The rankings are based primarily on competitive fixtures, which the Portugal game was not. For example, Brazil trampled all over Hong Kong 7-1, but actually lose two points. This would also explain why Japan and Iran are 18th and 20th respectively - they tend to win more of their competitve games than Croatia or Poland, who have sterner opposition.
Dunno for definite but this seems a plausible guess at the mo
Interestingly Scotland have dropped another place to 87th, while Norn Iron have dropped another two to 111th, level with Uganda and beneath perenniel World Cup dark horses like Gabon, Botswana and Vietnam.
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