Euro 2016

[bennocelt]

Here is a selection of some of my anti post bets for the comp:D (pp)
I am going for Poland and France


A Griezmann (France) @ 9/1 Euro 2016 Top Goalscorer €5.00
R Lewandowski (Poland) @ 18/1 Euro 2016 Top Goalscorer €5.00



Accumulator (5) To Win group €2.00
Portugal @ 5/6
Belgium @ 11/10
Spain @ 4/6
Germany @ 4/11
England @ 4/5

Accumulator (5) To not qualify €3.00
Iceland @ 11/10
Sweden @ evens
Northern Ireland @ 2/9
Wales @ 5/4
Albania @ 3/10

H Lloris (France) @ 5/1 Goalkeeper of the Tournament €10.00



1st England, 2nd Russia, 3rd Slovakia @ 7/1
Group B Tricast €2.00



Slovakia Vs England @ 18/1 Highest Scoring Group Game €2.00

Czech Rep Vs Croatia @ 33/1 Highest Scoring Group Game €2.00

France & Poland @ 70/1 Name The Finalists €10.00

England, France, Germany, Poland @ 100/1 Name the Semi-Finalists€3.00



A Milik (Poland) @ 50/1 Euro 2016 Top Goalscorer €2.00

Exactly 9 Points @ 4/1 Team Points in Group England Group Points €4.00
Exactly 6 Points @ 4/1 Team Points in Group Austria Group Points €3.00

That's a small selection..........
putting my neck on the block with Poland, but was impressed with them in qualifying, and they have good strikers and a decent defence....
France have a nice route to the semis

(edit: Betting 200:100 anti post, 100 daily bets)

[bennocelt]

Tomorrow's Game

A Griezmann to score in both halves @ 10/1 Player to Score in Both Halves €1.00


Single To Win
Yes @ 4/1 Penalty Scored? €5.00

Single To Win Over 4.5 Goals @ 11/2 €5.00


Single To Win A Griezmann @ 6/5 Anytime Goalscorer €10.00


France 5 - 0 @ 30/1 Correct Score €1.00

Single To Win France @ 3/10 Win-Draw-Win France v Romania €20.00 (PP have a promo if you bet 20 squid on a w-d-w)

[bennocelt]

Tomorrow's Game

A Griezmann to score in both halves @ 10/1 Player to Score in Both Halves €1.00


Single To Win
Yes @ 4/1 Penalty Scored? €5.00:o

Single To Win Over 4.5 Goals @ 11/2 €5.00


Single To Win A Griezmann @ 6/5 Anytime Goalscorer €10.00


France 5 - 0 @ 30/1 Correct Score €1.00

Single To Win France @ 3/10 Win-Draw-Win France v Romania €20.00 :o(PP have a promo if you bet 20 squid on a w-d-w)

Nice of Payet in the end, banked 26 quid................

Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/4 England v Russia €10.00

Over 2.5 Goals @ 13/8 Albania v Switzerland €20.00



X Shaqiri @ 13/5 Anytime Goalscorer Albania v Switzerland €10.00 (only cause he is my favourite player...........so...5 is free PP bet)

Draw 2 - 2 @ 22/1 Correct Score Albania v Switzerland €1.00



Single To Win Slovakia @ 7/4 €5.00 (free PP bet)

Treble To Win €3.00
England @ 19/20
Slovakia @ 7/4
Draw @ 23/10 Albania v Switzerland

Single To Win
England @ 19/20 €20.00 (pp promo bet)

Running total -174

[bennocelt]

Serves me right for backing England:p

M Hummels @ 13/2 Anytime Goalscorer Germany v Ukraine €1.00

Treble To Win €10.00
Over 1.5 Goals @ 2/7 Germany v Ukraine €10.00
Over 1.5 Goals @ 4/11
Poland v Northern Ireland Over 1.5 Goals @ 2/5


R Lewandowski @ 11/10 Anytime Goalscorer Poland v Northern Ireland €10.00 (PP free 5 pound bet)

[bennocelt]

Here is a selection of some of my anti post bets for the comp:D (pp)

So I have a few bets remaining for the group stages
For today's games

Single To Win Exactly 3 Draws @ 6/1 Group A - Total Draws €2.00 (Not going to come up, I was banking on Alb-Swi to be a draw, but anyhow...)

