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Rather than continuing a discussion on UCD in a thread on the Galway forum I thought I would continue it here.
The gap between UCD and Galway on the field is big- 70 points IIRC. They won't and can't score more than us in licensing which counts for 15%. Infrastructure we should score almost full marks which is 10%. There's more but I'm not bothered going into it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Poor Student
Maybe you have a more intimate knowledge of the scoring system and can guess how we'll score with absolute certainty. I don't and I won't be making assumptions on anything.Quote:
Originally Posted by DmanDmythDledge
To put it simply Yes.
Although it won't be by much.The way i see it UCD will be 11th,Bray 12th and UTD 13th.
If we lose out i think it will be to Bray but only by at most 10-20 points.UCD should be in it next year but with the FAI you never know.Also none of us know how the IAG marked the off the field criteria.Everyone is making assumptions going by the on the filed calculations and then giving a rough guesstimate as to where they think their club will be placed.
If marked fairly, I'd expect Bray to be in more trouble than us but like everyone else, I'm just guessing.
Bigger than that, I think. Thought it was over 100 points.Quote:
Originally Posted by DmanDmythDledge
Attendances count for 70 marks (all figures to come are ballpark 'cos I don't remember exactly). There's 35 for each of two parts. The first compares your crowds to the top draw in the league - first place (Derry) gets 35 points, and everyone else loses 1 point for every 150 their attendances are lower than Derry's. If you then compare us to, say, Galway, Dundalk, Bray and Waterford, we're roughly 500 behind, which is 4 points tops. Then you weight the crowds by virtue of where you finished in the league (there's a multiplier of 1 for top half of the Premier, 1.5 for bottom half, 2 for top half of the First Division and 2.5 for bottom half of the First Division). Same rules, and we'd end up losing maybe another ten marks there.
Incidentally, we finished in sixth in the league, one place ahead of St Pat's. Pat's will get more points from this season than us anyway because they got to the Cup Final, so our total for this season alone would have been the same had we finished sixth or seventh. But, had we finished seventh, our attendances would have been increased by half and we'd haev closed the gap on the top club and so gained more points. It's so small as to make no real difference - about 2 or 3 points - but it's another example of why the system is so utterly flawed - we acually lose points by finishing higher in the league!
Incidentally lads I'd just like to wish UCD all the best for next week's decision, have always had a lot of time for UCD as a club and had a great time up at the cup match this summer. If you lot do drop down it will be an absolute disgrace that should be no cause of rejoicing for whatever club takes your place, but as I say, I'm keeping my fingers crossed you lot are still in the Premier next year for the sake of keeping a bit of dignity in the Eircom League at the very least
Thanks for that jebusQuote:
Originally Posted by jebus
And I hope Limerick FC in some shape or form are in the League next year.
Limerick United hosted us in the Market's Field in our very first League game in 1979. The same opposition foisted our very worst defeat the same season in our home game. Some of our best times and worst times have occurred when we have been in the same Division as Limerick teams and it would be a shame if the Country's third largest city had no EL club in the new set up.
Limerick City beat us in the Shield final in 1983/1984.
Limerick City inflicted our only home defeat in 1984/85 when we finished 4th in the League.
We beat Limerick City on two out of three occasions when they won the First Division 1991/92 season. And we got full points from them when we won the First Division in 1994/95. And did well again in the Promotion/Relegation play off in 1997/98 and again in our promotion from the First Division in 2004 Season.
The Ireland on Sunday believes it will be the Premier IX plus Shamrock Rovers. However they only seem to have guessed at it as the article insists only 4 people currently know who the 12 are.
I wouldn't bet on that. It's almost certain that a team(s) will be promoted and relegated from both divisions.Quote:
Originally Posted by Poor Student
Quote:
Originally Posted by Poor Student
I think the Mirror called it the same way yesterday for what it's worth
Worth very little considering it's the Mirror.Quote:
Originally Posted by jebus
I'd agree with Mypost i reckon there could may well be a promotion and relegation tomorrow.
Do we not think that Shamrock Rovers up and Dublin City down constitutes a promotion/relegation? As indeed you could argue about Dundalk down and Waterford up.
I have a feeling its gonna be the 11 plus rovers. Wont be the end of the world if we dont go up as we have a great chance of winning the first next year which would mean extra prize money and a chance of the setanta. It will also be easier staying up the year after next as 3 go down next season.
As it only makes up a league of 12 teams, no. The system was devised before the PD lost a club. As Rovers were probably promoted before then, someone would have had to go down.Quote:
Originally Posted by pineapple stu
I predict 2 clubs will be relegated and 3 promoted. 4 of the the 1st Division clubs can go up. So I expect more than one will. To leave it at 11 + us would make a joke of the criteria.
How do you make a joke of a joke?
How would it make a joke of the criteria if 11 teams in the Premier plus Rovers get more points than teams that are currently in the First Division?Quote:
Originally Posted by mypost
Oh, and mypost's definition of promotion and relegation is completely flawed. If Rovers are in the First Division this year (which they are) and in the Premier next year (which they ought to be), then they got promoted. Simple as. Ditto Waterford and Dundalk.
The league is being decided on various criteria, and if it is applied, someone is going to go up, and go down. If it's just the current 11+us, then the criteria will have been ignored and be a fix, therefore a joke.Quote:
Originally Posted by DmanDmythDledge
So seeing as you have knowledge of everything that goes on in all the clubs in the league, and what was submitted to the IAG, please tell everyone what the make up of the Premier should be. :rolleyes:Quote:
Originally Posted by mypost
Care to actually outline with some detail what you're on about? Please explain who in the top flight should be replaced by who in the First and taking into account the off field ratings and your understanding of the breakdown of the off the field criteria how that will be possible.Quote:
Originally Posted by mypost