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Thread: Going green on betfair

  1. #1
    International Prospect DmanDmythDledge's Avatar
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    Going green on betfair

    Still a betfair n00b so unsure of how to do this properly.

    I've backed Dundalk@3.95. Option to lay them now@3.8. How do I do this properly?

  2. #2
    Now with extra sauce! Dodge's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DmanDmythDledge View Post
    Still a betfair n00b so unsure of how to do this properly.

    I've backed Dundalk@3.95. Option to lay them now@3.8. How do I do this properly?
    Well it depends if you want to have green on all outcomes.

    In Your example above if you backed Dundalk with €100 @ 3.95, leaving you with profit of €295 if they won, and a loss of €100 if they didn't

    If you laid them for €101 @ 3.8, you'd have a liability of €282.8 if the lost and a profit of €101 if they didn't

    These combined would give you an "all green" total of €12.2 if Dundalk win, and €1 if its a draw or a Dundalk loss

    You could lay off you stake (€100 @ 3.8) which would see have no profit/loss on loss/draw and €15 profit on Dundalk win

    ---

    Where trading really works is in play betting. If you back Dundalk and they go a goal up, their price plummets and you lay off for nice profit regardless of result (Tennis is unbelievable for trading)
    Last edited by Dodge; 03/07/2009 at 1:16 PM.
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  3. #3
    Football hure MariborKev's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dodge View Post
    Well it depends if you want to have green on all outcomes.

    In Your example above if you backed Dundalk with €100 @ 3.95, leaving you with profit of €295 if they won, and a loss of €100 if they didn't

    If you laid them for €101 @ 3.8, you'd have a profit of €282.8 if the lost and a profit of €101 if they didn't

    These combined would give you an "all green" total of €12.2 if Dundalk win, and €1 if its a draw or a Dundalk loss

    You could lay off you stake (€100 @ 3.8) which would see have no profit/loss on loss/draw and €15 profit on Dundalk win

    ---

    Where trading really works is in play betting. If you back Dundalk and they go a goal up, their price plummets and you lay off for nice profit regardless of result (Tennis is unbelievable for trading)

    Aye,

    My "betting" consists exclusively on in play trading. I mostly trade on the total goals market, as there is a buffer. Doesn't prevent something going wrong, ie I lost €400 or so do to three goals in three minutes in the Lillestrom v Start game during the week there.

    One small correction "If you laid them for €101 @ 3.8, you'd have a profit of €282.8 if the lost and a profit of €101 if they didn't"

    Actually, you'd have a liability of €282.8 if they lost.
    Tifo poles, sausage rolls and a few goals.

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    Now with extra sauce! Dodge's Avatar
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    Yeah, sorry. Changed that now.

    I mainly trade on the 2/5 goals market in football. Have been known to dabble in other markets mind

    Tennis and the US sports are my other main interests
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  5. #5
    First Team brianw82's Avatar
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    Dodge, do you have an excel worksheet or something made up for doing this?

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    Now with extra sauce! Dodge's Avatar
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    Not really. I'm OK with maths though and of course you can have betfair give you the possible outcomes before the result. I can do up a spreadsheet if you want...
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  7. #7
    Football hure MariborKev's Avatar
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    Brianw

    I've a fairly comprehensive spreadsheet done up if you want it?
    Tifo poles, sausage rolls and a few goals.

    The Brandy Blogs, back and blogging the 2010 season

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    First Team brianw82's Avatar
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    @ Maribor, that'd be pretty cool. Send me a PM please.

    I have something like this for accumulators, just stick in the different odds for all the bookies and the calculations are done for you.

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    Football hure MariborKev's Avatar
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    In work ATM, then heading to Dundalk for our match.

    I'll send it on tomorrow.
    Tifo poles, sausage rolls and a few goals.

    The Brandy Blogs, back and blogging the 2010 season

  10. #10
    Reserves eL Bettor's Avatar
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    Click on More Options which is just under the Refresh button/amount matched.
    From this drop-down menu, tick the "Display 'what if' figure".
    This will show your P/L on each outcome as you type the stake before actually submitting the bet.
    Hope this helps!

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