Single To Win Exactly 2 Points @ 7/1 Romania Group Points €2.00 (might come up, Albania have a decent defence, and Romania have only scored penalty's so...)



Overall I am still down, lost a good bit, but I might be lucky this coming week.............:o

[davidatrb]

If you are betting on Ireland game make sure you are betting with bet365. They have great odds and are giving a risk free in play bet on the Irish games if you bet prematch.

Betstars also have bet 30 and get 5 free.

Betvictor have a million pound goal promo if you place a £5 bet. You pick a player and time of first goal in final and the correct predictions share £1000000 jackpot. Might be worth throwing a few bets there to earn your predictions. Bet victor also pride themselves on their football odds.

Boylesports are doing price bombs I noticed the last couple of games. For example had Ronaldo to score in second half last night at 3/1 when he was 6/4 on others and trading at 2.7 on exchanges. So that was good value bet even if he didn't manage to score.

Others sure have promotions but I don't check them all as I'm banned. But if you're betting you're giving money to the bookies. They set the odds in their favour. They have more data and info and modelling algorithms than you have so you won't outwit them long term. So I only bet if they are giving me something back in return like a free bet.

Also to mention collossus bets do a pool on the correct scores. They give a free ticket once per week. You can cash out if you get one or two results so you don't have to be in for the full jackpot. Sky bet Super 6 and six-a-side are also free to enter with a big prize pot. I like to play.

[davidatrb]

I remember a few tournaments ago Sweden and Denmark both needed a 2-2 draw to qualify in last round of group matches. They got it. Also there was a match in serie b at the end of this season which the bookies all totally mispriced. Both teams needed a single point , one for promotion playoff and one for relegation safety. Not surprising it was a draw.

There is nothing clear cut in Euro but I'm looking at some pressure for a draw in these games:

France vs Switzerland... France need a point to top the group and Switzerland will guarantee qualification with a point. Swiss might go for the win but think they'll happily settle. Runner up play probably Poland or Northern Ireland. Winner plays 3rd place team which could be anyone incl Poland Northern Ireland, ireland, Sweden, Belgium or Czech. So much the same. 2/1 for the draw.

England vs Slovakia... A draw guarantees qualification for England and Slovakia it probably should put them through as a best placed third. The runner up in this group could end up with Portugal though so England do have some motivation to top the group which could work against me. 5/2 for the draw.

Germany vs N Ireland... A point would guarantee Germany qualification and would hopefully give the north a best placed 3rd. Of course Germany playing in second gear could probably beat most teams and also have the carrot of 3rd placed team in the next round if they top the group - but don't think they are afraid of anyone and would probably beat whoever they get in next round anyway. 5/1 for the draw.

Spain vs Croatia.. A point guarantees top for Spain and qualification for Croatia. Quite strong forces behind this one for a draw but Croatia might want to win to avoid the Italians but I don't think they'd be good enough. 2/1 for the draw.

On the same note I think ireland are worth a bet to win against Italy. It is a dead rubber for Italy as they are already guaranteed top spot win lose or draw and will probably face Croatia. Ireland NEED to win for any chance. 9/4 for ireland win.

So they are my 5 tips for the final round of matches. I might have a tenner on each and will be up if I get at least 2.

[bennocelt]

Who do you fancy so far David to lift the trophy?
For me Spain and Croatia are the best i have seen so far

[davidatrb]

France and Germany were pre tournament favourites but Spain look like 10/3 favs now.

I have a free bet on England with bet bright, a free bet on Spain with Boyle and a risk free bet on Germany on Betstars.

Who will win? I have no clue!

