In South America, you qualify for the World Cup if you come fourth in your group, something that Argentina struggled to do for World Cup 2010 thanks to their shocking away record. They finished behind Brazil, Paraguay and Chile in qualifying. You might be surprised at how some of the bigger teams perform when the perceived pressure is off.
More on topic, I don't think the expansion to 24 teams is a bad thing. Teams like Germany, Holland and Spain will probably qualify every time with ease—they qualify with ease every time as it is—but they should still have to go out and get the points they need just like everyone else. Once their place in the tournament is booked, we'll probably see more experimental teams from the bigger nations in the later games, which may lead to a few shocks as the teams who face them later on in qualification are likely to face weakened teams.
I'm also in favour of any change that benefits Ireland's qualification hopes; I don't think it devalues anything if we're in every tournament. The Rugby World Cup certainly hasn't suffered despite Ireland featuring every time. We also saw some minnow teams having a growing impact this year — if Samoa had managed to beat Canada, they would have qualified out of their group ahead of France.
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