Originally Posted by
Mario
Interesting take of dalyer situation from someone on rovers forum ...
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I don't think it is that simple.
Firstly the land - the site is 5.2 acres. Development land is off approx 90% from its peak. That would leave Dalymount on a valuation of €6.5mio (10% of €65mio, assuming Carroll offer was market peak). Albion have a valid claim to say an acre of that which leaves Bohs owning 4.2 acres at a valuation of €5.25mio (a generous valuation given planning likely to be difficult and the site has restricted access). All this assumes they can realise that value by sellling the site. Banks are no longer lending against development land and anyone with cash has their pick of sites from NAMA, etc. Phibsboro wouldn't be top of your list and the Mountjoy redevelopment is now unlikely to happen as the new prison development in Thornton Hall is now dead. It's hard to believe anyone would buy Dalymount today with a view to sitting on it until the property market rebounded.
BUT - Zurich Bank Ireland pulled out of property lending in 2009 and have marked down the value of their book aggressively, including presumably the Bohs loan. It is possible that, if they feel there is no prospect of getting their money back, they simply write the loan down to zero (it may already be there) and hand back the security (the car park on the Connaught St side). That would be a serious result for Bohs, although they would still have little prospect of selling the site in the current market. If they could persuade Zurich that they are broke, would Zurich walk? Are Bohs that smart?