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Kingdom
26/11/2007, 8:32 AM
;)
Time to head back to Optimists Anonymous there, The Boss.

I dunno, he won the Predictions Cup and came 3rd in the predictions League so he must know something

Kingdom
26/11/2007, 8:39 AM
:)[QUOTE=shakermaker1982;824260]was watching this live online at Knock airport waiting for my flight home and my first impression was "oh sh**".UOTE]

Why??? Did you realise it's a joke of an airport, or did you see the pilot winding the propellor?

tetsujin1979
26/11/2007, 9:19 AM
Delaney's reaction to the draw: http://www.skysports.com/video/0,20285,12606_2921710,00.html

tetsujin1979
26/11/2007, 9:29 AM
Round up of the opposition: http://www.independent.ie/sport/soccer/lowdown-on-our-group-8-rivals-1230349.html
I'd forgotten about the 1-1 draw with Bulgaria under Kerr. Which is odd, considering this - http://tetsujin1979.googlepages.com/ReidsGoal.JPG - is my wallpaper!

youngirish
26/11/2007, 9:50 AM
Happy enough with that draw. While Montenegro are a strong 6th seed considering we struggle against the poorer teams more so than the other so called 'big' teams in the group it should suit us to have a 6th seed team that should also take points off our rivals for qualification rather than just us. Cyprus are one of the weakest 4th seeds irrespective of what they did to us under that plonker Staunton. Georgia are a very average 5th seed - Latvia, Albania, Armenia and Austria would all be more difficult for us IMO.

Bulgaria are one of the poorest second seeds.

Italy will run away with the group then it's realistically us or Bulgaria for second bar a major surprise. Don't understand all the doom and gloom.

cavan_fan
26/11/2007, 9:56 AM
I'm fairly happy. If you take Italy out, then the question is could we win a group containing Bulgaria, Georgia, Cyprus and Montenegro and I think yes we could. Bulgaria have a few star players but in those terms so do we. I'd give a well run Irish team a fighting chance in this group.

I was comparing it to the last group and I think it's easier (not surprisingly since there are more groups this time and so the quality is more distributed. (By the way as a parting shot to Stan, we'd have been fourth seeds under the previous system, 4 year plan my a*se)

Italy vs Germany - Not much in it but in a way I'd pick Italy here. They seem to have made heavy work of qualifying for a few tournaments recently whcih Germany rarely do. In the end both are class teams and should qualify.

Bulgaria vs Czech Republic - Probably the most improtant comparison. Bulgaria are probably a coming team whereas we thought (and I still do) the Czech's had their best days behind them. As someone else has said the 2 Petrov's, Bojinov and Berbatov are a formidable set of forwards, but there defence may not be as great. I think I'd take Bulgaria over the Czechs two years ago, but I could look very stupid. I do remember however being told by many people on here how the Slovak's were going to be a great sode etc etc. We seem to sometimes overestimate the unknown.

Cyprus vs. Cyprus (I know they were fifth seeds and are now fourth seeds but it makes sense to compare). Oddly I think Cyprus are a much easier proposition this time. We had 2 odd matches against them. In the first we went in thinking we were playing some minnows and could p*ss about. We were obviously wrong but we did teach the other teams in the group a lesson. How different might it have been if they had already got their draw against Germany. The second game was a dire performance, to my mind the worst I have ever seen from us but we still drew with them. If we are capable of playing like that agains we wont qualify whoever is in oru group but I think we should aim for 6 points here.

Slovakia vs. Georgia. Anyone who saw Georgia play Scotland will have a false impression of them. They did draw with Ukraine but lost twice to Lithuania and their main strike threat is Arveladze. Admittedly Slovakia were poo too but Georgia are a weak team that again should not worry a well run side.

Wales vs. Montenegro. Dont play Montenegro first. Let Italy play them first, then get in. They have some good results in friendlies and are no 6th seed but as someone pointed out their population is 600,000. They have one good payer in Vucinic, the rest play for clubs that eL teams would expect to beat. Would rather have Montenegro than Wales any time.

San Marino vs no-one. In reality the Euro group was also a 6 team group as everyone got 6 points against San Marino (some easier than others). I'm glad we dont have a joke team this time as it is no win situation.

