Well, Green TD Gogarty has officially complained to the police, who are requesting clarification on some issues.
I would say the main reason that he might not be prosecuted is that there's no appetite for it in the Dail. There is no party without a few members who have their hand in the cookie jar. Even now, most of the 'outrage' is from members of his own party or their coalition partner, who are trying to maintain some facade of morality. the others are staying clear of it, in order to avoid charges of hypocrisy somewhere down the line (or being asked to meet the same standards they challenged FF to meet).
However, the general public is another issue. A parlimentary body found him guilty of deliberate deception, or something like that, and this fabrication of invoices is basically a crime. The figure of 80,000 euros is substantial too, imagine if a humble citizen was fraudulently claiming social welfare to this amount over a number of years. Even if he is prosecuted, don't expect anything like the same punishment that would be meted out in the above example. He'll pay some back, a few letters to the judge, and it quietly goes away.
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