Getting the feeling this is gonna be a last game of the season job in the relegations battle.
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Getting the feeling this is gonna be a last game of the season job in the relegations battle.
The battle is crystallizing a little now. It is realistically 3 from 5 with only a 3 point gap between those teams. Impossible to say which two will get out of it yet. If you were down there you'd probably want to see one or two of the sides get isolated from the bottom so that it becomes 1 from 3 but its very entertaining from the outside looking in. Even if it was just 1 (+1) going down it would be fascinating with the gap being so small.
Pats will get out. Drogs will go down
1 of galway harps and sligo to survive.
Probably harps.
It's as tight as a ducks arse alright. Goal difference could easily come in to play. Drogheda by far the worst off on that front with Galway, Rovers and Pats fairly similar.
To be fair to Sligo they battered Bohs at times on Fri. It it wasn't for some wayward, shooting and brilliant saves and last gasp lucky blocks they would have scored numerous times. If they continue to play like that they should be grand.
Pretty much agree though I think Harps will go down.Quote:
Originally Posted by sbgawa
I'd favour Sligo to stay up but it must be a concern that Ger Lyttle still doesn't have a win.
Yeah. Only 2 points from two home games against Harps and Galway and a trip to Dalymount isn't a good return.
An average of a point per game again should be enough to ensure safety. Limerick are two wins from 33 points.
It would be in a normal season, but I think you'll need closer to 38 or 40 points to guarantee anything this season.Quote:
Originally Posted by legendz
The bottom 5 are currently on less than a point per game.Quote:
Originally Posted by nigel-harps1954
Finn Harps survived on 32 points last season. This season, that wouldn't be good enough. Galway in 9th position last season ended up on 38 points.Quote:
Originally Posted by legendz
I don't think 33 points may be good enough this season.
10th place I reckon won't be more than 33 points but time will tell. Bray aren't safe from an asterix.
Obelix is always lurking.Quote:
Originally Posted by sbgawa
Why would you think they'd be deducted points out of curiosity? Being in trouble financially wouldn't affect the on the field points total. They might not pick up too many more if things go pear shaped but they'll keep what they have.Quote:
Originally Posted by sbgawa
In the last 5 seasons, the bottom 3 have always had less than a point per game (less than 33 points). The current bottom 5 have less than a point per game. The form guide so far clearly suggests that 33 points should be enough to be above the bottom 3. Maintaining an average of a point per game has always been a rule of thumb for survival. Maintaining an average of 2 points per game then is the rule of thumb at the top of the table for the European places.Quote:
Originally Posted by nigel-harps1954
Can we change the thread title to 2 down?
This season is very different to other seasons, already simply for the fact that nobody is being cut adrift at the bottom. Everyone is picking up points and will continue to do so. I don't think 33 points will be enough, but we'll see come the end of the season.Quote:
Originally Posted by legendz
Are you saying that in full knowledge that the form of the bottom 5 to date is less that 1 point per game?Quote:
Originally Posted by nigel-harps1954
While everyone are picking up points, it doesn't seem to be at a different rate to other seasons. There are only so many points on offer. The distribution of these points again seems in line with recent years.
If anything, on current form the team finishing 8th might accumulate 32 points. The team finishing 10th might accumulate 30 points. It'll be close. The line between safety and relegation on current form will be around that 33 point mark.
Mid-season form counts for nothing. I realise you're not going to change your mind on this, so we'll just leave it and wait to see at the end of the season.Quote:
Originally Posted by legendz
Quote:
Originally Posted by Longfordian
Was obvious as soon as he came out with that stuff on Friday. Setting the scene.