So all in all an easier group than one where we came third. We can qualify if we are well run, start well and get 4 poitns off Bulgaria.

galwayhoop
26/11/2007, 9:56 AM
I think one of the good things about the group is that everyone is capable of taking points of each other. Italy and Bulgaria will definitely drop points on their travels, if we can beat the teams seeded below us home and away (a tough ask but definitely not beyond us) and get results against Bulgaria, we'll get 2nd place.
while it is true that everyone is capable of beating everyone in our group this may be a problem when it comes dwn to 'best' second placed teams.
italy are not the worst 1st seed imo, at the start or end of tournaments a lot of times they cant be ars€d. they are also partial to accepting a draw if they look like qualifing.
hard to see us getting many wins away from home either.
tbh though nearly all of the groups are as tough/tougher except group 2 and i perhaps wouldn't have minded group 4 (russia seem weak enough on their last few qualifing games and germany are imo beatable).

Billsthoughts
26/11/2007, 9:56 AM
Happy enough with that draw. While Montenegro are a strong 6th seed considering we struggle against the poorer teams more so than the other so called 'big' teams in the group it should suit us to have a 6th seed team that should also take points off our rivals for qualification rather than just us. Cyprus are one of the weakest 4th seeds irrespective of what they did to us under that plonker Staunton. Georgia are a very average 5th seed - Latvia, Albania, Armenia and Austria would all be more difficult for us IMO.

Bulgaria are one of the poorest second seeds.

Italy will run away with the group then it's realistically us or Bulgaria for second bar a major surprise. Don't understand all the doom and gloom.

Good post

elroy
26/11/2007, 9:57 AM
I think we should play Cyprus away as late as possible, look at their results and performances at the end of the last campaign as opposed to the start. We should play them at home early enough and perhaps bulgaria. If we could get six points there, have a head start on bulgaria. Im sure when is best to play the italians, not going to be easy. if we get 3 points out of the two games with them we will do well.

Its not a great group but second place is definitely achievable. Compare like with like:

Germany V Italy
Czech Rep V Bulgaria
Slovakia
Wales V Georgia
Cyprus V Cyprus
Andorra V Montenegro

Overall this group is certainly not harder than our previous campaign, other than Montenegro, there is little difference between the two. you would argue that Italy are slightly better than the Germans and the Czechs are better than bulgaria. In fairness, with a bit of management and organisation we couldve qualified from the last campaign, no reason why second is not very possible this time around. (Plus Bulgaria is a good omen for us - Euro 88 campaign anyone!!)

btid1
26/11/2007, 10:40 AM
After reading the 16+ pages of this thread the one thing that strikes me and the one phrase I could use to sum it up is : "Every game is a cup final"!!!

This could go one of two ways.

1. It could work in our favour as Italy and Bulgaria drop points against the lower seeded teams and we profit from this.

2. It could work against us as we once again fail to beat teams of mediocore ability.

I look forward to a new period in Irish football under a new manager with revitalised players.Lets be positive and think we can qualify because if we dont we may as well throw in the towel now.It will be tough there is no doubt about that but we have to believe we can do it.

Looking forward to the trip to Italy particularly.Anyone know where they play there games?Is it Rome or do they move around?

lionelhutz
26/11/2007, 10:46 AM
the swiss got some handy group there and i'd d a swap with the north no problem

are you kidding me?? We'd come fifth no doubt in the norths group

RogerMilla
26/11/2007, 10:49 AM
they move around , scotland played in Bari , would quite fancy naples

lionelhutz
26/11/2007, 10:56 AM
Theres a serious chance we don't win any away games in this group.

I see Montenegro's star man plays for Roma!! :O

Our star man plays for Newcastle!!

endabob1
26/11/2007, 11:04 AM
This is a very, very tricky group.
My one consolation is that I think everyone will drop points somewhere and Italy might just romp home with games to spare.
If we get our games sorted correctly (like McCarthy did for Japan) we could nick 2nd. Either play Italy very early and catch them a bit cold post Euro 2008 or leave then until the end when they are already through, Cyprus should be avoided until as late as possible, they run out of steam in the group once they are mathematically out of it. The other side to avoid in the early games could be Montenegro as they will be very "up for it" as it's their first ever campaign.
So I think Italy away in September (Maybe, snatch a point, nothing lost if you lose) followed by Georgia at home to get a morale boosting win. Then Montenegro at home then take on Bulgaria with 2 wins under your belt and a bit of confidence in the side.

