Page 4 of 4 FirstFirst ... 234
Results 61 to 67 of 67

Thread: Republic of Ireland v Armenia - Tuesday, 14th October 2025 - 2026 World Cup Qualifier

  1. #61
    Seasoned Pro EalingGreen's Avatar
    Joined
    Aug 2006
    Posts
    3,647
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    219
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    398
    Thanked in
    305 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by backstothewall View Post
    The guy who prompted the discussion was Ethan Galbraith, who looked exactly like those guys at a time
    Know nothing about those other ROI prospects, but Ethan's career development is a very interesting one. He was extremely highly thought of when he went to Man U as a teenager, and Ian Baraclough gave him his debut in a friendly vs Luxembourg when he was 18 i.e. before he'd ever played for MU. Indeed Bara even gushed that Ethan was "Northern Ireland's very own Andres Iniesta or Xavi", which at the time seemed just a tad optimistic, to say the least!
    In fact he never got to play for MU's 1st team and after a couple of underwhelming loans to Doncaster and Salford, when he picked up only another couple of caps, he was released to sign for Orient, under Richie Wellens, who'd previously managed him at Donny.
    Turns out he did extremely well at Orient, getting him a move to Swansea, where he's continued to thrive, while now establishing himself with NI under Michael O'Neill. (He was quite superb vs Germany last week, I'd go so far as to say he actually ran the midfield for a period in the second half, he was that good).

    What might this mean for ROI? I'd say three things.
    1. It's not enough just to have talent, it has to be developed properly, ideally by a manager who "gets" the player;
    2. Unless a complete prodigy (eg Norman Whiteside), young players need to play themselves into international football - minimum of 10 caps before they know anything, often 20 or 30 before they even start to perform consistently, esp in a lower ranked team;
    3. Management at international level is crucial, far more than at club level, where the whole set-up has to be right. I actually think Baraclough was decent enough, but he took over a team where the backbone had retired after Euro2016, and had to rely on too many youngsters before they were ready. (He might have got away with the best one or two, esp if introduced into a strong team, but he had no choice but to pick half a dozen at a time, in a struggling team).

    Which is where Michael O'Neill stepped in. With his experience and nous, he's now building a very decent team, largely based round the players whom Bara had blooded a couple of years previously, with a lot of them in the early-to-mid 20's, but with terrific experience eg Shea Charles (21 y.o/31 caps), Trai Hume (23/25), Danny Ballard (26/29), Ali McCann (25/33), Brodie Spencer (21/13) and of course, Conor Bradley (22/28). And if his most regular gk has been Peacock-Farrell, 52 caps aged 28, Michael is clearly grooming Pierce Charles for the role, a 20 y.o., who would have had more than 8 caps so far but for injury. Anyhow, this is all reflected in the fact that one of the teams he picked earlier this year was the youngest NI team since 1945 - and they won!

    When you consider the majority of those players are at the same or lower level than their ROI counterparts, the difference in performances and results cannot really be accounted for eg by wrong formations, poor tactics or substitutions, bad luck, injuries, overlooking possible alternative players, not trusting youth, or not moving Nathan Collins into midfield!

    The bigger picture surely suggests that your current struggles are down to management failings over a prolonged period. That is, O'Neill/Keane had "lost it" by their final few games; Kenny never really had it; O'Shea is out of his depth, even as caretaker; and even if HH has what it takes (can't see it myself), then he has to be given time to turn round 5+ years of decline before he ever took over.
    The problem there being that even if he got it (he won't), it risks many of the present squad becoming completely disillusioned and falling out of the reckoning before results began to turn around.
    So that he, or more likely his successor, would be faced with having to start again pretty much from scratch, relying (like Bara/Michael) on new/young players, who may or may not have what it takes.
    Which realistically means that unless you chance upon eg a Jack Charlton or a Michael O'Neill who can come in and hit the ground running, then turning things round will take time, with your share of setbacks along the way.

    Either that or a United Ireland team

  2. #62
    Seasoned Pro ifk101's Avatar
    Joined
    May 2003
    Posts
    3,936
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    138
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    609
    Thanked in
    393 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by EalingGreen View Post
    When you consider the majority of those players are at the same or lower level than their ROI counterparts, the difference in performances and results cannot really be accounted for eg by wrong formations, poor tactics or substitutions, bad luck, injuries, overlooking possible alternative players, not trusting youth, or not moving Nathan Collins into midfield!
    In terms of results, not much difference. If we assume all games played by both teams in 2025 were competitive, we’d have 12 points from 8 games and you would have 11 from your 8 games – our lost away to Armenia is the huge black mark in our 2025 results and the reason HH is nearly out the door. Our performances in 2025 have been acceptable to terrible, can’t comment on your performances (except for the Sweden game).

    Quote Originally Posted by EalingGreen View Post
    Either that or a United Ireland team
    Not sure if all your mercenaries would be eligible to play for that team. But anyways congratulations on qualifying for the WC and best of luck in the US!

  3. #63
    Seasoned Pro EalingGreen's Avatar
    Joined
    Aug 2006
    Posts
    3,647
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    219
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    398
    Thanked in
    305 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by ifk101 View Post
    In terms of results, not much difference. If we assume all games played by both teams in 2025 were competitive, we’d have 12 points from 8 games and you would have 11 from your 8 games – our lost away to Armenia is the huge black mark in our 2025 results and the reason HH is nearly out the door. Our performances in 2025 have been acceptable to terrible, can’t comment on your performances (except for the Sweden game).
    Would you rather your team was playing like ROI, or like NI?
    Facts are, we have a promising young team who should only get better under a top manager, whereas your team is floundering under a manager who seems out of his depth. Such that we still have an (admittedly) outside chance of qualifying for WC2026, while you're ship has surely sailed.

