If we're worried about Kerr or the Faroes, :rolleyes: then we might as well withdraw, FFS.
Even I'm not that pessimistic.
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If we're worried about Kerr or the Faroes, :rolleyes: then we might as well withdraw, FFS.
Even I'm not that pessimistic.
His match previews/reviews in the Irish Times often did betray some bitterness, that's true. But he always came across as a fan of the Irish team and wanted us to do well. I'd say his success with the Faroes has erased that bitterness a fair amount. He got a raw deal from the FAI and from the fans and he was entitled to feel peeved. I think he's restored his reputation now somewhat and I don't for a second think that he'd really really hope to take points off us, if we ended up in their group. (Of course, if we're dropping points to the Faroes we'd probably not be good enough to qualify anyway)
Don't forget the mammoth 16-game South American round robin will take two years to complete also. Interesting that Montenegro have climbed all the way from the last to the second pot, I'd happily take Norway, Slovenia, Albania, Faroes and San Marino.
Would like:
Norway
Slovakia
N.Ireland
Estonia
San Marino
We got out of the 1990 group by 4 points and 12 goals. It wasn't the hardest group.Quote:
Originally Posted by Noelys Guitar
In saying that, I don't want Spain this time.
I've an excel sheet that does a random draw, if anyone wants it I can send via email / pm.
Here are the three last random draws I did:
Croatia
Sweden
REP IRELAND
Albania
Macedonia
Kazakhstan
Italy
Turkey
REP IRELAND
Bulgaria
Cyprus
Malta
Netherlands
Serbia
REP IRELAND
Poland
Cyprus
Wales
First seeds I'd like Norway, Greece or Croatia, even Italy at a push. I really wouldnt want Germany and to a lesser extent Holland.
2nd pot I'd take Slovenija and Denmark, I wouldnt want Russia or France (except for revenge on the latter), possibly not Serbia but the rest I would be happy enough with.
As were in the 3rd block I'm glad we avoid Switzerland and Israel as we dont have a great history against them. Bosnia and Belgium are two teams I'm happy to avoid as well. In pot 4 I'd take Lithuania or Scotland, of the rest I'd want to avoid Romania but wouldnt be devastated if we got them.
In pot 5 I wouldnt want Armenia or Finland and in Pot 6 Wales or Iceland, but you would hope to be able to beat all of the pot 5/6 teams anyway.
Is Borat the manager of Kazakhstan? My sister. She is prostitute.
To be honest I would love to get England. I have nothing against them personally, I visit there on a regular basis and could never ever say anything bad about them.
We've had some cracking matches over the years and there is always that something (as the french say, a certain "je ne sais quoi") when we play them.
My group:
England
Sweden
REPUBLIC OF IRELAND
Lithuania
Azerbaijan
Luxembourg
I don't want England or the North, not because I am worried about the technical ability of either team (in terms of ability they are pretty much in the middle of pots 1 and 4). I don't want a scenario where either of them could lose against another contender in the last set of fixtures.
For instance, if we were in the following group (England, Sweden, Ireland, Lithuania, Latvia, Malta) and, with the final round of games to go, say England were 6 points clear (already won the group), and we were one point behind Sweden, and the last set of fixtures were Sweden v England and Ireland v Latvia, England could put out a weak team in Stockholm meaning irrespective of our result we couldnt catch the Swedes. England did something similar in Dnepetropetrovsk in 2009 - they lost to Ukraine meaning Croatia couldnt catch Ukraine.
Or another example, if the group was (Greece, Slovakia, Ireland, Northern Ireland, Latvia) and we were neck-and-neck with Greece and Slovakia going into the last set of games (like we were with the Swiss and Israel a few years ago) and the last fixtures were Northern Ireland v Slovakia, Ireland v Greece, the North might lose heavily to Slovakia and we wouldnt be able to catch them irrespective of our result with Greece).
I think it's better to avoid playing teams with whom we have sensitive relationships in the group stage.
[QUOTE=mypost;1512985]We got out of the 1990 group by 4 points and 12 goals. It wasn't the hardest group.
In saying that, I don't want Spain this time.[/QUOTE
1990 3 teams that had qualified for the 86 world cup (Hungary, NI, Spain)and Malta made it a very tough group. Qualified
1994 we had Spain, Denmark, NI, Lithuania and Latvia. Qualified
1998 Easiest group possible of Romania, Iceland, Macedonia, Lithuania, Lichenstein. Did not qualify.
2002 Holland, Portugal, Estonia, Cyprus, Andorra. Qualified.
We always do better in a tough group. I would be quite happy with Spain and a very good second/third/fourth seeds as they tend to take points off one another. We are a very hard team to beat and are quite capable of going through a group unbeaten.
My random draw:
Croatia
Slovakia
IRELAND
Bulgaria
Azerbaijan
Malta
Would take that. Actually I'd probably be happy with 90% of the draws, but I am an eternal optimistic.
Probably for the first time ever, people will not want to get us in the draw, if only because we're in pot 6. Although Liechtenstein are known for springing the odd shock so maybe they'll be more feared than us.
I hope we get a top team like Spain so I can watch some high-quality football in this next campaign. Northern Ireland and Estonia from the 4th and 5th pots would be nice and should see us finish top 4 in the group. Montenegro would also be good as I reckon we could beat them despite the good run of form they're having now.
Pot 1: Spain, Netherlands, Germany, England, Portugal, Italy, Croatia, Norway, Greece
Pot 2: France, Montenegro, Russia, Sweden, Denmark, Slovenia, Turkey, Serbia, Slovakia
Pot 3: Switzerland, Israel, Republic of Ireland, Belgium, Czech Republic, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Belarus, Ukraine, Hungary
Pot 4: Bulgaria, Romania, Georgia, Lithuania, Albania, Scotland, Northern Ireland, Austria, Poland
Pot 5: Armenia, Finland, Estonia, Cyprus, Latvia, Moldova, FYR Macedonia, Azerbaijan, Faroe Islands
Pot 6: Wales, Liechtenstein, Iceland, Kazakhstan, Luxembourg, Malta, Andorra, San Marino[/QUOTE]
I think we're going to get Greece (happy days), Serbia (very tough 2nd seed), Poland (very tough 4th seed), Armenia (tough 5th seed) and San Marino. Pure random guesswork but every time I do predictions of our groups for qualifying I get about 2 teams right!!
All in all if we got a group like that I'd be fairly happy, though I would worry that it might be like our group for 2006 where there is alot of draws and we end up with a low points total and a nightmare scenario that we come 2nd and with the lowest points total of all 2nd place teams we don't even make the playoffs.
Just asking why would anyone need a excel sheet to do this? Can't you just eye up the pots and get a general idea for the possibilities in like 2 seconds?
Hehe, indeed. Isn't it all terribly pointless as the draw is done at random anyway? A bit like a BBC headline about the draw yesterday, I kid you not: "England could face France in 2014 World Cup qualifying".
Yes, England could face France, as well as a possible selection of 43 other teams.
This article while possibly a bit sensational in content says a lot about where Irish soccer is at. I have put in here as I wasn't sure where else to put it.
http://www.independent.ie/sport/socc...y-2834709.html