Cheltenham Festival

**drummerboy** · 15/03/2006, 8:34 AM

Got a tip for Central House in the 3.15. 7/1 any views

**Ozymandias** · 15/03/2006, 9:08 AM

good horse once the jockey knows where the line is.....will take a good run to beat kato star.......mate of mine in cheltenham said that moscow flyer looked great on the gallops over there somaybe just maybe

**padzer** · 15/03/2006, 9:36 AM

Yesterday i had a �10 on Native Jack at 11/2 and i did the free bet in the Star - a �1 placepot - it returned �1,564. Fcukin Luv it. Sorted for the week now.

**drinkfeckarse** · 15/03/2006, 9:48 AM

Originally Posted by Ozymandias

good horse once the jockey knows where the line is.....will take a good run to beat kato star.......mate of mine in cheltenham said that moscow flyer looked great on the gallops over there somaybe just maybe

I'd quite happily take a loss in that race if Flyer wins it.

**finlma** · 15/03/2006, 9:56 AM

My tip for today is an e/w on Fundamentalist in the 3:15. Can be got for 25/1. Has definite potential.

I'm probably not worth listening to though as i didn't have a single winner yesterday.

**beautifulrock** · 15/03/2006, 11:50 AM

refinement in the first, Witicha linesman in the last

**Dodge** · 15/03/2006, 11:59 AM

Originally Posted by drinkfeckarse

I'd quite happily take a loss in that race if Flyer wins it.

Amazing how many feel this way. Agreat great horse.

Anyway here's todays early selections;

2.00 - Denman win.
2.35 - Commercial Flyer win
3.15 - Dempsey e/w (also like Watson Lake e/w)
4.00 - 2 miles west e/w
4.40 - Underwriter e/w
5.20 - Equus Maximus win

**Soko** · 15/03/2006, 12:03 PM

Originally Posted by Dodge

Amazing how many feel this way. Agreat great horse.

Anyway here's todays early selections;

2.00 - Denman win.
2.35 - Commercial Flyer win
3.15 - Dempsey e/w (also like Watson Lake e/w)
4.00 - 2 miles west e/w
4.40 - Underwriter e/w
5.20 - Equus Maximus win

I like most of those but Fota Island in the 3.15, just one of those horses that has always pulled it out for me and Liberthine in the 4.40. I haven't got anything for the 4.00 so might leave that off if Denman doesn't win.

**Rory H** · 15/03/2006, 12:31 PM

sorry to pm mate but dont pass this on

my racing syndicate told me about Denman bein a cert for today

odds are **** but we got �3000 on it at 6/4 two days ago

seriously mate, put a decent wager on it

only sayin cos you picked it already but i def got the nod on it

i got this earlier ,im thinking....fiver

**drummerboy** · 15/03/2006, 12:35 PM

3.15: Stats can play a very big part in this race as it eliminates quite a few, firstly it was 1977 since the last 12 year old won this race so that puts big doubts on Moscow Flyer. It was 1973 since the last 6 year old won this race so that puts big doubts on Kauto Star. 17/21 have won at the festival or been placed at worst so that puts another cross to Kauto Star. The other stat that totally bowls Kauto Star over is that 21 from the last 22 have won over further than two mile of have won over course and distance previously which Kauto Star hasn�t done. The other two main stats are that 23 of the last 24 have come from the first three in the betting and 14 from the last 15 have saw the horses being rated 160 plus. So considering all those stats the only one left if Fota Island as he won at the festival last year, has won over further and he�s in the first three in the betting

**Soko** · 15/03/2006, 1:11 PM

Denman beaten pretty easily into second by Nicanor, great ride by Carberry and he won well. The bookies cleaned up on that one so they wont be too defensive for the day.

**macdermesser** · 15/03/2006, 1:49 PM

Another favourite loses..

I think betting in-play is the only way to go .. I lost on Commercial Flyer, but backed the winner at 2.5 somewhere near the end of the race ... ("watching" it on betfair) so it covered my losses.

**drummerboy** · 15/03/2006, 1:50 PM

great day for the bookies

**Soko** · 15/03/2006, 1:53 PM

Originally Posted by macdermesser

Another favourite loses..

I think betting in-play is the only way to go .. I lost on Commercial Flyer, but backed the winner at 2.5 somewhere near the end of the race ... ("watching" it on betfair) so it covered my losses.

But did you actually watch the race? 2 fell at the second last. I'd be far more inclined to lay horses from watching the race than back them.

**macdermesser** · 15/03/2006, 2:01 PM

Originally Posted by Soko

But did you actually watch the race? 2 fell at the second last. I'd be far more inclined to lay horses from watching the race than back them.

in work so can't stick the race up on the screen (if I could even find a live link),

this will sound daft, but watching the inplay prices on betfair during the race ... when a horse goes to 1000 then its obviously fallen.. and usually there are two or three horses at around odds of 2 to 6 near the end of the race... sort of narrows everything down. Not exactly going to be rich with this method, but I've been backing the wrong horses before every race up to now.

**Clifford** · 15/03/2006, 2:19 PM

Nicanor and Darkness for me so far in my yankee, looking for Fota Island and my buddy Colman Sweeney to come good to make me quids in.

Come onnnnnn AP....

**finlma** · 15/03/2006, 2:33 PM

The bookies are having a field day today.

As for me - not a single winner for the festival. Think I'll cut my losses and stop.

**Dodge** · 15/03/2006, 2:40 PM

At least thelay of Kauto star made me something (even if it brought down Dempsey)

**drinkfeckarse** · 15/03/2006, 3:01 PM

Need a winner out of Skys The Limit, Underwriter or Equus Maximus to get something back otherwise it's a day of total losses. Resigned to my fate now....