champions League as Rosenberg have done.
Following the Norwegian model would also have the benefits of making a straight forward home and away season possible, without confusing potential new customers to Irish football with games played on neutral venues as part or the league, or splitting the league into championship and relegation groups.
I would include the 10 teams suggested by P1 (Derry City, Cork City, Bohemians, Drogheda Utd, Limerick 37, Glentoran, Linfield, Galway Utd, St Patrick's Athletic and Shamrock Rovers). I would also include...
- Longford Town, as the 10 leave the midlands completely without representation
- Portadown, as there is a high population in the Portadown-Lurgan area with a strong football tradition
- Belfast/Donegal Celtic if there is any truth in the story about a new stadium in west Belfast backed by Peter Curiston
- the winners of a play-off competition open to all Irish League and LOI teams not already chosen.
I believe such a league would give football a real bounce when it started, and could hold interest in the longer term. I would play it from March - August so as not to compete directly with the EPL Premier League, and to give Ireland’s sides the advantage of being at their sharpest at the early stages of the European competitions.
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