I had a bet on Sligo for this game. The reason I placed a bet on Sligo was because the bookie at the time (Bwin) had Vllaznia as favourities to win the game which I felt was wrong as Vllaznia were out of season, had lost a few first teamers since their season ended and the LOI is a higher ranked league than the Albanian equilvalent. If I remember correctly I backed Sligo at something like 2.6 with Bwin - I personally would have priced Sligo at 1.8 - 2.0. There was value in backing Sligo at those odds and that alone could be an explanation for the odds slashing. Once people saw the odds on Sligo going down in a match against Albanian opposition - perhaps some people suspected a fix and started to spread a rumour?
As for the game itself, I am confused as to why people would bet on the over 2.5 market to recoup their losses. Surely with Vllaznia leading 2-0 the odds on over 2.5 would have been very short? - given that Sligo needed to push men forward to keep the tie alive. Was there some sort of contingency plan in place where the Vllaznia players knew that the people that backed Sligo would now move into the over 2.5 goal market to re-coup their losses? Seems like there was a lot of gambling based on rumour than anything else to me (although I accept that it's strange that so much was placed on a low key game).
Sorry about that! I dont bet on the exchanges so yeah, I don't know what I am talking about. Hard to believe that there would be over 1 million traded on a Sligo Rovers game but there ya go. Harder to believe that we couldn't beat a team that were allegedly tryin to throw the game! For what its worth, I was at the Showgrounds on the evening ib question and I didn't see one Albanian with a long face after either of their goals.
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