AidoM
26/11/2007, 11:34 AM
.........If we get our games sorted correctly (like McCarthy did for Japan) we could nick 2nd.

Agreed. Our fate in this group could well be decided as much off the field and on it depending how the fixtures are organised. Unfortunately the non availability of Croker for the September fixtures means we will have our (at least) first match away.

There will be a big onus on those sitting in on the fixtures meeting to take all the factors into account. If we don't (or even do) have a manager in place for the fixtures meeting a great deal of thought should be given to this process to the extent that the FAI should review how they did it in the past (in terms of success and failures) and have plans X, Y and Z ready for the meeting. There might be a case for getting advice from Mick and others on this. However, given their track record on listening to, never mind hearing, advice I won't be holding my breath.

Drumcondra 69er
26/11/2007, 11:53 AM
First game away to Italy is a must given the unavailibility of Croker. Catch them cold after the Euros, their seson starts later then elsewhere in Europe to.

Bondvillain
26/11/2007, 12:10 PM
First game away to Italy is a must given the unavailibility of Croker. Catch them cold after the Euros, their seson starts later then elsewhere in Europe to.

Which is why the Italians will probably be focused on what they would consider a nice relaxing trip to Cyprus or Montenegro in September, and will be having none of this "Tournament hangover; stealth attack in Rome" guff from the Irish or Bulgarians come negotiation time...."Bugger off to Georgia, or, hell, bate the bejaysus out of each other in Sofia", they'll say, "And we'll give yez a ring when our league starts proper. We aren't stupid, y'know..."

SuperDave
26/11/2007, 12:17 PM
Wow really? Landsdowne is supposed to re-open in September 2008? I had no idea, that was really fast.

i honestly though it was due to open in ear;y 2009, not 2010. my bad.

Drumcondra 69er
26/11/2007, 12:26 PM
Which is why the Italians will probably be focused on what they would consider a nice relaxing trip to Cyprus or Montenegro in September, and will be having none of this "Tournament hangover; stealth attack in Rome" guff from the Irish or Bulgarians come negotiation time...."Bugger off to Georgia, or, hell, bate the bejaysus out of each other in Sofia", they'll say, "And we'll give yez a ring when our league starts proper. We aren't stupid, y'know..."


Didn't stop us getting early games against the Dutch, Russians, French and Germans away the last 4 campaigns, I'm sure they'd all have had similar trhoughts. There's always give and take.

EalingGreen
26/11/2007, 12:42 PM
Ouch! Have to say that having got a reasonably "easy" draw for Euro2008, this WC Draw has exacted its revenge on you.

Italy - Best team in the entire Draw, will qualify in 1st place no doubt, so no outside chance of ROI somehow sneaking into 1st place (e.g. following the other teams cancelling each other out)

Bulgaria - Can't say I know much about them, other than their ECQ form was excellent, they seem to be on the up-and-up and they've got Berbatov - be afraid, be very afraid! (I've been watching Spurs for nearly 25 years now, and seen some top strikers in that time - Lineker, Sheringham, Klinnsmann etc - but in terms of sheer all-round talent, Berba may be the best of the lot, even if he needs a move to a better side to realise it fully)

Cyprus - Everyone is saying that the ROI won't fear them/will be out for revenge etc, which is true enough. But I still think this overlooks some decent performances by Cyprus in other games. Plus the fact that Cyprus won't fear ROI, either.

Georgia - Poor enough, it must be acknowledged, except for one worrying thought. That recent game where they beat Scotland might not be just "one of those things". Apparently the Coach decided the Old Guard needed shifting out and threw in the youngsters instead. (There were at least two 17-year-olds). It might be best to avoid them early on, at least before a couple of beatings takes the youthful optimism and lack of fear out of them?

Montenegro - The bottom seed that NOBODY wanted. History is full of examples of new countries bursting from the traps at 100 mph - Slovenia, Latvia, even the Faroes!

By contrast, I'd have to admit NI's Draw was about as kind as we could have expected - compensation for Euro2008?

eekers
26/11/2007, 12:45 PM
i think we should let the fai and venables work the fixture timetable around venables's media engagements and the many pies he has fingers in.

