I actually think its one of the poorest 2nd group stage lineups in recent years as most of the groups seem to be foregone conclusions already so thats probably why the 1/4 finals look like they going to be full of big clubs.
I wouldn't be surprised if the italians came back & won it - they have 3 very strong sides & their style of play (defending in depth away from home) is more suited to knockout football (go for win in every game) than group stages.
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