Quote:
Originally Posted by
SwanVsDalton
Not sure where else to put this, but there has been some discussion on the 'Belgium' method - but
interesting piece by Rory Smith says it's no guarantee and every country needs a large slice of luck for a golden generation to emerge.
I'm not wholly convinced. Rather than some mysterious or unhidden hand playing its part in your fortunes, I think you make your own "luck". Some wisened young Roman put it best when he said, "Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity". I think Smith almost paraphrases in a footballing context and goes some way towards admitting this in his penultimate paragraph:
That is not to suggest there is nothing that can be done. The conditions must be created to allow those players to shine should they arrive.
Besides, I'd rather our ambitions and achievements weren't dependent or reliant on this "luck". We can sit back and dream about being due a fat slice of it, and a golden generation to boot (or our solitary once-in-a-score world-class player, even...), or we can ensure that we organise the Irish game and prepare our footballers properly en masse. The latter approach will always prove more fruitful and likely to breed success. There is no cycle; we're two decades behind the heavyweights and will simply be left further behind as more and more associations follow suit. "Luck" certainly won't be making up the lost ground for us.
Isaac Cuenca, Cristian Tello and Martin Montoya may not be of the quality of Xavi or Iniesta in the eyes of Smith, but it's a sure bet they'll still be exceptionally competent footballers. If a progressive framework can't guarantee winning the World Cup, it can at least guarantee a team's competitiveness and ensure they'll never plummet down the rankings to 59th again. The idea of putting in place what would essentially be a lower threshold buffer line, whilst also giving us a much better chance when opportunity does fall our way, is worth taking very seriously.