Kingdom
26/11/2007, 12:57 PM
Georgia - Poor enough, it must be acknowledged, except for one worrying thought. That recent game where they beat Scotland might not be just "one of those things". Apparently the Coach decided the Old Guard needed shifting out and threw in the youngsters instead. (There were at least two 17-year-olds). It might be best to avoid them early on, at least before a couple of beatings takes the youthful optimism and lack of fear out of them?


By contrast, I'd have to admit NI's Draw was about as kind as we could have expected - compensation for Euro2008?


Georgia had a 16 yr old, a 17 yr old keeper, another 17 yr old and an 18 yr old centre half playing against Scotland. Yikes.

And I really think ye got a great draw. If your form against the weaker teams improves even slightly I reckon ye have a chance of 2nd.

Schumi
26/11/2007, 1:04 PM
Ouch! Have to say that having got a reasonably "easy" draw for Euro2008, this WC Draw has exacted its revenge on you.You think? Germany and Italy would be of similar quality I'd think and the Czechs are a much better side than Bulgaria. I don't see how this could be considered a harder group than the last one.

Cymro
26/11/2007, 1:10 PM
By contrast, I'd have to admit NI's Draw was about as kind as we could have expected - compensation for Euro2008?

I cannot agree with that statement. Slovakia are up and down but very good on their day. Slovenia are also good as fifth seeds come. Poland always seem to qualify for tournament finals as do the Czechs.

Northern Ireland have a chance if they can play as they did in the Euro 2008 campaign, of course, but you could certainly have got a better group. Greece got lucky again getting the easiest group. They must be the weakest team to qualify for so many major tournaments in a generation and they'll probably do it again.

Cymro
26/11/2007, 1:15 PM
I'm fairly happy. If you take Italy out, then the question is could we win a group containing Bulgaria, Georgia, Cyprus and Montenegro and I think yes we could. Bulgaria have a few star players but in those terms so do we. I'd give a well run Irish team a fighting chance in this group.

I was comparing it to the last group and I think it's easier (not surprisingly since there are more groups this time and so the quality is more distributed. (By the way as a parting shot to Stan, we'd have been fourth seeds under the previous system, 4 year plan my a*se)

Italy vs Germany - Not much in it but in a way I'd pick Italy here. They seem to have made heavy work of qualifying for a few tournaments recently whcih Germany rarely do. In the end both are class teams and should qualify.

Bulgaria vs Czech Republic - Probably the most improtant comparison. Bulgaria are probably a coming team whereas we thought (and I still do) the Czech's had their best days behind them. As someone else has said the 2 Petrov's, Bojinov and Berbatov are a formidable set of forwards, but there defence may not be as great. I think I'd take Bulgaria over the Czechs two years ago, but I could look very stupid. I do remember however being told by many people on here how the Slovak's were going to be a great sode etc etc. We seem to sometimes overestimate the unknown.

Cyprus vs. Cyprus (I know they were fifth seeds and are now fourth seeds but it makes sense to compare). Oddly I think Cyprus are a much easier proposition this time. We had 2 odd matches against them. In the first we went in thinking we were playing some minnows and could p*ss about. We were obviously wrong but we did teach the other teams in the group a lesson. How different might it have been if they had already got their draw against Germany. The second game was a dire performance, to my mind the worst I have ever seen from us but we still drew with them. If we are capable of playing like that agains we wont qualify whoever is in oru group but I think we should aim for 6 points here.

Slovakia vs. Georgia. Anyone who saw Georgia play Scotland will have a false impression of them. They did draw with Ukraine but lost twice to Lithuania and their main strike threat is Arveladze. Admittedly Slovakia were poo too but Georgia are a weak team that again should not worry a well run side.

Wales vs. Montenegro. Dont play Montenegro first. Let Italy play them first, then get in. They have some good results in friendlies and are no 6th seed but as someone pointed out their population is 600,000. They have one good payer in Vucinic, the rest play for clubs that eL teams would expect to beat. Would rather have Montenegro than Wales any time.

San Marino vs no-one. In reality the Euro group was also a 6 team group as everyone got 6 points against San Marino (some easier than others). I'm glad we dont have a joke team this time as it is no win situation.

So all in all an easier group than one where we came third. We can qualify if we are well run, start well and get 4 poitns off Bulgaria.

