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Thread: NFL Betting Thread 2016

  1. #21
    Seasoned Pro swinfordfc's Avatar
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    Real,

    Going back on your original bet - don't think now that Washington will actually get over 7.5 wins! Think they will get exactly 7.5 wins - to many holes in that teams and the coaching sucks in fairest. Too many pens and some players are just not playing as a team - just for themselves! They just a average team in America!

  2. #22
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by swinfordfc View Post
    Real,

    Going back on your original bet - don't think now that Washington will actually get over 7.5 wins! Think they will get exactly 7.5 wins - to many holes in that teams and the coaching sucks in fairest. Too many pens and some players are just not playing as a team - just for themselves! They just a average team in America!
    You are very tough on Washington swinford, they still have a winning record - I still think they get to 8-5-1 but that won't make them playoff eligible.

  3. #23
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Week 6

    Patriots (-7.5) v Bengals WIN
    Ravens (+3.5) @ Giants LOSS
    Bills (-8.0) v 49ers WIN
    LA Rams (+3.0) @ Lions PUSH

    €10 @ 13.23/1
    Odel Beckham Jr's late TD for NYG scuppered this week's bet.

    Week 7
    Falcons (-5.5) v Chargers 20/21 LOSE
    Buccaneers (+1.0) @ 49ers 20/23 WIN
    Seahawks (+1.0) @ Cardinals 20/21 WIN
    Broncos (-7.5) v Texans WIN

    €10 @ 12.6/1
    3 from 4 this week as the Chargers go into Atlanta and win. Chargers are not so bad!

    Week 8
    Patriots (-5.0) @ Bills 10/11 WIN
    Chiefs (-3.0) @ Colts Evens WIN
    NY Jets (-2.0) @ Browns 10/11 WIN
    Vikings (-4.5) @ Bears 10/11 LOSE

    €10 @ 12.91/1
    All looking so good until the Vikings went into Chicago of all places and could only score 10. Norv Turner the fall guy for that on Tuesday by resigning.

    Wagered to Date €130.00
    Returns to Date €129.00
    €1 down so far at almost half way.

    Win - Loss - Push record so far is 22-9-1 - if I had €10 on each selection individually profit to date would be €108.82 - may need to look at strategy at the end of the season.

  4. #24
    Seasoned Pro swinfordfc's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid View Post
    You are very tough on Washington swinford, they still have a winning record - I still think they get to 8-5-1 but that won't make them playoff eligible.
    Who the four wins against?

    They wont beat the Vikings, Packers or Boys in the next 3 games and then they will just fall apart! They beat the eagles and the giants I think so they need to beat 2 of 3 which is Arizona, panthers and I'm honest, don't know the other team they have to play! ... and 8-5-1 doesn't make 16 games. I think they record will be 7-8-1

  5. #25
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    8-7-1 I meant. Why won't they best the Vikings at home! They got 10 points in Chicago FFS! Anyway enough discussion on Washington!

  6. #26
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  7. #27
    Coach BonnieShels's Avatar
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    I'd be giving up on GB at this stage. You never know what's gonna happen.
    DID YOU NOTICE A SIGN OUTSIDE MY HOUSE...?

  8. #28
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Last week was a poor week with Green Bay inexplicably losing at home to the absolutely useless Colts and KC also failing to cover the spread.

    This week is tough with some surprising results last week. Taking a punt on 4 home teams:

    Jaguars (-2.5) v Texans 5/6
    NY Jets (+1.0) v Rams 20/21
    Chargers (-4.5) v Dolphins 10/11
    Patriots (-7.0) v Seahawks 20/23
    €10 @11.77/1 with Bet365

    Leaning on the Patriots but they are winning well without playing great - I hope the big game brings out the best in them tonight.
    The Jets are only playing their 3rd game at home of the season in week 10 - (hardly fair - another day's work that discussion) but I think their record is not as bad as it seems as a result.
    And the dodgy Jags to beast the dodgier Texans - and cover.
    Last edited by Real ale Madrid; 13/11/2016 at 9:21 PM.

  9. #29
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    A week 10 wipeout - must try harder. 4 away wins - baffling.

    Perhaps after seeing the 2, 3 and 4 NCAA seeds losing on Saturday, it should have been a que to maybe take it easy for a weekend.

    But a tremendously exciting weekend of action. Really looking forward to the next 6 - 8 weeks.

    Note too for the CFL semi finals - had a look at the Ti-Cats storm back from the Brink against the Eskimos yesterday evening only for a late INT to halt the comeback.
    Conference finals next Sunday. The Esks' travel to Ottawa in the East and Calgary host the BC Lions in the West.

  10. #30
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Week 11. A Cracking evening in Prospect.

    Lions (-6.0) v Jaguars 10/11
    Steelers (-8.0) @ Browns 10/11
    Dolphins (+1.0) @ Rams 20/23
    Raiders (-6.0) v Texans 20/21

    4 fold 12.30/1 B365

    First up the Steelers can't afford any slip ups against the Browns as a real division race is on now with the Ravens in the AFC North. With the Ravens playing Dallas as well.
    The Lions owe me one and can't play a humdinger every week - can they? - coming off a bye week I think they cover against the Jags. Big game for the 'Fins in LA - they are getting a point and I'm hoping they win behind Ajayi. Finally on Monday night I'm backing the Raiders who look far too good for the Texans in Mexico.

