I think Bulgaria winning is all round the worst result. If they win, we still will need to beat Italy to go above Italy, if its a draw, we still need to beat Italy to win the group. So a draw gives us a realistic chance of topping the group, an Italian win means we're just playing for points to get a playoff spot, a Bulgarian win and all three places are undecided.
Current standing
Italy 17
Ireland 16
Bulgaria 11
I think likely results, say
Ita Bul - draw
Cyp Bul - Bul win
Ire Ital - draw
Ire Mont - Ire win
Bul Geo - Bul win
Ital Cyp - Ita win
will leave group as follows:
Italy 22
Ireland 20
Bulgaria 18
The home game against Montenegro could be the most nervous of the lot, as it is likely we will need to win to guarantee a play off spot.........Well at least its a nice change from this stage in the last campaign!!!
http://www.fifa.com/worldcup/prelimi...479/index.html
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