no, cos we would then probably need one point to avoid being the worst runner up....
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Just to throw the cat amongst the pigeons a little, been looking again at the tables and unless I'm mistaken:
We could still finish in second and not qualify if we don't pick up any more points and Bulgaria don't win their last two matches. Both Norway and ourselves currently have a goal difference of +2 so obviously if we lose both matches we'd remain on the same actual points as them (and if Montenegro beat us then Georgia would remain bottom of the group so our second placed team ranking total points would also remain unaffected) but have a worse goal difference .
If we don't beat Montenegro at home we don't deserve to go. Simple as that.
you are correct, but the bigger risk is losing to italy, drawing with montenegro and the bulgarians overtaking us.... though as the cyprus v bulgaria games is over before our game v italy starts, if bulgaria do not win, i absolutely expect our game to be a mutually convenient draw!