  11. #31
    Seasoned Pro swinfordfc's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid View Post
    Week 11. A Cracking evening in Prospect.

    Lions (-6.0) v Jaguars 10/11
    Steelers (-8.0) @ Browns 10/11
    Dolphins (+1.0) @ Rams 20/23
    Raiders (-6.0) v Texans 20/21

    4 fold 12.30/1 B365

    First up the Steelers can't afford any slip ups against the Browns as a real division race is on now with the Ravens in the AFC North. With the Ravens playing Dallas as well.
    The Lions owe me one and can't play a humdinger every week - can they? - coming off a bye week I think they cover against the Jags. Big game for the 'Fins in LA - they are getting a point and I'm hoping they win behind Ajayi. Finally on Monday night I'm backing the Raiders who look far too good for the Texans in Mexico.

    Nice bet!

    Cant wait to see your week 12 ones! - how you see Thursday games going?

  12. #32
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by swinfordfc View Post
    Nice bet!

    Cant wait to see your week 12 ones! - how you see Thursday games going?
    Cheers - got more than the rub of the Green this week with the Lions hitting a late FG they didn't really need to beat the spread, Miami coming from 10 points down with 4 mins to go and that mental 4th down measurement that went against the Texans in Mexico - scandalous!

    Would like to include the Vikings (+2.5) in the first Thanksgiving game in the acca but i'll wait until Sunday to do a bet. Think it will be a very close game. Hard to look past the Cowboys in the middle game but they are giving 7 points to your Washington Professional Football team which is a little on the high side - not sure id be looking at that from a betting perspective - a sure thing to watch though. The 3rd game is another good one - I reckon Pitt will have too much for the Colts but the game line is 9.5 to the away team which really makes no sense. That's too much.

    With the good college football Friday and Saturday - its the best weekend of the year if you are an American football fan.
    The big game Friday evening 8.30 Irish time is 5. Washington @ 23. Washington State - both ranked teams, big rivalry. Saturday you have 2.Michigan v 3. Ohio State at 5pm , the Iron Bowl Auburn/'Bama at 8.30 and a whole host of other good games with Florida / FSU the pick on after midnight. Sunday NFL and the CFL Grey Cup final between the Stamps and the Redblacks also Sunday night! A Feast!

  13. #33
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Just realised Andrew Luck is out tonight for the Colts, hence the large point spread

  14. #34
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    Week 12.

    2 wins from 11 weeks and in Profit.
    Would recommend game line betting with Bet 365 - lines are including overtime and they pay a nice a parlay or acca bonus if you win.

    Bets to date (1 x 50 pre season ) (11 x 10 weekly) = €160
    Returns to Date: Week 4 profit €120.97, Week 11 Profit €135.15 - Total to Date: €276.32
    Profit to Date: €116.32

    So with 6 weeks to go lets see can we strike again:

    Dolphins (-7.0) v 49ers 20/21
    Bills (-7.5) v Jaguars 10/11
    Giants (-7.0) @ Browns 10/11
    Falcons (-4.5) v Cardinals 10/11

    No major rocket science in this weeks selections - 3 woeful teams; 49ers, Jags and Browns to all lose convincingly and taking a view that the Falcons are getting a few points at home they may not normally get after a defeat at the Eagles last week.

  15. #35
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    No bet this week, back next week.

  16. #36
    Seasoned Pro swinfordfc's Avatar
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    Real,

    Do you think Washington will make the play offs? - I think the Bucs will pip them for it!

  17. #37
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by swinfordfc View Post
    Real,

    Do you think Washington will make the play offs? - I think the Bucs will pip them for it!
    The Buccs have the momentum for sure swinford. But Can Washington overhaul the New York footballing Giants ? Washington have 3 very winnable games before they meet on the Final Sunday in Washington. New York have Dallas next - lose that and if Washington can win the next 3 games, then it will come down to a 1 game shoot out presuming the Bucs win 3 of their last 4 ( 2 x Saints , @ Dallas , v Carolina )

    I think the Buccs get to 10-6 and then it will come down to that last day shootout in Washington. Your Game against the Eagles on Sunday is massive.

    The only thing that could upset the apple cart is Green Bay or Minnesota running the table the last 4 games - don't think that will happen.

  18. #38
    Seasoned Pro swinfordfc's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid View Post
    The Buccs have the momentum for sure swinford. But Can Washington overhaul the New York footballing Giants ? Washington have 3 very winnable games before they meet on the Final Sunday in Washington. New York have Dallas next - lose that and if Washington can win the next 3 games, then it will come down to a 1 game shoot out presuming the Bucs win 3 of their last 4 ( 2 x Saints , @ Dallas , v Carolina )

    I think the Buccs get to 10-6 and then it will come down to that last day shootout in Washington. Your Game against the Eagles on Sunday is massive.

    The only thing that could upset the apple cart is Green Bay or Minnesota running the table the last 4 games - don't think that will happen.
    We will be able to move the ball against the Eagles but our defense is awful.... and I mean awful ... they cant stop nothing like!

  19. #39
    The Cheeto God Real ale Madrid's Avatar
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    Attachment 2500

    Time against me but a late roll of the dice on the 4 late games

  20. #40
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    For F--k sake, Russell Wilson doing a great Ryan Fitzpatrick impression. Few receivers could do with some catching practice. Maybe Seattle used up all their sporting luck last night in that shocker of an MLS cup Final.

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