I like France for home advantage and they have exciting young players keeping the pressure to perform on the more experienced players. I like coman, martial for example. They can't even make the first 11 and benzema didn't even make the squad. They were also given an easier route to final than most.

[bennocelt]

Feck England, bang goes my last four tip.............and Russia, no effort at all:mad:

Have a few bets still alive for tomorrow group
Single To Win Exactly 3 Points @ 10/3 Team Points in Group Northern Ireland Group Points €4.00 (I actually think Norn Iron might snatch a draw)

Single To Win Turkey @ 8/1 To Lose All Group Matches Team to Lose All Three Group Matches €1.00 (feel this might come up)


Single To Win Turkey @ 20/1 Team To Concede Most Goals Team To Concede The Most Goals €1.00 (russia got -6, so need a few, and Ukr look dodgy at -4)


Single To Win Turkey @ 16/1 Lowest Scoring Team Lowest Scoring Team €2.00 (think this looks good,

Single To Win
1st Spain, 2nd Czech Republic, 3rd Croatia @ 17/2 Group Tricast Group D Tricast €2.00 (dont think it will happen, 2-0, spain win....)

Back in the game tomorrow:D

[davidatrb]

You've been quite unlucky bennocelt - kind of put a lot of your eggs in the same basket (Eng winning group in your tricast, Eng 9 pts, Eng and Fra making semis).

But the thing is that you won't beat the bookie (they set the odds in their favour and add a margin making it unlikely that you win). Even if you did win consistently enough then they would bar you.

So long as it's fun and costing you no more than the price of a cinema ticket per week then it is value entertainment - but be careful.

There are so many reasons why bookies are greedy heartless thieves .....

[davidatrb]

Single To Win Slovakia @ 7/4 €5.00 (free PP bet)


Single To Win
England @ 19/20 €20.00 (pp promo bet)




R Lewandowski @ 11/10 Anytime Goalscorer Poland v Northern Ireland €10.00 (PP free 5 pound bet)


This is really bugging me too, I think that you are wasting your free bets. Free bet is stake not returned - so with a €5 free bet on something like evens with a 50-50 chance of happening (like above Lewandowski anytime scorer or England to win) you will win €5 about half the time and €0 the other half, so maybe €25 total winnings on 10 bets. But go for something with longer odds like 4/1 then you will win €20 about once in 5, so maybe €40 total winnings on 10 bets.

Don't waste you're free bets like that. Go for stuff like 5/1, 6/1, 7/1 that won't win as often but will win more money in the long run..

[bennocelt]

Single To Win Exactly 3 Points @ 10/3 Team Points in Group Northern Ireland Group Points €4.00 (I actually think Norn Iron might snatch a draw)

Banked a whopping 10!
Running total -164:o

7 and a bit to play with

Double To Win
Czech Republic @ 7/5
Spain @ 19/20 €3.00 Pending

Some silly bets (aren't all my bets silly so far??)
Czech Republic to win and 3 or 4 total goals in the match @ 9/2 €2.33
Czech Republic 3 - 0 @ 25/1 €1.00
Spain 3 - 2 @ 45/1 €1.00 :D

[davidatrb]

The way the favourites have all ended up on the bottom of the draw means some teams like Belgium and Croatia are more likely to make the final than expected.

As a result an e/w bet is quite likely to pay out on the place part. So that you are getting very good odds on Belgium @ 15/2 ew on bet365. Bet365 are also returning win part of stake on outright bets if team goes out by penos.

So my tip is Belgium e/w @15/2 on bet365.

[bennocelt]

Yeah good call,I fancy them to get to the final now that the draw is lopsided.........there is the kiss of death for ya:p

[davidatrb]

BetStars are 7/2 for Ireland to win, best odds that I can see and looks like value if you compare to the market prices on the exchanges.

BetStars have a spin and win where you can apply a multiplier to the odds as well. They have a promotion money back if your first spin and win loses. So well worth having a punt on Ireland through spin and win if you haven't used spin and win before.

