Looking at UEFA website there... should we continue to equal this years run of 1.666 we will get to 30th position in 3 years time as already posted on this thread.
Code:
2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 Co-efficient
1.333 2.000* 1.666 1.666 1.666 8.331
**7.99
* 2.000 If cork beat Djurgardens.
** 7.99 if Cork fail to beat Djurgardens (1.666 co efficient for 2005/2006)
30th position was held by Bosnia last season.. Their co-efficient was 7.165
30 Bosnia-Herzegovina 0.500 0.333 3.000 1.666 1.666 7.165
**The following is all hypothetical - too much time on a Saturday :P **
Should any club manage to get to the group stages next season and each season from 2006/2007 until 2008/2009 then we would jump up to 26th/27th position by 2008/2009. That’s if the other 2 Eircom League clubs continued to make up the 1.666 or 2.000 co efficient.
The following (2006/2007) is based on this year run with one club going all the way to the group stages of UEFA Cup (Using Cork as an example ) and coming out with 4 draws in the group stages.
If Cork beat Djurgardens in two weeks time then we will have a co-efficient of 2.
They then face a difficult opponent in the first round proper. The co efficient points are double. 1 for a draw, 2 for a win.
Say they went through on away goals. CCFC picked up another 2 co-efficient points over the two matches by drawing 0-0 at home and 1-1 away.
If the club managed to draw all 4 games in the group stages it would pick up 4 co -efficient points.
That’s a total of 5 coefficient points for Corks run (1 for the 1st round proper and 4 for the group stages UEFA Cup). 5 divided by 3 (to give the national co-efficient points) equals 1.666.
2 (what the league got so far on 2006/2007) + 1.666 ( CCFC's run from 1st round and group stages) = 3.666
So at the end of a year like this the country would have 3.666 co-efficient.
Code:
2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 Co-efficient
1.333 2.000 3.666 3.666 3.666 14.331
25 Romania 0.833 2.625 2.166 4.333 5.500 15.457
26 Sweden 4.800 3.833 2.250 1.500 3.000 15.383
27 Slovakia 3.666 3.500 0.666 2.500 1.333 11.665
In short there is a big jump from going from 30th to getting seeded for the 2nd round.
It’s unlikely that CCFC will get past the first round of the UEFA Cup and make it into the group stages. Even if they did, it’s unlikely that they would draw all 4 matches. So it’s going to be tricky going from 30th to 25th. Plus teams could face very difficult opposition in the 2nd round and 3rd round each year.
The other side of it is not factoring in how well the other 2 clubs do. One club could reach the 3rd round of the Champions league regularly and obtain draws and likewise the other UEFA Cup team could reach the 2nd round qualifiers and obtain draws there.
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