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mypost
25/07/2006, 4:09 AM
What is the likelihood in percentage terms, of your club being chosen to play in the top division next season?

With 100% representing certain inclusion, to 0% representing First Division participation, here is how I rate it at this time:

Bohs, Shels, Pats, Cork, Derry, Drogheda Utd. (100%)
Waterford Utd, Sligo Rovers, Shamrock Rovers (80%)
Galway, Longford (60%)
Limerick, Cobh, Athlone (40%)
Dundalk, Finn Harps (20%)
Kilkenny, Bray Wanderers (10%)
UCD, Kildare, Monaghan Utd. (0%)

How do you rate it?

Battery Rover
25/07/2006, 7:33 AM
Bohs, Shels, Pats, Cork, Derry, Drogheda Utd, Waterford Utd, Sligo Rovers, Shamrock Rovers,Longford (100%)

Galway, Cobh, Finn Harps.(66%)

The rest 0%

As for ourselves if it is done by the book 0% chance. If they are being hand picked then you never know. The only thing we have going for us is Paddy McCaul and the new ground.

How many clubs would get the required license might be the question though especially with the number of covered seats required now. Longford have struggled the last two years for whatever reason. If $hels move to Santry how will that leave them seating wise? Galway should be fine license wise but what about Harps and Cobh?

bigmac
25/07/2006, 8:59 AM
Bohs, Shels, Pats, Cork, Derry, Drogheda Utd. (100%)
Waterford Utd, UCD, Longford (80%)
Sligo Rovers, Shamrock Rovers (70%)
Galway, Longford, Bray Wanderers (60%)
Limerick, Cobh, Athlone, Dundalk, Finn Harps (30%)
Kilkenny, Kildare, Monaghan Utd. (0%)


I'd be interested to hear why you think the FAI are definitely not going to give UCD a spot?

The Stars
25/07/2006, 10:06 AM
Would be devestated if Sligo didnt get into it.
We have a good ground,youth set up,location and fan base.
the only thing holding us back is our form from the last 5 years,thank Don O'Riordon.Sean and his men are trying to make up for it this season,but we will probably have to win the league to get in for sure.
Bohs, Shels, Pats, Cork, Derry, Drogheda Utd. (100%) - would agree with that.

Dodge
25/07/2006, 10:14 AM
I wouldn't be 100% on Pats, but then a nervous, cynical sort of bloke when it comes to Pats.

I Rovers don't finish in the top 3 in the first division they won't be 100% either. And looking at that table, anything could happen

Schumi
25/07/2006, 11:19 AM
I'd be interested to hear why you think the FAI are definitely not going to give UCD a spot?
Because that's the whole point.

Rory H
25/07/2006, 11:21 AM
Because that's the whole point.


i would say dont be bitter or sarcastic...but you're right

i think sligo are very dodgy having had 3 of the 5 seasons in mediocrity...hopefully our facilities and potential will get us in

Red&White
25/07/2006, 11:21 AM
UCD are def 80%.

Trainee
25/07/2006, 11:27 AM
Bohs, Shels, Pats, Cork, Derry, Drogheda Utd, & Shamrock Rovers(100%)
Sligo Rovers, (70%)
Galway utd (65% if they win the league 0% if they dont finishish in top 3)
Longford, UCD, Bray Wanderers, Waterford Utd (60%)
Limerick, Cobh, Athlone, Dundalk, Finn Harps (30%)
Kilkenny, Kildare, Monaghan Utd. (0%)

fanatic
25/07/2006, 11:30 AM
Bohs, Shels, Pats, Cork, Derry, Drogheda Utd, & Shamrock Rovers(100%)


Will be a sad day i believe if Dundalk are not selected for the league. Even though i dont support them.

Rory H
25/07/2006, 11:30 AM
it doesnt matter where galway finish...longford and ucd will be way ahead of ye...

Bray Head
25/07/2006, 11:43 AM
What is the likelihood in percentage terms, of your club being chosen to play in the top division next season?