[bennocelt]

Single To Win Exactly 1 Point @ 4/1 Team Points in Group Sweden Group Points €2.00

[davidatrb]

Single To Win Exactly 1 Point @ 4/1 Team Points in Group Sweden Group Points €2.00

Well done benno!

[davidatrb]

There is nothing clear cut in Euro but I'm looking at some pressure for a draw in these games:

France vs Switzerland.... 2/1 for the draw. €20 profit.

England vs Slovakia.... 5/2 for the draw. €25 profit

Germany vs N Ireland... 5/1 for the draw. €10 loss

Spain vs Croatia.... 2/1 for the draw. €10 loss (but so close)

On the same note I think ireland are worth a bet to win against Italy.... 9/4 for ireland win. €22.50 profit

So they are my 5 tips for the final round of matches. I might have a tenner on each and will be up if I get at least 2.

Lucky so far and up €47.50 on my posted tips. Also have tipped €25 e/w on Belgium @ 15/2 (with €25 promo refund if they go out in penos).

Btw I mentioned the Boylesport Price Bombs on the thread too. They had Ronaldo to score second half this evening @ 3/1 and Ireland to score second half tonight @ 3/1. The boost is limited about €10 but still nice easy money - I took €60 there tonight. Boyle usually posts them just before half time during the matches..

[bennocelt]

10 pound left so, just a few fun bets, to keep the interest alive as I wait for Poland and France to do the business:o

Single To Win Northern Ireland @ 8/1 To Qualify in a Penalty Shootout €1.00

Single To Win C Ronaldo @ 9/1 To Score 2 or More Goals Croatia v Portugal €1.00

Single To Win R Lewandowski @ 25/1 To Score a Hat-Trick Switzerland v Poland €1.00

Treble To Win €2.00
Portugal @ 7/4
Draw @ 2/1 Wales v Northern Ireland
Poland @ 17/10


Switzerland v Poland Single To Win
Poland 4 - 2 @ 200/1 €1.00


Portugal 2 - 1 @ 11/1 Correct Score €1.00


Single To Win Draw 2 - 2 @ 20/1 Wales v Northern Ireland €1.00


Accumulator (8) To Win €1.00
England @ 4/7
Italy @ 29/10
Belgium @ 4/7
Germany @ 4/9
France @ 4/9
Portugal @ 7/4
Draw @ 2/1 Wales v Northern Ireland
Poland @ 17/10

Single To Win
Belgium, France, Germany, Portugal @ 18/1 €1.00
Name the Semi-Finalists

[davidatrb]

10 pound left so, just a few fun bets, to keep the interest alive as I wait for Poland and France to do the business:o

Single To Win Northern Ireland @ 8/1 To Qualify in a Penalty Shootout €1.00

Single To Win C Ronaldo @ 9/1 To Score 2 or More Goals Croatia v Portugal €1.00

Single To Win R Lewandowski @ 25/1 To Score a Hat-Trick Switzerland v Poland €1.00

Treble To Win €2.00
Portugal @ 7/4
Draw @ 2/1 Wales v Northern Ireland
Poland @ 17/10


Switzerland v Poland Single To Win
Poland 4 - 2 @ 200/1 €1.00


Portugal 2 - 1 @ 11/1 Correct Score €1.00


Single To Win Draw 2 - 2 @ 20/1 Wales v Northern Ireland €1.00


Accumulator (8) To Win €1.00
England @ 4/7
Italy @ 29/10
Belgium @ 4/7
Germany @ 4/9
France @ 4/9
Portugal @ 7/4
Draw @ 2/1 Wales v Northern Ireland
Poland @ 17/10

Single To Win
Belgium, France, Germany, Portugal @ 18/1 €1.00
Name the Semi-Finalists

I would check betfair exchange for some of those bets. Betfair offers a fair market price as its driven by users but the bookie offers greedy prices. The bookie offers terrible value especially on goal scorer and correct score market and most especially for long shots!!

