Gallagher just obliterated (nice word, just for you spud) there on LMFM. Hope its availabel for a podcast soon
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Gallagher just obliterated (nice word, just for you spud) there on LMFM. Hope its availabel for a podcast soon
Did he show up Dodge? I was under the impression he'd gone into hiding and was literally and figuratively parking the bus.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dodge
He missed abother couple of local stations apparently but he turned up to this.
LMFM guy was great. kept cutting through the waffle and bringing him back to the point
EDIT; link is for yesterday's show...
Sean Gallagher on http://www.northernsound.ie now
Only catching the end - was it as fawning the whole way through?Quote:
Originally Posted by Magicme
sorry didnt get to hear it coz I was too busy answering non stop phone calls of questions for him!
Here's the link for the LMFM show http://www.lmfm.ie/music/podcasts-li...7-e5fcc860f5a7 Probably best to download it and FF to the Gallagher interview. I haven't listened to it yet
edit Gallagher finally surfaces 54 minutes in.
Snap poll done on the Ray D'Arcy Show - not exactly scientific, but his audience tends to comprise a general cross-section of the population:
Gallagher 33%
Higgins 28%
McGuinness 17%
Norris 10%
Davis 5%
Dana 4%
Mitchell 3%
I suspect that on Friday, Mitchell's true support will be closer to 10%, with McGuinness and Norris down accordingly, but if the figures for Gallagher and Higgins were repeated, MDH would probably nick it on transfers.
Have to disagree with that really - just had a listen - gave Gallagher a lot of rope at times to explain himself and failed to tighen the noose - came accross as arrogant and flippant on other occasions which would only lead to listener sympathy with the interviewee. Reminded me of Neil Prenderville - our local lover of aviation antics in Cork. Too full of himself.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dodge
I really don't know how it will all play out, to be honest. He had such a lead he could afford to lose some of it, but he must be pretty transfer repellant at this stage. You'd expect Norris to go to Higgins. FG will go to Higgins, any waverers will have made up their minds. Gallagher has really attacked the shinners, so you'd think they'll go to Higgins. I guess there's time for further damage too, online and in the papers. It will be a very interesting 1st count!
If the snap Poll according to Ray Darcy is any way accurate for the front 2 - you would have to think the Higgins is home and hosed.
Dodge, spudulika, enough.
1 McGuinness
2 Higgins
7 Gallagher
particuarly given the demographics of the show, and the apparent demographics of gallagher's votesQuote:
Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid
If he had any chance of a victory you'd expect him to romp home in that one. But it was a text in vote so we'll see how accurate it is on on Friday
On transfers I think Higgins is far more friendly, but Gallagher should pick up 'not voting for a party' votes from Davis and Dana
In 1990 Lenihan got 44.1% of first preferences while Robison got 38.9%. Robinson got 75% of Austin Currie's transfers
There's a delicate balance of saying just enough to cast aspersions on the presidential quality of your opponents without alienating their support, in order to have a good chance of getting their 2nd and 3rd preference vote.
I´d say Michael D has excelled in that department, relatively speaking of course.
Four full page ads from Micheál D in today's Metro. Didn't think that was allowed? Isn't there a media moratorium from 2pm yesterday?
Still wouldn't put money on a result, but even yesterday morning he was playing it great - along the lines of if he's elected that will be the end of matters (obviously implying they'd be more to come with Gallagher).Quote:
Originally Posted by geysir
Incidentally Varadker was out with a subtle one as well, a throw away comment about the damage it would do if a president was impeached.
The moratorium is only for radio and TV afaik - anyone know why there is a moratorium anyway ?
Only broadcast media, regulated by the BAI. All the paper's running with stuff. Examiner have that photo!Quote:
Originally Posted by pineapple stu
What photo?Quote:
Originally Posted by Macy
Hugh Morgan and Biffo, at the €5,000 a head dinner that has Gallagher busted.Quote:
Originally Posted by BonnieShels
http://www.irishexaminer.com/racetot...es-172028.html
Quote:
Originally Posted by Macy
http://www.irishtimes.com/newspaper/...?ts=1319674584
What a country!Quote:
Originally Posted by Dodge
The beautiful people, the beautiful people.
Monaghan and Cavan polling above the average at 6pm this evening with both counties in and around 30%.
Galway and Dublin also reporting high turnouts, so swings and roundabouts, it seems.
Cross border traffic :)Quote:
Originally Posted by Magicme
Tradition.Quote:
Originally Posted by Real ale Madrid
Of course it was brought in decades ago, when everyone voted on the same day. Now that isn't the case, for the islanders that vote ahead of everyone else. It should be scrapped altogether on those grounds.