With 100% representing certain inclusion, to 0% representing First Division participation, here is how I rate it at this time:

Bohs, Shels, Pats, Cork, Derry, Drogheda Utd. (100%)
Waterford Utd, Sligo Rovers, Shamrock Rovers (80%)
Galway, Longford (60%)
Limerick, Cobh, Athlone (40%)
Dundalk, Finn Harps (20%)
Kilkenny, Bray Wanderers (10%)
UCD, Kildare, Monaghan Utd. (0%)

How do you rate it?

How can you rate Limerick, Cobh & Athlone at 40% and Bray at only 10% ? You have us in joint 17th place but our league record and 2 FAI cup wins has us rated in 11th place by FAI. We should just scrape into the 12 team premier division.

De Town
25/07/2006, 11:46 AM
100% - Cork, Shels, Drogs, Derry, Bohs, Pats, Rovers
80% - Longford, Sligo, Bray, Galway, UCD
60% - Waterford, Harps, Dundalk, Limerick, Cobh
40% - Athlone
0% - Kildare, Monaghan, Kilkenny

dfx-
25/07/2006, 11:47 AM
How can you rate Limerick, Cobh & Athlone at 40% and Bray at only 10% ?

Because mypost continues to discriminate against a club if they don't have millions of fans. He regards Bray, UCD and Dublin City (RIP) specifically like that.. :rolleyes:

nshoop
25/07/2006, 11:50 AM
100% - Cork, Shels, Drogs, Derry, Bohs, Pats, Rovers
80% - Longford, Sligo, Bray, Galway, UCD
60% - Waterford, Harps, Dundalk, Limerick, Cobh
40% - Athlone
0% - Kildare, Monaghan, Kilkenny

I'd go along with that:)

manic da hoop
25/07/2006, 11:56 AM
All of the existing top flight bar UCD and Bray are 100%. Rovers should slot in as a direct replacement for CHF, so unless we majorly fcuk up we're also certainties. After that, the remaining places will go to any two of Galway, UCD or Bray.

Schumi
25/07/2006, 11:57 AM
100% - Drogheda, Shels, Bohs, Pats, Rovers, Waterford, Cork, Galway, Sligo, Derry, Longford
80% - Bray
20% - Harps
0% - everyone else

Dodge
25/07/2006, 12:01 PM
Dundalk not in with a shout?

nshoop
25/07/2006, 12:05 PM
100% - Drogheda, Shels, Bohs, Pats, Rovers, Waterford, Cork, Galway, Sligo, Derry, Longford
80% - Bray
20% - Harps
0% - everyone else

Why aren't ucd at 80 or 100,they have money,ground and some fans?

harpskid
25/07/2006, 12:36 PM
100% - Drogheda, Shels, Bohs, Pats, Rovers, Waterford, Cork, Galway, Sligo, Derry, Longford


An eleven-team Premier...

Schumi
25/07/2006, 12:42 PM
An eleven-team Premier...
Perhaps if you read the rest of the post... ;)

mypost
25/07/2006, 2:41 PM
How can you rate Limerick, Cobh & Athlone at 40% and Bray at only 10%?

Bray's big disadvantage is it's location. It's too close to Dublin, and they will only choose 4 Dublin clubs at most, and they will be the big 4. Athlone may be chosen because of their new ground, and location. It's a toss-up between them and Longford for the Midlands side. The top league needs a team from the third biggest city, i.e. Limerick, the problem for them is the ground. If they moved to Jackman Park, they would probably be in as well. Cobh would be the outsiders, depending on how they do this season.

Terry
25/07/2006, 3:03 PM
Actually, according to census Galway is now the 3rd biggest city.

manic da hoop
25/07/2006, 3:48 PM
Actually, according to census Galway is now the 3rd biggest city.

That's cause they were all away following Munster that day;)

Either way Limerick will fall well short on pretty much all the requirments in the end, and judging by the current free-fall of their team they proberbly won't even finish in the top three. Galway seem to have pretty much everything going for them, including a geographical advantage so in continuing on from my earlier post I think they should edge out both Bray and UCD for either of the two final top-flight slots.

micls
25/07/2006, 8:15 PM
100%-Cork, Derry, Shels,Drogheda, Pats, Bohs, Longford, Waterford, Sligo,
80%-Rovers, Galway, Bray, UCD
10%-Athlone, Limerick, Cobh