I don't think anybody is really settling for this shambles of a campaign Paul. We're in the top two or in the running for qualification up until the end of the campaigns more often than not... certainly as often as most of those other countries you mentioned.
I suspect if we replaced Iceland in their group this time round we'd still be in with a shout as well.
Slovenia couldn't manage to finish ahead of Estonia in their last campaign... a team we were so "fortunate" to have met in the seeded playoffs.
Montenegro are pretty much out of contention in their group, barring something fairly radical.
Bosnia are looking good to be fair... of course you would probably have sacked their manager after conceding six to Portugal in the Euro playoffs.
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