For example you have 20/1 on 2-2 in Welsh game but betfair you can get over 30/1. Lewandowski hattrick is 40/1on betfair exchange...

I also am weary of accumulators... The bookie edge accumulates on each leg like compound interest. So the point is long term that take a huge cut for themselves on accas....

Sorry for being a pain I know it's just for a bit of entertainment but I don't like bookies particularly and don't want you to get ripped off....

[bennocelt]

you are right, of course.....................but with work and all...........:)

[davidatrb]

Sorry, I don't mean to spoil the fun.

Watch out for bookie's though they are thieving low life criminals. Take their free promo cash if its worth it, but draw the line there.

http://www.independent.ie/opinion/analysis/gambling-offers-crime-gangs-an-easy-way-to-launder-dirty-money-34679664.html
http://www.thejournal.ie/paddy-power-problem-gambler-2634759-Mar2016/
http://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/horse-racing/furious-punters-accuse-bookies-withholding-7669877

I have been barred from Skybet, paddypower, ladbrokes, william hill, 888sport, 188bet, betway, totesport and betfred. My crime? Did I cheat? No. Was my money dirty? No. I simply took up their promotions which they advertised to me and won a small amount. I'm not the only one, I'm nothing special - I've heard of thousands of normal recreational gamblers getting the same treatment.

So they will bar me for the sake of a €20 free bet but gladly help the Kinahans launder over €30,000 of drug money.

[davidatrb]

Lewandawski to score in 2nd half or extra time 5/1 on boylesport €10!

[davidatrb]

Bale to score €10@4/1 on boylesport...

[davidatrb]

Ronaldo to score 2nd half or extra time €10@4/1 on Boyle. Last try tonight.

[davidatrb]

Liam Brady thinks we will score again. €10@6/1 for an Irish goal in the second half with Boyle sport.

[davidatrb]

Bet365. Wales vs Belgium. Bet 50 prematch and get a risk free bet in play.

I've done these a few times. You need 100 in your Bet365 account and bet 50 prematch and 50 in play. If the in play bet loses then they refund the 50.

You can guarantee about €40 profit on this one.

Bet on Belgium prematch on bet365, odds are 1.8 and then bet against Belgium prematch on smarkets exchange (like betfair but lower commission), lay odds are 1.84. So win or lose you are down €1.54 but up a €50 free bet.

You can match the €50 in play with a lay on the exchange as well to guarantee about €40 or just take a shot with your free bet. It's good value, you're getting a €50 bet for the price of €1.54.

I would recommend it.

[davidatrb]

Boylesport price bomb 7/2 Wales to score 2nd half. €10. Available to lay at 2.84 on betfair exchange so definite value there. You can lay it off to guarantee profit.

If this price bomb doesn't win then I'm quitting tipping.

[davidatrb]

Lucky so far and up €47.50 on my posted tips. Also have tipped €25 e/w on Belgium @ 15/2 (with €25 promo refund if they go out in penos).


Was up €47.50 but lost the €50 total on Belgium. Disappointed, thought it was a good shout at the time.


Lewandawski to score in 2nd half or extra time 5/1 on boylesport €10! - lost €10


Bale to score €10@4/1 on boylesport...- lost €10


Ronaldo to score 2nd half or extra time €10@4/1 on Boyle. Last try tonight. - lost €10


Liam Brady thinks we will score again. €10@6/1 for an Irish goal in the second half with Boyle sport. - lost €10


Boylesport price bomb 7/2 Wales to score 2nd half. €10... - won €35


Overall running total is total stakes = €140 and profit = down €7.50 :(

I could have taken a guaranteed €30 or €40 on the Bet365 Wales/Belgium offer but I went all or nothing on 5 or more goals @ 6/1 just before the 3rd goal and lost but was risk free so no harm.. Still a few free bets running and made good on some offers and price boosts that I didn't post on here. I will be over all up in the end. Anyways its a bit of sport.

