Normally a pessimist, but I think we'll beat the Swiss by 2 at home and France will lose by a goal in Switzerland and we'll qualify as winners (assuming and it is a bit of an assumption due to the self imposed exile from the game by Keane that we'll win in Cyprus).
As for the play offs, remember we haven't lost away from home in this group yet under Kerr and we won our last play off series and we could get someone like Scotland or Norway or Slovenia so I'm going to be optimistic.
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