We were fifth seeds for the Euro 2008 group, Cyprus were sixth. Your post should read Wales vs Georgia and Cyprus vs Montenegro.

Drumcondra 69er
26/11/2007, 1:15 PM
Ouch! Have to say that having got a reasonably "easy" draw for Euro2008, this WC Draw has exacted its revenge on you.

Italy - Best team in the entire Draw, will qualify in 1st place no doubt, so no outside chance of ROI somehow sneaking into 1st place (e.g. following the other teams cancelling each other out)

Bulgaria - Can't say I know much about them, other than their ECQ form was excellent, they seem to be on the up-and-up and they've got Berbatov - be afraid, be very afraid! (I've been watching Spurs for nearly 25 years now, and seen some top strikers in that time - Lineker, Sheringham, Klinnsmann etc - but in terms of sheer all-round talent, Berba may be the best of the lot, even if he needs a move to a better side to realise it fully)

Cyprus - Everyone is saying that the ROI won't fear them/will be out for revenge etc, which is true enough. But I still think this overlooks some decent performances by Cyprus in other games. Plus the fact that Cyprus won't fear ROI, either.

Georgia - Poor enough, it must be acknowledged, except for one worrying thought. That recent game where they beat Scotland might not be just "one of those things". Apparently the Coach decided the Old Guard needed shifting out and threw in the youngsters instead. (There were at least two 17-year-olds). It might be best to avoid them early on, at least before a couple of beatings takes the youthful optimism and lack of fear out of them?

Montenegro - The bottom seed that NOBODY wanted. History is full of examples of new countries bursting from the traps at 100 mph - Slovenia, Latvia, even the Faroes!

By contrast, I'd have to admit NI's Draw was about as kind as we could have expected - compensation for Euro2008?


Don't think our group is as bad as all that, Italy can be got at as Scotland showed last week. You never know what you're going to get with Italy so we could take something from them.

Bulgaria are not as good as the czechs, montenegro are an unknown quantity alright but would still fancy us to beat them.

Have to say, you got very lucky with your group, you should fancy your chances.

I'd say there'll be some amount of Poles looking for away tickets and hopping on the train from Dublin for that game, the Polish community here are chuffed with it!

ifk101
26/11/2007, 1:16 PM
I think this is a reasonable group for us.

With the exception of Italy, we should be more than capable of winning all our home games. We should also have reasonable chances of winning our away games in Georgia, Cyprus and Montenegro. I watched Montenegro play a friendly against a second string Swedish side a month or so back and they look useful enough for a pot 6 team but we are capable of taking six points of them. Think Iceland and that's how good Montenegro are.

Recent results and "achievements" by Cyprus and Georgia are more down to opposition short-comings than these teams becoming better. If we can appoint a manager that can organise the team we can win home and away against Cyprus and Georgia.

IMO a goal of 20 points is realistic but maybe I should reserve judgement until the new manager is appointed.

Bondvillain
26/11/2007, 1:19 PM
Didn't stop us getting early games against the Dutch, Russians, French and Germans away the last 4 campaigns, I'm sure they'd all have had similar trhoughts. There's always give and take.


The points tally from that trip down memory lane makes me think that maybe taking on the big guns straight out of the traps may not be such a brilliant idea after all.......


Anyway, my point was, Italy are (cliche alert!) 'slow starters' . We know this. the Bulgarians know this. The Italians know we know this. We know Bulgaria know this. The Italians know we know the Bulgarians know this.

If I were Italy, Id slink off to Pod or Nicosia in balmy September for a 'warm up' to try and get a few points on the board for intimidation purposes (they are world champions, and are therefore entitled to be pretentious), and leave the Paddys and the Bulgars to Kick their heels in Georgia & ruminate over lost chances and "grand plans" gone arsways.

It may not happen, but you never know.

Today's word is "know"

EalingGreen
26/11/2007, 1:32 PM
You think? Germany and Italy would be of similar quality I'd think and the Czechs are a much better side than Bulgaria. I don't see how this could be considered a harder group than the last one.

