Eloratings has Senegal at 1771, around the same as Hungary or Scotland, so while better than us they're not unbeatable. We're 1609 on the same site, and that gap corresponds to an expected score for us of about 29%. Luxembourg are 1445, so almost the same gap, just in our favour, and an expected score of about 72%. So on average, we should win almost exactly 1 game out of the 2, if we could play the games many times over. Home advantage should push that up a little.
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