Middle East on fire - should we worry
I'm sure lots of posters on here have been on holidays at one time or another to the Middle East. I'm sure some have even been to Egypt and are looking on at the events there in surprise and worry. I've been watching events grow from the Tunisia mayhem to what is happening now in Egypt, what is building in Jordan and what is also happening, though less noticed, in Yemen.
Now, maybe it's just me, though I doubt it, but I'm getting worried by what is happening. When I hear the US spokespeople embracing "change" and "increasing international pressure" being put on Mubarak to get out, it just shatters my belief that these people who advocate placating the mob, actually know what's going on. These countries don't do democracy well, they do autocracy badly, and the one thing do manage is to keep tabs on the fundies who would love to grab control.
If Mubarak goes, and "democracy" comes in, Israel is in serious trouble. The people who are going to take over are the type who don't believe in religious harmony, remember this is a country where Christians are slaughtered and liberal muslims end up swinging from lamp posts.
Worse still, if Jordan goes, then we're going to have even more trouble. Jordan is a police state, though it's the only one in the Middle East that granted Palestinians citizenship and let them take an active part in civic life - the marriages of the royals bolstered this. It's almost 50-50 between native Jordanians and Palestinians, Jordan are a trading nation and balance the wild east (Iraq) with a relatively calm west (Israel and Lebanon).
I am no fan of Israeli policy. That they allow so many criminal types in and are in existence thanks to American firepower, says bad things for them. However I appreciate the fact that they are a progressive nation, with many elements we appreciate in European society - plus it's not their fault they've been dumped with the legacy of American and European distaste. They at least provide a buffer against the hypocritical rulers of Saudi and the military regimes of Egypt, Jordan and Syria.
From what I can see in the Irish, British, US and general European media - getting rid of Mubarak and his kleptocrats - to give the country democracy, is a frightening prospect. Mubarak has been a thug and ruled with an iron fist, and even he can't keep the fundies at bay. What happens when they take over - see Iran.