Italy are a cut above Germany. They won the WC there, after all, whereas Germany only got to the semis, despite home advantage and Klinsi's inspirational leadership. Also, in Euro2008 qualifying, they topped a much harder Group than Germany's, who only finished second. (This was primarily due to Germany dropping sloppy points in easy/dead games in a way which previous German sides hardly ever did. Whereas Italy did what was needed)

And whilst the Czechs were a better side than Bulg in Autumn 2006, I think they're now in decline, whereas Bulg may be on the up. Certainly, I wouldn't be surprised if Bulg were better than the (ageing) Czechs by the time WC2010 qualification ends.

osarusan
26/11/2007, 1:45 PM
Anyway, my point was, Italy are (cliche alert!) 'slow starters' . We know this. the Bulgarians know this. The Italians know we know this. We know Bulgaria know this. The Italians know we know the Bulgarians know this.


Very good:D Got a good laugh out of it!

Metrostars
26/11/2007, 1:45 PM
Contrary to what most people are saying, I hope we play Italy in our final games, September/October 09.... hopefully they will have qualification sown up by then and would not too worried by losing to us.

Armando
26/11/2007, 1:46 PM
What will stand to us is that any points gained against Montenegro will be discounted if we are in contention for a playoff place and there are some tougher groups than ours, so IF!! we were to come 2nd I'd be confident we wouldn't be the worst runner up.



..only if Montenegro finish bottom.

Kingdom
26/11/2007, 1:54 PM
..only if Montenegro finish bottom.

Noted Armando, I'm just not good with the edit button. :)

EalingGreen
26/11/2007, 2:04 PM
Italy can be got at as Scotland showed last week.

Er, Italy beat Scotland last week, as well as at home, unlike France, who lost home and away to them.


You never know what you're going to get with Italy so we could take something from them.


Sorry, but all bar the top teams know exactly what they're going to get from Italy: Beaten! They haven't failed to qualify for a WCF since 1958 (when NI eliminated them!;)); indeed the only two times they didn't top their Group, they were only a point behind the leaders but miles ahead of third. If ROI get a point at home, that will be well-earned. As for in Italy... When did ROI last win a competitive match away to a top ranking team?


Bulgaria are not as good as the czechs, montenegro are an unknown quantity alright but would still fancy us to beat them.


As I've said elsewhere, I think Bulg may be improving and the Czechs in decline. And you took one point from the Czechs.
As for Montenegro, you may well be right about beating them. But you'd have to fancy your chances of beating the other 6th Seeds even more highly.



Have to say, you got very lucky with your group, you should fancy your chances.


Agreed about the draw - should finish third, but with a reasonable chance of 2nd. Our away from is too poor to have any chance of 1st, mind, and will likely be responsible if we miss out on 2nd.



I'd say there'll be some amount of Poles looking for away tickets and hopping on the train from Dublin for that game, the Polish community here are chuffed with it!

Aye, but they'll need to be quick to outpace all the Poles already in NI, never mind those in GB (1/4 million?), never mind 40 million Poles, er, in Poland, only a Ryanair flight away!

Maroon 7
26/11/2007, 2:17 PM
Italy are a cut above Germany. They won the WC there, after all, whereas Germany only got to the semis, despite home advantage and Klinsi's inspirational leadership. Also, in Euro2008 qualifying, they topped a much harder Group than Germany's, who only finished second. (This was primarily due to Germany dropping sloppy points in easy/dead games in a way which previous German sides hardly ever did. Whereas Italy did what was needed)

And whilst the Czechs were a better side than Bulg in Autumn 2006, I think they're now in decline, whereas Bulg may be on the up. Certainly, I wouldn't be surprised if Bulg were better than the (ageing) Czechs by the time WC2010 qualification ends.

Well it remains to be seen. Italy will likely lose a couple of players after the Euros. The Germans still have quite a young side that is getting better all the time. They are definitely a "coming team". The Germans only finished 2nd in our group as they took their foot of the pedal in the last couple of matches mindful of being thrown into the same seeding pool as Austria and Switzerland and possibly getting drawn in a group of death. They were definitely the best team in our group IMO but were content to take 2nd place. It's a bit irrevelant anyway as the vast majority of first seeds are going to win their groups so with the best will in the world we're not going to be challenging for top spot either way.

The Czechs have some players who are getting on but some useful young players coming through as well. I actually thought they might show their age a little in our group but they didn't at all. They still look fairly sprightly. Bulgaria I haven't seen play in a while but I would still think the Czechs are better than them.

I think you could probably say the Italians are a bit better than the Germans and the Czechs are a bit better than the Bulgarians but realistically our main battle is going to be with the Bulgarians. Not the Italians.