    I know which I'd rather have.

    Quote Originally Posted by ifk101 View Post
    Not sure if all your mercenaries would be eligible to play for that team. But anyways congratulations on qualifying for the WC and best of luck in the US!
    Pretty sure they all would (parents born in NI etc, or grandparents eligible for an Irish passport). Either way, each one is clearly hugely proud to play for our team, which is all that matters to me.

    As for USA, I'm not really expecting it, but when it comes to Euro2028, I don't think we'll have needed Casement Park in order to take part, I'm confident we'll do it the right way!

  4. #64
    Seasoned Pro ifk101's Avatar
    Joined
    May 2003
    Posts
    3,936
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    138
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    609
    Thanked in
    393 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by EalingGreen View Post
    Would you rather your team was playing like ROI, or like NI?
    Facts are, we have a promising young team who should only get better under a top manager, whereas your team is floundering under a manager who seems out of his depth. Such that we still have an (admittedly) outside chance of qualifying for WC2026, while you're ship has surely sailed.

    I know which I'd rather have.
    Only seen the Sweden game, so can't fully comment. Thought ye had qualified already, sorry. Yes, our boat has sailed - don't see us picking up more points from here.

    Quote Originally Posted by EalingGreen View Post
    Pretty sure they all would (parents born in NI etc, or grandparents eligible for an Irish passport). Either way, each one is clearly hugely proud to play for their team, which is all that matters to me.
    Fixed that for you.

    Quote Originally Posted by EalingGreen View Post
    As for USA, I'm not really expecting it, but when it comes to Euro2028, I don't think we'll have needed Casement Park in order to take part, I'm confident we'll do it the right way!
    Good luck!

  5. #65
    Seasoned Pro EalingGreen's Avatar
    Joined
    Aug 2006
    Posts
    3,647
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    219
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    398
    Thanked in
    305 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by ifk101 View Post
    Only seen the Sweden game, so can't fully comment. Thought ye had qualified already, sorry. Yes, our boat has sailed - don't see us picking up more points from here.
    Primarily down to Isak and Elanga etc having a bit of a blinder, that Sweden game was an outlier:
    "It was a harsh lesson for a Northern Ireland side missing several key players, with the average age of Michael O'Neill's starting team just 22.6 years old - the joint-second youngest for the country since 1946."
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/live/clyremk47gpt

    And an outlier not just for NI:
    "Struggling Sweden sack manager Tomasson"
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football...s/clyl5906qnzo

    Quote Originally Posted by ifk101 View Post
    Fixed that for you.
    "Their team", "our team", who cares, it's the Northern Ireland team and as the song goes: "It's all the same to me!"

    Quote Originally Posted by ifk101 View Post
    Good luck!
    Thank you.

  6. #66
    Seasoned Pro
    Joined
    Feb 2019
    Posts
    2,538
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    20
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    1,105
    Thanked in
    690 Posts
    Quote Originally Posted by EalingGreen View Post
    Would you rather your team was playing like ROI, or like NI?
    Such that we still have an (admittedly) outside chance of qualifying for WC2026, while you're ship has surely sailed.
    I honestly think the likelihood of either side qualifying is pretty low and not that different. Both sides know if they lose their next game, they’re as good as gone. Both sides ultimately need to go away to a second seed and get a result. NI’s games are easier but they could theoretically win both their games and still come third. Probably both teams have maybe a 1 in 10 shot of making the playoffs and from that a 1 in 5 shot or less to make it through the playoffs, so you end up with maybe a 2% shot on either side making the World Cup, maybe it ends up at 1.6% and 2.3% or whatever but really it’s not a huge difference.

    *was only factoring in qualification via the group playoffs, not the NL path, where you'd say NI are very very likely to enter.
    Last edited by elatedscum; 20/10/2025 at 5:46 PM.

  7. #67
    Seasoned Pro
    Joined
    Feb 2019
    Posts
    2,538
    Thanks Thanks Given 
    20
    Thanks Thanks Received 
    1,105
    Thanked in
    690 Posts
    As an aside, has anyone seen the San Marino situation? Where they might need to ensure they lose by a certain number of goals to make the playoffs.

    1) Basically Romania are ahead of them in NL standings but Bosnia are behind them. They're currently 6th in the ranking and they need to be 4th, so for example if Romania and Northern Ireland qualified directly then San Marino would make the playoff. Romania are currently 3 points behind Bosnia - they play against each other and Bosnia play against the group leader. Romania's other group game is against San Marino, so it's very possible that San Marino could go into it knowing they need to lose or knowing it could come down to goal difference and they need to lose by at least 2 goals more than Bosnia win by (in the scenario where Romania beat Bosnia), or maybe lose by 4 goals more than than Bosnia lose by (in the scenario where it's a draw).

    2) There's a secondary situation where teams like Romania, Bosnia, North Macedonia, Wales, Northern Ireland etc. could actually be incentivised to lose to go via the NL Playoff where they might face teams like Moldova and San Marino rather than teams like Italy and Hungary. Currently Wales are guaranteed to make one of the playoffs - they're 3 points behind Macedonia with a game in hand in the group and they also are guaranteed the NL path. Macedonia are almost certain to take Wales place if they come third. So you could end up on the last day of qualification with teams trying to decide whether they want to win or lose based on their prospective playoff paths.

Page 4 of 4 FirstFirst ... 234

Similar Threads

  1. Replies: 392
    Last Post: 19/10/2025, 8:58 PM
  2. Replies: 383
    Last Post: 19/10/2025, 8:55 PM
  3. Replies: 113
    Last Post: 12/10/2025, 5:19 PM
  4. Replies: 369
    Last Post: 13/09/2016, 8:46 AM
  5. Replies: 483
    Last Post: 13/09/2016, 8:23 AM

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •