Premier Division Top Scorer

[JC_GUFC]

Paddy Power have this priced up now:

http://www.paddypower.com/bet?action=go_type&category=SOCCER&disp_cat_id=&ev_class_id=56&ev_type_id=817&ev_oc_grp_ids=16470&bir_index=

Crowe heads the market @ 7/2, Fabio and John O'Flynn are next at 11/2 with Roy O'D & Mark Farren @ 7s and Gary O'Neill, the best striker in the league at 9/1.

It's wide open and with e/w terms of 1/4 1-2-3-4 there's surely value.

Boylesports are expected to go up within 24 hours.

[micls]

Gary O Neill is not the best goal scorer in the league IMO. Saying that he is a great forward and will set up goals as well as score them. Cant see him finishing top scorer though.

Surprise the odds on John O flynn are so short. The odds on him staying fit would probably be longer.

Roy and Farren are both a good price. Chance that Roy could leave in February though and Farren is injury prone too.

Dont see many 20goal a season strikers around this year

[pete]

Chance that Roy could leave in February though...

Huh? :confused:

I think 15 goals will be enough for top scorer.

[Risteard]

Crowe would be my prediction but not at those odds.
Roy is good odds if he stays, Farren and maybe Zayed.
Can't see it being John O'Flynn or Fabio.

[jmurphyc]

zayed probably won't get enough games to be top scorer

[feo123]

fenn an outside chance @ 25's

[wws]

I think Kirby will be the main man for pats up front this season (25-1 e.w. 1-2-3-4)

[Dodge]

Crowe at 7/2 is shocking value IMO. No obvious candiates though

[DmanDmythDledge]

fenn an outside chance @ 25's
Are you joking? 3 goals last season I think...

[pete]

fenn an outside chance @ 25's

LOL. I will give you 50/1

[Dodge]

At least we know Ladbrokes don't copy PP odds. They've priced them as follows

Glen Crowe (Bohs) 9/2
Gary Beckett (Derry) 13/2
Mark Farren (Derry) 13/2
John O Flynn (Cork) 7/1
Declan O Brien (Drog) 8/1
Roy O Donovan (Cork) 9/1
Darren Mansaram (Bohs) 10/1
Peter Hynes (Derry) 10/1
Denis Behan (Cork) 12/1
Glen Fitzpatrick (Drog) 12/1
Harpal Singh (Bohs) 12/1
Kevin McHugh (Derry) 12/1
Shane Barrett (Drog) 12/1
Gary O Neill (Pats) 14/1
Karl Berminghan (Derry) 14/1
Michael Mooney (Bohs) 14/1
Ciaran Martyn (Derry) 16/1
Eamon Zayed (Drog) 16/1
Vinny Arkins (Pats) 16/1
Eamon Lynch (Pats) 18/1
Neale Fenn (Bohs) 18/1
Tony Grant (Drog) 18/1
Liam Keaney (Cork) 20/1
Mark Quigley (Pats) 20/1
Mark Rooney (Pats) 20/1
Tadgh Purcell (Sham) 20/1
Ger Rowe (Sham) 22/1
Barry Moran (Gal) 25/1
Chris Armstrong (Gal) 25/1
Stephen O Flynn (Gal) 25/1
Alan Murphy (Gal) 33/1
Andrei Georgescu (Bray) 33/1
Andy Myler (Sham) 33/1
Choice Aisien (Sligo) 33/1
Dessie Baker (Long) 33/1
Paul Dunphy (Bray) 33/1
Robbie Kelleher (Sham) 33/1
Sean Flannery (Sligo) 33/1
Adam Hughes (Sligo) 40/1
Matthew Judge (Sligo) 40/1
Pat McWalter (UCD) 40/1
Paul Byrne (UCD) 40/1
Robbie Martin (Long) 40/1
Robbie Shields (Sham) 40/1
Stephen Fox (Bray) 40/1
David Freeman (Long) 50/1
David Lee (Long) 50/1
David Mooney (Long) 50/1
Francis Moran (UCD) 50/1
Robert Brosnan (Wat) 50/1
Willie Bruton (Wat) 50/1
Willie Murphy (Bray) 50/1
Ciaran Quinn (UCD) 66/1
Conor Sammon (UCD) 66/1
Gavin Doyle (Wat) 66/1
Ger McCarthy (Wat) 66/1
Lloyd Coffer (Wat) 66/1
Vinnie Sullivan (Wat) 66/1

[Sheridan]

Ger McCarthy (Wat) 66/1
Pretty stingy odds considering he's playing in the LSL.

All things considered, Farren is the only 20-goal candidate of the lot.

[Dodge]

I'll be having couple of quid e/w on Georgescu @ 50/1 with Paddy (or Boyles if they announce a bigger price)

A striker I like and I think Bray will be better this year. DOuble figures could see him in the top four

[Jerry The Saint]

Gary O Neill (Pats) 14/1
Vinny Arkins (Pats) 16/1

Buh:confused:

[gustavo]

O Donovan is good value there if he can keep his end of season form going.

