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Originally Posted by
backstothewall
It seems to me there needs to be a realignment in the south as much as the North. The opportunity was there in 2011 but rather than Labour forming a centre-left opposition against a centre-right FG government they were attacked by the ephemeral sugar rush of being junior coalition partners. The bloody fools.
Just on being a junior coalition partner generally and talk of Sinn Féin entertaining the notion of going into coalition with either FF or FG in the south, I think that would only do long-term damage to the party and its brand in the south; it is presently (rightly or wrongly) seen as part of the progressive wing of Irish politics and is growing more and more popular with younger voters. FF and FG aren't exactly progressive forces, so I'm not sure of the supposed benefits of associating with them, unless it would be Sinn Féin's way of trying to work their way into the Irish establishment (which, it could be argued, does appear to be the trajectory the party has been on over the past two decades). Anyhow, I can see Sinn Féin getting into government in the south as the main party over the next decade or so anyway without needing to cosy up to the establishment parties, so it's just a matter of them biding their time, rather than seeking short-term gain that could prove self-destructive in the long run.
Look what happened Labour - the bloody fools, as you say - or look at what happened the Lib Dems in Britain when they went into government with the Tories. They might well argue that they kept the Tories in check and had a moderating influence upon the Tories' more extreme idiosyncrasies, but that's not what their now-former voters saw. Essentially, that coalition ruined their brand; their former voters punished them in the follow-up and went elsewhere. The problem about being a junior or minority partner is that you don't have the power to ensure that all or even any of your policies will be satisfactorily implemented, but you can be certain that you'll get the blame if they aren't implemented and also for whatever else went wrong "under your watch".
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Harder to see a natural base for FG but many nationalists, myself included, have been impressed by Varadkar & Coveney so even that isn't impossible
Ha, steady on. I've been impressed by them myself, as have most others to whom I've spoken, but there's an added mildly suspicious sense of, "Hmm, what are these guys really up to?" or "What's their long-term game here?", rather than having complete faith in their apparent sincerity. There's certainly no sense of, "I'd vote for these guys if only they fielded candidates up here."
I thought some of the commentary on Varadkar here from republican commentator Séamas Ó Sionnaigh was interesting and I'd happen to concur with his scepticism: https://ansionnachfionn.com/2017/12/...me-travelling/
You have to wonder how much of this “endearingly” suburbanite image is the real Varadkar, the affluent, middle-class yuppie, and how much is the purposely crafted image of his exorbitantly funded Strategic Communications Unit? There is a strong impression with the Dublin West TD that everything he does, from the socks he wears to the television programmes he publicises, is the result of a lengthy decision process by a committee of high-paid spin doctors. There is an artificiality to the present head of government that I don’t quite remember witnessing in previous holders of the office. Even with the self-styled chieftainship of Charles J Haughey. And yet, this is the self-same Taoiseach who has taken the most determined stance against the corrosive interests of the United Kingdom in Ireland’s affairs since the peace process negotiations and contests of the 1990s.
He adds:
Varadkar is something of a conundrum. Very right-wing, of course, in an Irish context at least, in the strand of Anglo-American neo-liberalism.
I certainly think that the Brexit angst has given a lot of Irish politicos and journos, not to mention some of the middle-classes, an injection of sudden overt “greeness”. Apparently it was ok for the Brits to be nasty to the “Nordies” but when they started being nasty to the “real Irish” then the revisionist love affair came to an abrupt end. Or at least took a bit of a blow.
And the following:
I initially assumed, like everyone else, that Varadkar and Coveney were doing a version of good cop/bad cop diplomacy with the British and unionists, but that doesn’t seem to be the case. Both seem genuinely worried about Brexit, the effects of the UK exit on all of Ireland, and the threat of future political and economic instability.
The irony that it took the British kicking over the Free State apple cart for southern nationalists to rediscover some basic and constant truths of Irish history will not be lost on northern nationalists.
Of course, if the British exploited this they would do a deal which ensured the status quo between Ireland (26 Cos.) and the UK (Britain), which is what the FG-led government really wants. Talk of regulatory alignment, British-Irish inter-governmental structures and aspirations to a reunited Ireland, would all be set aside if the Dublin establishment could be mollified in other areas. Then it might be to hell with the north. But that is not possible now, or probably ever. Things are too enmeshed together. The Six Counties can’t be hived off.
Hence the sudden greening of Fine Gael and company, to protect the “State”. And if Fine Gael is green where does that leave Fianna Fáil? Under Martin, apparently as the new FG!
Brexit has turned the political world upside down.
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Originally Posted by
Mr A
But the most urgent thing is to end segregated education. To me that's one of the biggest things that needs to happen to move towards a better future. A secular education system where everyone mixes freely would have huge long term benefits. But the 2 biggest parties and indeed the churches have a vested interest in maintaining the status quo so I won't be holding my breath.
I would personally favour the notion of secular education for any kid(s) I might have (and I think the state - both northern and southern - should be duty-bound to offer such to all citizens within reasonable travelling-distance), but then if parents (particularly those of a potentially-vulnerable minority culture or heritage) want their child to attend a school with a particular faith-based ethos, is it right for the state to step in and block that if someone is prepared to provide that child with such an education (so long as it otherwise meets a standardised set of educational or curricular criteria)? Should integration be coerced?
It's a difficult question, as you're essentially dictating to parents how to raise their children in a way (although I guess it is true to say that the state does that anyway in certain spheres; parents have a responsibility to keep their children in school until a certain age and are also obliged to satisfactorily care for their child or risk intervention by social services, for example). I'm not remotely religious and would view the Church with scepticism - personally, I think its overall influence has been historically detrimental to Irish society - but I think if the Church are willing to continue providing education (perhaps self-funded) that conforms to a general curricular standard, I'd find it difficult to deny a parent the choice to consider that option for their child. In the meantime, the state can fund secular education and extol its virtues.
It is worth noting though that it isn't universally-accepted that integrated education would actually bear the long-term rewards we might seek. Here are a few pages with interesting commentary on the matter from an excellent 1995 book called 'Explaining Northern Ireland: Broken Images' by political scientists Brendan O'Leary and John McGarry:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Cgv3beEXEAIUuIf.jpg
http://i67.tinypic.com/28btglt.png
They say that educational segregation is not cause of ethno-political division (which I think is a fair enough contention), but they're not necessarily convinced that integration would solve such division either. In fact, they claim that integrated education can actually reinforce stereotypes in certain instances and that the focus, in terms of overcoming division, should be on satisfactorily addressing the material, political and national concerns of the respective communities (if that is indeed simultaneously or mutually possible). It's a little more complex than just integrating education and everything turning out rosy. Thinking practically, O'Leary and McGarry happen to favour equal state funding for all educational sectors (integrated and denominational) whilst preserving a common curriculum, but do make a few sensible suggestions as to how social division might be challenged or alleviated within this framework.