2011 Presidential Election- Start of Campaign Poll

**Dodge** · 26/10/2011, 10:09 AM

Gallagher just obliterated (nice word, just for you spud) there on LMFM. Hope its availabel for a podcast soon

**Lionel Ritchie** · 26/10/2011, 10:21 AM

Originally Posted by Dodge

Gallagher just obliterated (nice word, just for you spud) there on LMFM. Hope its availabel for a podcast soon

Did he show up Dodge? I was under the impression he'd gone into hiding and was literally and figuratively parking the bus.

**Dodge** · 26/10/2011, 10:44 AM

He missed abother couple of local stations apparently but he turned up to this.

LMFM guy was great. kept cutting through the waffle and bringing him back to the point

**Dodge** · 26/10/2011, 11:01 AM

EDIT; link is for yesterday's show...

**Magicme** · 26/10/2011, 12:34 PM

Sean Gallagher on http://www.northernsound.ie now

**Macy** · 26/10/2011, 12:50 PM

Originally Posted by Magicme

Sean Gallagher on http://www.northernsound.ie now

Only catching the end - was it as fawning the whole way through?

**Magicme** · 26/10/2011, 1:08 PM

sorry didnt get to hear it coz I was too busy answering non stop phone calls of questions for him!

**geysir** · 26/10/2011, 1:33 PM

Here's the link for the LMFM show http://www.lmfm.ie/music/podcasts-li...7-e5fcc860f5a7 Probably best to download it and FF to the Gallagher interview. I haven't listened to it yet

edit Gallagher finally surfaces 54 minutes in.

**culloty82** · 26/10/2011, 1:44 PM

Snap poll done on the Ray D'Arcy Show - not exactly scientific, but his audience tends to comprise a general cross-section of the population:

Gallagher 33%
Higgins 28%
McGuinness 17%
Norris 10%
Davis 5%
Dana 4%
Mitchell 3%

I suspect that on Friday, Mitchell's true support will be closer to 10%, with McGuinness and Norris down accordingly, but if the figures for Gallagher and Higgins were repeated, MDH would probably nick it on transfers.

**Real ale Madrid** · 26/10/2011, 2:34 PM

Originally Posted by Dodge

LMFM guy was great. kept cutting through the waffle and bringing him back to the point

Have to disagree with that really - just had a listen - gave Gallagher a lot of rope at times to explain himself and failed to tighen the noose - came accross as arrogant and flippant on other occasions which would only lead to listener sympathy with the interviewee. Reminded me of Neil Prenderville - our local lover of aviation antics in Cork. Too full of himself.

**Macy** · 26/10/2011, 3:05 PM

I really don't know how it will all play out, to be honest. He had such a lead he could afford to lose some of it, but he must be pretty transfer repellant at this stage. You'd expect Norris to go to Higgins. FG will go to Higgins, any waverers will have made up their minds. Gallagher has really attacked the shinners, so you'd think they'll go to Higgins. I guess there's time for further damage too, online and in the papers. It will be a very interesting 1st count!

**Real ale Madrid** · 26/10/2011, 3:16 PM

If the snap Poll according to Ray Darcy is any way accurate for the front 2 - you would have to think the Higgins is home and hosed.

**dahamsta** · 26/10/2011, 3:40 PM

Dodge, spudulika, enough.

**TrapAPony** · 26/10/2011, 3:45 PM

1 McGuinness
2 Higgins
7 Gallagher

**Dodge** · 26/10/2011, 3:49 PM

Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid

If the snap Poll according to Ray Darcy is any way accurate for the front 2 - you would have to think the Higgins is home and hosed.

particuarly given the demographics of the show, and the apparent demographics of gallagher's votes

If he had any chance of a victory you'd expect him to romp home in that one. But it was a text in vote so we'll see how accurate it is on on Friday

On transfers I think Higgins is far more friendly, but Gallagher should pick up 'not voting for a party' votes from Davis and Dana

In 1990 Lenihan got 44.1% of first preferences while Robison got 38.9%. Robinson got 75% of Austin Currie's transfers

**geysir** · 27/10/2011, 10:28 AM

There's a delicate balance of saying just enough to cast aspersions on the presidential quality of your opponents without alienating their support, in order to have a good chance of getting their 2nd and 3rd preference vote.
I�d say Michael D has excelled in that department, relatively speaking of course.

**pineapple stu** · 27/10/2011, 11:06 AM

Four full page ads from Miche�l D in today's Metro. Didn't think that was allowed? Isn't there a media moratorium from 2pm yesterday?

**Macy** · 27/10/2011, 11:12 AM

Originally Posted by geysir

I�d say Michael D has excelled in that department, relatively speaking of course.

Still wouldn't put money on a result, but even yesterday morning he was playing it great - along the lines of if he's elected that will be the end of matters (obviously implying they'd be more to come with Gallagher).

Incidentally Varadker was out with a subtle one as well, a throw away comment about the damage it would do if a president was impeached.