I'm surprised it's a relatively recent phenomenon that the islanders vote early, given it's to make sure their votes get back to the mainland. When did they first vote early?Quote:
Originally Posted by mypost
Anyone regulated by the BAI has to observe the moratorium - it's a regulatory requirement, not a tradition. According to the BAI...
Our media has so many agenda's (Witness newstalk doing budget broadcasts), that I don't have that much of a problem with it. Maybe if the BAI got their act together on all broadcasters it could be looked at, but as things stand the BAI only seem interested in RTE in my opinion (never enforcing TV3's licence conditions, the recent mess they've made of RTE's DTT proposals (especially who they accepted submissions from!), allowing communicorp to sow up the national commercial stations). And to bring that back to the presidential election - how long has Mary Davis been on the BAI board?Quote:
The moratorium has two objectives:-
It is an additional mechanism to ensure that fairness, objectivity and impartiality are achieved by the broadcast media during this critical period in the polling process, and;
It allows voters a period for reflection in the final stages of an election campaign.
Early news feed from rte -0951 With all seven boxes tallied in Sean Gallagher's home town of Blackrock in Louth - the predictions are that Michael D Higgins is beating him 2:1
So even in his own hometown, wow that's interesting
Very disappointed with what I witnessed yesterday and almost wonder if it was planned by the meeja (and whoever they've chosen to win) to take the wind from voters. I got home, went in to vote and from my family was the only person to do so - my Dad and Mam never miss a vote, but they both were going for Gallagher but said (both of them) that they were disillusioned. Not one of my former colleagues voted, of 20-30 others I asked, even back at the airport, nobody voted. I was lucky to be able to vote 4 times (By-election, 2 referenda and the Presidential election). It just felt depressing - not even all the Christmas sales and decorations could make me feel good.
(but after waking up and listening to the Aussies get a thumping, I feel a little better)
So you reckon it's the media's fault your family and friends didn't vote? Interesting theory.
I turned down the chance to vote twice yesterday, but I wonder how many were in the same boat as me. Could vote in my constituency and my parents'. Wonder how many were in the same boat?
Edit - to follow on from bennocelt's post, this is on Aertel -
So is it the case that, in the pre-election polls, Higgins' votes were from the reliable grey vote, while Gallagher's supporters just didn't bother?Quote:
Early tallies indicate that Micheál D Higgins is set to top the poll and become the next President.
Independent Seán Gallagher is leading in only a handful of constituencies.
Mr Higgins will top the poll in the vast majority, and should easily be elected on transfers.
Aertel goes on -
Link here, but it'll change over the course of the day.Quote:
Martin McGuinness looks set to come in a strong third, and will most likely be followed by David Norris.
But it is a dismal day for Fine Gael's Gay Mitchell, whose vote has collapsed, and for Mary Davis and Dana Rosemary Scallon.
Very early indications suggest the referendum on Oireachtas Inquiries may be defeated
Voter apathy is not the media's fault - if anything they give this election undue attention given the role it plays. If they're disillusioned with what happened the last few days, then you should blame Gallagher.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spudulika
As it happens, turnout is up on the last presidential election, so if apathy was the intention, that was a major fail by the media.
Well there was a lot of talk in my work place, about who exactly was voting for Gallagher, as out of 10-15 people only one knew someone admitting to it. So I'd have to question the reliability of the polls, certainly in identifying those that really intended to vote. I'm sure he lost some, as witnessed above, but whether he was ever that high I'm not sure.Quote:
Originally Posted by pineapple stu
What were some of the planned actions which you believe helped 'take the wind from voters'?Quote:
Originally Posted by Spudulika
Disillusioned with gallagher or the media?Quote:
I got home, went in to vote and from my family was the only person to do so - my Dad and Mam never miss a vote, but they both were going for Gallagher but said (both of them) that they were disillusioned.
Saying on news feed that the referendum bill on oireachtas bill might be defeated, wow, thats great
1129 David McCullagh: Very early indications suggest the referendum on Oireachtas inquiries may be defeated
Bankers (including Sutherland and Gleeson) and former politicians (including McDowell) can breath a bit easier. For the time being at least.Quote:
Originally Posted by bennocelt
Only one man to blame for it, the guy who drafted the bill and tried to get it through without any sort of debate on it. In most countries Shatter would have to resign for his handling of this.Quote:
Originally Posted by Macy
Whilst he certainly didn't help matters with his reactionary commentary (on anything and everything), the one thing he was he was right on was the AG's letter and that's what he seems to be blamed most for. No surprise he seemed to be parked, and Howlin took over the media responsibilities in the final few days.Quote:
Originally Posted by Dodge
As Dodge said, just the manner it was presented to the people, if in doubt vote no tends to be the way these things sometimes work.