Originally Posted by
pineapple stu
Well there's probably lots of points in time you could take that would make different arguments. (BTW, you've missed one Welsh league starter - I make it 6 - but it's not going to change the stats much)
The stats I did from 2016 are attached (why 2016? Because that's when I did what I was doing). So I'll have to backtrack a little - we were level with Wales (and Albania) in terms of players who came through the domestic leagues, and both had more foreign-born players than us. Though don't forget that 8 domestic players for us was so unusual that we made a marketing campaign around it.
Probably Albania (and Kosovo) is an unusual case in that the wave of emigration (in the 90s) means that most of their foreign-born players will have two Albanian/Kosovan parents - quite different to us chasing players with one Irish grandparent. It's probably also much easier - culturally and logistically - for a Welsh player to move to an English club at a young age; it's effectively the same country (e.g. Tom Lockyer starting his senior career with Bristol Rovers, which is just 20 miles from Wales, or Harry Wilson moving 30 miles from Wrexham to Liverpool).
But this isn't about a comparison with Wales as such - my original point is that if we continue chasing 2G and 3G players because we're not producing our own players, then we will get rejected quite frequently. The chart I've attached shows that we are light years behind most other European countries in that regard. This will happen particularly with younger players (Rice, Grealish, etc), and we can see that the Welsh U21 team is far more Welsh than ours is Irish, so it's less likely to be an issue for them.
If you look at the 9 Irish players who started in the LoI, only 1 played since 2011 (Browne was with Cork in 2013, but never played for them). That's the key point here. Most LoI players who've moved abroad in the past few years have, unfortunately, been failures. Hoban, Boyle, Horgan, McMillan, Burke, Forrester and McEleney were all top LoI players, but in England they all moved on relatively quickly from their original clubs (Forrester an honourable exception, but he's back with Pat's now). The jury is still out on Curtis, Towell and even Maguire (got his first goal of the season this week, in his 13th appearance)
So I think it's a huge stretch to say we're better at developing home-grown talent than Wales - or anyone. We had the oldest squad in the Euros precisely because we weren't developing any talent. We're relying on LoI players from ten years ago - the tail-end of the professional LoI - some academy players (a route generally acknowledged to be drying up), and whatever 2G/3G players we can find. Wales have 14 Welsh-club players in their 21s squad while we have 3 Irish-club players. And then you add the quality of the players of course and it's clear that Wales are better at developing home-grown players than we are. And they're not all that good at it.
Almost every other country develops their own players through their national league. We don't - haven't done for nearly ten years - and that's costing us now. "Defects" will grow more frequently, yet how can you really call Rice a defector when he's born in England and his Irish connections are (I think) two Irish grandparents?
The UEFA Youth League has shown that our clubs can compete with professional European teams at U19s level (HJK Helsinki, Molde, Midtylland, even Roma), but then there's a huge gap in player development going missing because we effectively don't have a full-time league for these guys to progress to. It's not surprising, so, that our national standing is dropping to new lows. I think it'll continue to do so while we fail to invest in the game at home.