I think the Boylesport price bombs have been the best, and Bet365 with their bet 50 get 50 free offer, they had it for the first two ireland matches, for the wales quarter. I expect they will have it for the Wales semi and probably the final too. It gives a low risk chance to win quite big.

[davidatrb]

I should quit before I start sliding.

But €10@4/1 for muller to score in 2nd half , et or pso with Boyle...

4/1 is about what you can get on exchange to score in 90 but a real chance we will have extra time and penalties. Can't see him missing a pen. So I think a little extra value here.

[davidatrb]

I have reservations about this one as the focus is going to be on saving players now, so either or both could be taken off early.

But griezemann or giroud to score next €10@5/1 on boylesport. I'm tipping it, more or less matches what you can get for giroud or for griezemann on the exchange but Boyle paying out for either so seems value.

[davidatrb]

Running Totals: Stakes €160, Returns €132.50, Profit/Loss: -€27.50 (-17%).

Betstars are offering free €5 bet for tomorrow's semi if you bet €20 on todays.

188bet are offering refunds up to €25 on losing bets if the match goes to penalties.


My tips:
€20@21/10 on a Draw at Betstars and €5FB on Germany to win on Penalties @17/2.
€25@6/5 on Portugal to win in 90 on 188bet (with refund if it goes to pens).

Also will look out for the Boylesport Price Bomb at half time.

EDIT: the price bomb is ronaldo to score in 2nd half, ET or PSO @ 3/1. I'll have €10 on that.

[davidatrb]

€20@21/10 on a Draw at Betstars €20 loss and €5FB on Germany to win on Penalties @17/2. Pending
€25@6/5 on Portugal to win in 90 on 188bet (with refund if it goes to pens). won €29.75


EDIT: the price bomb is ronaldo to score in 2nd half, ET or PSO @ 3/1. I'll have €10 on that. won €30


Back on track. :) And free bet still pending.

Running Totals: Stakes €215, Returns €227.75, Profit/Loss: +€12.75 (+5%).

[davidatrb]

Running Totals: Stakes €215, Returns €227.75, Profit/Loss: +€12.75 (+5%).


Yes I should quit while I am ahead but nah.

Today is Germany to win €25@ 2/1 on 188bet with a refund if the match goes to pens. Penalty shoot out is 4/1 so about 20% chance of money back makes it good value offer imo.

And still have my free bet on Germany to win on pens €5@17/2

And keep a look out for the Boyle Price Bomb double odds at HT. EDIT boost is no good in my opinion. 7/2 for griezmann to score in 2nd half, ET or PSO. He is 5/1 to score on the exchange and nobody wants to back it. And with that goal it is less likely to have ET or Pens. Im skipping it. Looks like its a bust for me tonight.

[davidatrb]

Today is Germany to win €25@ 2/1 on 188bet ... lost €25

And still have my free bet on Germany to win on pens €5@17/2 .. lost €0


Running Totals: Stakes €240, Returns €227.75, Profit/Loss: -€12.25 (-5%).

Hope there are some good promos on for the final to give me a chance of ending up in profit...

[davidatrb]

Running Totals: Stakes €240, Returns €227.75, Profit/Loss: -€12.25 (-5%).

So not much going on.

Im have €20 on France to win in 90 @ evens on BetStars and that gives me a Free €5 bet, which Ill update later because it is in play. It will probably be on something Portugal and on long odds about 7/1 - to cover me off if the real money bet lets me down. EDIT: free bet on 1-1 correct score @8/1.

And I'm looking for the boost on Boyle at half time and might take it. Will update what it is later. EDIT: Griezmann to score €10@7/2 on Boyle 2nd half, ET, or PSO.

188bet might have an offer later, at the moment they just have something up for Wimbledon.

[davidatrb]

Bust for me too then.


Final Total: Stakes €270, Returns €227.75, Profit/Loss: -€42.25 (-15%)

Put too much on Belgium. Never got back on track after losing that €50.

[bennocelt]

Bust for me too, down 114, if France had won i would have only lost 34. anyway was fun, i guess............and a tad but unlucky.....:D