I dunno fellas, he's got as good a chance as the others. FF will have a core of people who will vote FF regardless, that much is very clear. I've already heard people say that he can't do any harm there (normal people too, one's I'd have lots of time for), and that they'd vote for him for that, just to prevent him running for Dublin Lord Mayor! Madness.
Of the alternatives, you'll have the bashers out for Norris, while excuses or claims of eccentricity will be held against Michael D. Who does that leave? Sean Kelly?
Needless to say I won't be voting for the *****.