Originally Posted by Stuttgart88
I honestly think that we should look to win the group.
Best case scenario, if my calculations are right, is that France & Swiss draw twice. Next best is a win for each of them. Worst case, assuming the French are our most serious threat to first place, is 6 points for France. The max that we can get off the Swiss is 4 so that gives them a potential 2 point advantage over us if they beat Swiss twice.
Two draws in the FRA vs SWISS games would allow us to draw in Israel, and draw at home to both FRA & SWISS AND we can still finish joint top! Put another way, a draw in both those games means we only need to win one of Isreal away and FRA & SWISS at home (assuming we beat Israel at home, FAR & CYP away) to win the group.