Allister was effective, but a second seat has never looked close.
Casey has gone off the reservation. He won't be able to build on his 20% next time because he won't be getting a single nomination next time.
He won't be selected as a FF candidate for the dail in donegal either. Holding 2 seats there is already looking like a 7-10 split if SF can avoid the massive balls of things they made last time.
I do wonder when next time will be. At his age a full 7 year term for MDH is far from guaranteed.