Actually Danny it was my foolish misunderstanding. The points table is correct and Iceland (my team) have 13 points as stated. 3 of their dropped points came against the now certified bottom team, Cyprus. They were beaten by Cyprus.
Oh, look. We can still 'qualify'.
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You'll see from the list that the simulation also calculated the likelihood of Sweden being the worst second-placed finisher. Essentially, it took all teams into account.
I see Sweden are beating Germany 2-1. They'd been 2-0 up before Özil pulled one back.
George just whipped out 'you can never write off the Germans'
It's been a while.
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