Nacewa is by no means guaranteed to be the starting Out Half when fit. Cheika has always alluded to that, and even if he is I don't believe he is the answer to the problems in that area. Either way, he's out til at least December, so it's immaterial.
While winning the Magners League last season was an achievement, the gap between Magners and Heineken is huge when you take into perspective what you need to do to win it. Leinster are still a million miles away from that level imo.
In three seasons in charge, Leinster have won three away games in the Heineken Cup, none at all last season, and the mighty Glasgow and Agen were two of those victories. It would be criminal if a side with Leinsters individual talents and money invested don't make the knock-out stages every season. This season, they'll struggle to get any kind of away victory as they go to Wasps, Edinburgh and Castres. These are teams they will beat at home, but their lack of leadership on the pitch, which was very evident last night, will cost them dearly away, and ruin their chances of qualifying.
I hope I'm wrong, but don't think so. Cheika is coming to the end of his cycle as a coach at Leinster. It's hard to re-invent yourself from within. 3-4 seasons in charge at any one team is pushing it. We saw how the national side became predictable and tired looking after 4 of Eddie's six seasons. Even Munster broke their ties with Kidney for a period, and I think thats why Connacht aren't progressing as they might also, although money is a big problem there.
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