We don't have a real minnow in our group that you could say is 6 guaranteed points. That much is true but Georgia and Cyprus probably aren't as good as the Slovakians. The Slovaks big problem is that they are brilliant one day. Not very good the next. Looking at it this way if we were drawn in NI's group I'd be feeling pretty much the same way about our chances. We'd have a reasonable chance of claming 2nd spot if we perform. No more. No less.

Drumcondra 69er
26/11/2007, 2:22 PM
Er, Italy beat Scotland last week, as well as at home, unlike France, who lost home and away to them.

Sorry, but all bar the top teams know exactly what they're going to get from Italy: Beaten! They haven't failed to qualify for a WCF since 1958 (when NI eliminated them!); indeed the only two times they didn't top their Group, they were only a point behind the leaders but miles ahead of third. If ROI get a point at home, that will be well-earned. As for in Italy... When did ROI last win a competitive match away to a top ranking team?



No sh1t Sherlock, I didn't say they lost, I said they can be got at, the scots were all over them in the second half and, notwithstanding earlier errors by the officials, would have earned a draw were it not for an embarrassing decision to give Italy a free kick when the foul had clearly been committed by the Italian. What relevance is France to this debate?

Italy drew at home to Lithuania this campaign and only won 2-1 against the Faroes. Drew with Scotland and struggled against Moldova and Slovenia campaign before. Lost to Wales prior to that and had another draw with Lithuania as far as I recall. 'All bar the top teams'? Nonsense.

As for using out last campaign as any sort of benchmark you can forget about it given the inadequacies of the manager, a lot will depend on the ability of the new man to get the best out of a clearly underperforming squad. I don't fancy our chances should the wrong man be put in charge.

DaveyCakes
26/11/2007, 2:39 PM
No sh1t Sherlock, I didn't say they lost, I said they can be got at, the scots were all over them in the second half and, notwithstanding earlier errors by the officials, would have earned a draw were it not for an embarrassing decision to give Italy a free kick when the foul had clearly been committed by the Italian. What relevance is France to this debate?



They might have got a draw if they'd done a basic marking job for the free kick!

endabob1
26/11/2007, 2:51 PM
Can we drop the plucky/unlucky Scotland were done by the officials bit? Scotlands goal was a yard or more offside, Italy had a perfectly good goal ruled out, the decisions went both ways and the best team won.

galwayhoop
26/11/2007, 3:05 PM
Can we drop the plucky/unlucky Scotland were done by the officials bit? Scotlands goal was a yard or more offside, Italy had a perfectly good goal ruled out, the decisions went both ways and the best team won.

i think the point that it is possible to get something off them is valid all the same.

a lot will depend when we play them, iff they need a result i would expect them to turn us over, however if they are not too bothered (perhaps early on in the group) or if they have qualified then they will be happy enough to play out for a draw.

italian teams are masters of just doing enough, hopefully we get them at a time when enough (for them) is very little and then you never know.

NeilMcD
26/11/2007, 3:19 PM
Er, Italy beat Scotland last week, as well as at home, unlike France, who lost home and away to them.



Sorry, but all bar the top teams know exactly what they're going to get from Italy: Beaten! They haven't failed to qualify for a WCF since 1958 (when NI eliminated them!;)); indeed the only two times they didn't top their Group, they were only a point behind the leaders but miles ahead of third. If ROI get a point at home, that will be well-earned. As for in Italy... When did ROI last win a competitive match away to a top ranking team?



As I've said elsewhere, I think Bulg may be improving and the Czechs in decline. And you took one point from the Czechs.
As for Montenegro, you may well be right about beating them. But you'd have to fancy your chances of beating the other 6th Seeds even more highly.



Agreed about the draw - should finish third, but with a reasonable chance of 2nd. Our away from is too poor to have any chance of 1st, mind, and will likely be responsible if we miss out on 2nd.



Aye, but they'll need to be quick to outpace all the Poles already in NI, never mind those in GB (1/4 million?), never mind 40 million Poles, er, in Poland, only a Ryanair flight away!