[JC_GUFC]

At least we know Ladbrokes don't copy PP odds. They've priced them as follows

Glen Crowe (Bohs) 9/2
Gary Beckett (Derry) 13/2
Mark Farren (Derry) 13/2
John O Flynn (Cork) 7/1
Declan O Brien (Drog) 8/1
Roy O Donovan (Cork) 9/1
Darren Mansaram (Bohs) 10/1
Peter Hynes (Derry) 10/1
Denis Behan (Cork) 12/1
Glen Fitzpatrick (Drog) 12/1
Harpal Singh (Bohs) 12/1
Kevin McHugh (Derry) 12/1
Shane Barrett (Drog) 12/1
Gary O Neill (Pats) 14/1
Karl Berminghan (Derry) 14/1
Michael Mooney (Bohs) 14/1
Ciaran Martyn (Derry) 16/1
Eamon Zayed (Drog) 16/1
Vinny Arkins (Pats) 16/1
Eamon Lynch (Pats) 18/1
Neale Fenn (Bohs) 18/1
Tony Grant (Drog) 18/1
Liam Keaney (Cork) 20/1
Mark Quigley (Pats) 20/1
Mark Rooney (Pats) 20/1
Tadgh Purcell (Sham) 20/1
Ger Rowe (Sham) 22/1
Barry Moran (Gal) 25/1
Chris Armstrong (Gal) 25/1
Stephen O Flynn (Gal) 25/1
Alan Murphy (Gal) 33/1
Andrei Georgescu (Bray) 33/1
Andy Myler (Sham) 33/1
Choice Aisien (Sligo) 33/1
Dessie Baker (Long) 33/1
Paul Dunphy (Bray) 33/1
Robbie Kelleher (Sham) 33/1
Sean Flannery (Sligo) 33/1
Adam Hughes (Sligo) 40/1
Matthew Judge (Sligo) 40/1
Pat McWalter (UCD) 40/1
Paul Byrne (UCD) 40/1
Robbie Martin (Long) 40/1
Robbie Shields (Sham) 40/1
Stephen Fox (Bray) 40/1
David Freeman (Long) 50/1
David Lee (Long) 50/1
David Mooney (Long) 50/1
Francis Moran (UCD) 50/1
Robert Brosnan (Wat) 50/1
Willie Bruton (Wat) 50/1
Willie Murphy (Bray) 50/1
Ciaran Quinn (UCD) 66/1
Conor Sammon (UCD) 66/1
Gavin Doyle (Wat) 66/1
Ger McCarthy (Wat) 66/1
Lloyd Coffer (Wat) 66/1
Vinnie Sullivan (Wat) 66/1


Ladbrokes should be ashamed betting this to nearly 300%.

Gary Beckett 2nd favourite?!? He scored 3 goals last season I think.

[wws]

LOL

Ladbrokes getting slated over this alright.

[pineapple stu]

Pat McWalter (UCD) 40/1
Paul Byrne (UCD) 40/1
Francis Moran (UCD) 50/1
Ciaran Quinn (UCD) 66/1
Conor Sammon (UCD) 66/1

This is hilarious! Our top scorer last year (Sammon) is the same odds as a Glenavon player (Quinn) and less than Moran (who's only played twice for us) and Podge (who's out injured until July)!

If there's that much crap, surely there's some value somewhere?

[Schumi]

This is hilarious! Our top scorer last year (Sammon) is the same odds as a Glenavon player (Quinn) and less than Moran (who's only played twice for us) and Podge (who's out injured until July)!

If there's that much crap, surely there's some value somewhere?Given the chances of a UCD player being top scorer this season (or any premier division season), the odds are fairly irrelevent. Quinn is funny though, I hadn't spotted that.

[pineapple stu]

Wonder will they take odds on UCD's top scorer on the above basis?

[JC_GUFC]

This is hilarious! Our top scorer last year (Sammon) is the same odds as a Glenavon player (Quinn) and less than Moran (who's only played twice for us) and Podge (who's out injured until July)!

If there's that much crap, surely there's some value somewhere?

You'd think that but because they've priced it to such a high percentage there isn't!

To have a fair book it should be bet to 100%, this is nearly 300% so they can afford to have all these mistakes.

The sad thing is some people actually may have a bet on it with them. I remember a few years ago I had a bet with them on Kevin McHugh being top scorer each way. He finished 3rd and when I went to collect my €20 the shop assisstant only paid me 1/5th the odds because I hadn't written what the e/w terms were. It should have been 1/3rd which would have given me an extra €5.

[micls]

Huh? :confused:

I think 15 goals will be enough for top scorer.

I have no idea why I wrote february :confused:

Obviously meant the summer

[Dodge]

The sad thing is some people actually may have a bet on it with them
Well they fancy Gary O'Neill to be top scorer why wouldn't they back it with Ladbrokes at 14s instead of PPs 9s. The overround may be disgraceful but still value to be had

My bet is with PP at 50/1 (Ladbrokes had him at 33/1) just incase anyone thinks I'm pro Ladbrokes...

[feo123]

Are you joking? 3 goals last season I think...

is that all? oops