Finland have the same record as Ireland played 7 GD +2 pts 12 (dismissing results vs 6th placed team). But have a better goals scored (we only have 6, they have 10). We would like to beat Denmark by more goals than Finland would beat Greece by - we'd be in danger of being stuck in the bottom Pot otherwise for the Final Tournament Draw.
Hungary/Wales game will be of interest to us too. Hungary could put the magic 5 playoff teams in Path B, but also with a big win could (as Finland above) put Ireland into Pot 4. But will know before they play whether we want a better chance of a nice play off Path or a better chance of a decent seeding.
I think both Finland and Wales/Hungary will have a worse ranking of the 2nd placed teams than Ireland so barring above and assuming we qualify directly then we should be in Pot 3.