Just wondering is there any Republic of Ireland fans who go onto the Northern Irish equivalent of foot.ie and give such detailed critiques of their chances of their chances of qualifying etc. I find it hard enough to have the time to comment on our situation and that is something I invest both time and effort into, never mind some other team that I do not support and may be considered a rival.

lopez
26/11/2007, 4:04 PM
Just wondering is there any Republic of Ireland fans who go onto the Northern Irish equivalent of foot.ie and give such detailed critiques of their chances of their chances of qualifying etc. I find it hard enough to have the time to comment on our situation and that is something I invest both time and effort into, never mind some other team that I do not support and may be considered a rival.Yeah, but you don't perform sh*t stirring for a profession, do you.

geysir
26/11/2007, 4:13 PM
In the past 3 months he must have spent 10 x more time on here than his beloved OWC


Contrary to what most people are saying, I hope we play Italy in our final games, September/October 09.... hopefully they will have qualification sown up by then and would not too worried by losing to us.
Since when do the Italians run on time?

geysir
26/11/2007, 4:29 PM
There´s an interesting poll on
La Gazzetta Dello Sport
http://www.gazzetta.it/appsSondaggi/pages/gazzetta/d_1529.jsp

From an Italian perspective of course.
Who is our biggest adversary in the group?
Ireland 40%
Bulgaria 37%
Montenegro 12%
Cyprus 8%
Georgia 4%

26,000 polled so far

Maroon 7
26/11/2007, 4:33 PM
There´s an interesting poll on
La Gazzetta Dello Sport
http://www.gazzetta.it/appsSondaggi/pages/gazzetta/d_1529.jsp

From an Italian perspective of course.
Who is our biggest adversary in the group?
Ireland 40%
Bulgaria 37%
Montenegro 12%
Cyprus 8%
Georgia 4%

26,000 polled so far

Probably a hangover from USA 94.:D

Ireland4ever
26/11/2007, 4:34 PM
There´s an interesting poll on
La Gazzetta Dello Sport
http://www.gazzetta.it/appsSondaggi/pages/gazzetta/d_1529.jsp

From an Italian perspective of course.
Who is our biggest adversary in the group?
Ireland 40%
Bulgaria 37%
Montenegro 12%
Cyprus 8%
Georgia 4%

26,000 polled so far

No doubt theres an email going around and the 40% that said Ireland are actually irish people not italians!:D

Bondvillain
26/11/2007, 4:38 PM
There´s an interesting poll on
La Gazzetta Dello Sport
http://www.gazzetta.it/appsSondaggi/pages/gazzetta/d_1529.jsp

From an Italian perspective of course.
Who is our biggest adversary in the group?
Ireland 40%
Bulgaria 37%
Montenegro 12%
Cyprus 8%
Georgia 4%

26,000 polled so far

Right. Everyone, round up a couple of thousand mates, & get them to click the link and vote for Georgia.

That should confuse the Honchos, and lead to us being drastically underestimated on match day by the most press-savvy squad in Europe. :D

onephillyhughes
26/11/2007, 4:54 PM
They might have got a draw if they'd done a basic marking job for the free kick!

If my auntie had balls she'd be my uncle.

The result will forever read Scotland 1-2 Italy. What does it matter that they got at them? All that proves is that you can try and ruffle Italy but they'll still beat you.

Italy are a class act. If they lose 1 or 2 players, they'll have 1 or 2 more to come in and do an equally good job. We'll do well to get 1 point out of those 2 games.

Dun Laoire
26/11/2007, 5:02 PM
what's the best way there? belgrade then train?


Well they way i went was into Dubrovnik airport which is in Croatia then a 3 hour spin by coach to Montengro. Surely a quicker route but i couldnt tells ya mate.

Torn-Ado
26/11/2007, 5:22 PM
No doubt theres an email going around and the 40% that said Ireland are actually irish people not italians!:D

Definetely. Ronnie O Brien wasn't voted young player of the year at Juventus by those Eye-Tie backstards.

:D

kingdomkerry
26/11/2007, 6:59 PM
With players like Given, Dunne, Finnan, Duff, S Reid, McGeady, Keane and Doyle we are good enough on paper to qualify and even give Italy a run for their money at home.

A good team on paper does'nt mean a good team (take a bow stan). Its so important we get a manager who can make us gel and better than the sum of our parts. If this can be done we'll make the playoffs at least.

Look at the north. On paper they are really crap but they nearly qualified for the euros. Better pick the right manager please god!