I fancy the Red Sox to win it. They missed Ortiz and Varitek when they were out injured last year. Also with the improved rotation their pitching will be more formidable than last year. Their only concern would be their middle infield IMO. Pedroia looks a good prospect but didn't impress last year when he got a chance. Lugo is a good experienced player but it will be remain to be seen will his defence be anywhere near as good as Gonzalez's, which was a key part of Red Sox's good form for most of last year.