Originally Posted by
pineapple stu
I think it's very early to be looking up the rankings yet (though I know you're pointing out a change point as much as anything else)
Lot of games to be played today/tomorrow - you wouldn't be confident of two wins against the Gibraltar sides after last week. A win and a draw leaves us on 1.000, and then a fairly severe second round set of games against Sparta Prague, Copenhagen, Zurich and Vaduz is next. The first three of those are surely wipe-outs, so we're hoping Pat's can get something against Vaduz. Let's say Pat's go out with a win and a loss, that has us on 1.250 with only Rovers left. That'd be lower than our score last year (1.500) which had us ranked 43rd for the season - so still a bit of work to do to even tread water.
Monday is the next draw date - if Rovers lose to Sparta, they drop to the third qualifying round of the Europa League. The teams aren't fully known of course, and so nor are the seedings. If we assume the seeds in the CL will all lose, then we have -
FCSB
Shamrock Rovers
Lincoln Red Imps
KÍ Klaksvík/Differdange (KÍ currently 2-0 up)
The New Saints
RFS/Larne (RFS currently 3-0 up)
----------------
Ordabasy/Petrocub (currently 0-0)
Celje
Borac Banja Luka/Egnetia (Borac currently 1-0 up)
Dinamo Minsk
Panev?žys
UE Santa Coloma
Even though Rovers are almost certain to be seeded, strangely the unseeded pot looks stronger, though there's still manageable ties in there. But champions of Romania or champions of Andorra is a huge difference of course. Any upsets in CL round 2 would obviously change the pots a bit - though maybe only to make RFS/Larne an option instead of, say, Ordabasy/Petrocub (who play APOEL Nicosia next and who would be seeded here if they lost)