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Thread: 2017 NI Assembly Election

  1. #101
    Capped Player DannyInvincible's Avatar
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    Seeing as we've been discussing the Irish language, here's an interesting subtitled mini-documentary (less than 25 minutes in length) on the community-driven establishment of the Belfast Gaeltacht on Bóthar Seoighe (Shaw's Road) in 1969: http://sluggerotoole.com/2017/02/22/...ars-a-growing/

    The project still survives and flourishes today.

    In the context of the upcoming election and the debate over an Irish language act, Mick Fealty of Slugger O'Toole has the following to say about the documentary:

    Quote Originally Posted by Mick Fealty
    This subtitled documentary on the setting up of the west Belfast Gaeltacht should be compulsory viewing for almost everyone in Northern Ireland (and beyond). It’s a real antidote to the cheap rhetoric currently being indulged in about the language, its speakers and what drives them.

    As a personal aside, this project, its extraordinary mission and the many very ordinary folk who’ve been behind the setting of its enduring fruits remain one of the most enduring sources of inspiration “i mo shaol”, as they say…

    It deserves a wide viewing…

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  3. #102
    First Team Gather round's Avatar
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    Some of the founding families moved from my old Loiste Nua manor

    Time for a prediction:



    And here's some voting trends since 2000:

    Last edited by Gather round; 22/02/2017 at 1:50 PM.

  4. #103
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  5. #104
    Seasoned Pro backstothewall's Avatar
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    prediction.PNG

    I'll have a go. The last seat is a lottery almost everywhere.
    Bring Back Belfast Celtic F.C.

  6. #105
    Coach BonnieShels's Avatar
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    That the DUP can be this criminal and still get that many seats is a sickener.

    Please God be under 30 though!
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  7. #106
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    Quote Originally Posted by culloty82 View Post
    The Alliance have become embroiled in a "mini-controversy", after admitting to lining up fake callers for BBC Ulster's version of Liveline. None of which will be news to Southerners, given the grand tradition of planting audience members in RTE current affairs shows.
    Fake callers is a different issue.
    Afaia, in RTE current affair programs, the program's production team invite audience members from the relevant political parties.
    Except on that famous Late Late Show when RTE planned to ambush Gerry Adams and it backfired spectacularly.
    Last edited by geysir; 23/02/2017 at 7:45 PM.

  8. #107
    Seasoned Pro backstothewall's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BonnieShels View Post
    That the DUP can be this criminal and still get that many seats is a sickener.

    Please God be under 30 though!
    It really needs to be 27 or less. Jim Allister can be flattered. Sugdon and a few others can be bought.
    Bring Back Belfast Celtic F.C.

  9. #108
    Capped Player DannyInvincible's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by geysir View Post
    Fake callers is a different issue.
    Afaia, in RTE current affair programs, the program's production team invite audience members from the relevant political parties.
    Except on that famous Late Late Show when RTE planned to ambush Gerry Adams and it backfired spectacularly.
    Vintage television:


  10. #109
    Coach BonnieShels's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by backstothewall View Post
    It really needs to be 27 or less. Jim Allister can be flattered. Sugdon and a few others can be bought.
    Can they sign up to petitions of concern and take it over 30? Didn't know that.

    I think psychologically though, being under 30 would do a lot. Chip chippety.
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  11. #110
    Coach BonnieShels's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DannyInvincible View Post
    Vintage television:

    [video=youtube;8kS-4tpsXsU]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8kS-4tpsXsU[video]
    Gay Byrne: "...leader of a small minority party..."

    Gerry Adams: "I'm not a career politician"
    And Gerry in 1994 talking about gender balance. WAN!
    Last edited by BonnieShels; 24/02/2017 at 1:21 PM.
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  12. #111
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    Quote Originally Posted by BonnieShels View Post
    I think psychologically though, being under 30 would do a lot. Chip chippety
    Is that like tick tock for slow laners?

  13. #112
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    No.

  14. #113
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    Last scores on the doors:

    DUP 26.3% (-2.9% v 2016)
    SF 25.3% (+1.2%)
    UUP 13.9% (+1.2%)
    SDLP 12.16% (+0.16%)
    Alliance 9.46% (+2.46%)
    TUV 4.4% (+1%)
    Green 3.4% (+0.7%)

  15. #114
    Capped Player DannyInvincible's Avatar
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    Last night's BBC debate between Foster, O'Neill, Nesbitt, Eastwood and Long is on iPlayer here: http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode...leaders-debate

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  17. #115
    Coach BonnieShels's Avatar
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    Did anyone watch it?> How was it?
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  18. #116
    International Prospect CraftyToePoke's Avatar
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    Ill tempered according to RTE - https://www.rte.ie/news/2017/0228/85...sembly-debate/
    Not had a chance to watch it yet.

  19. #117
    Seasoned Pro backstothewall's Avatar
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    Weather forecast is dry in the morning, with rain in the evening.

    Likely to give a slight advantage toward unionism, but only slight
    Bring Back Belfast Celtic F.C.

  20. #118
    Stats Man TheBoss's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by backstothewall View Post
    Weather forecast is dry in the morning, with rain in the evening.

    Likely to give a slight advantage toward unionism, but only slight
    That sounds like a strange reason?

    Why would the weather favour a particular ideology?

  21. #119
    Seasoned Pro backstothewall's Avatar
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    The demographics of NI are that Protestants/Unionists tend to have an older age profile. More pensioners.

    agereligion.PNG

    By virtue of not having to go to work during the day pensioners are more likely to have voted early on before the rain comes in. The Catholic/Nationalist population being younger on average are more likely to be restricted to voting in the evening, and therefore more likely not to bother if it is lashing down.

    Catholics are also more likely to be unemployed, which partially offsets the advantage, but the unemployed don't tend to vote at all.

    It won't make much of a difference, but it might be enough at the margins in the odd seat.
    Last edited by backstothewall; 01/03/2017 at 8:22 PM.
    Bring Back Belfast Celtic F.C.

  22. #120
    Coach BonnieShels's Avatar
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    Given the psychological boon I would have thought that SF would have been hammering home the message to the youth that the more of ye get out the more likely we will have an FM.

    They won't... but it would have been nice for Arlene to face some squeaky-bum time. Apologies for that vision.
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