League of Ireland +2.5 goals thread

[Real ale Madrid]

I'm going to start a tracker using this thread to see if I can make a profit with a €100 bank, backing 4 team over 2.5 goal accumulators in the League every week.

Criteria is as follows:
League games only.
€10 per stake.
4 team accumulator, minimum odds must be 11/1. ( odds will normally be higher )
Looking for a 10% strike rate to break even!
Need 1 win in the first 10 weeks or its over!

Starting Bank €100.00
Week 1 €10 +2.5 goals (bet365)

Finn Harps v Cobh Ramblers 8/11
Shelbourne v Athlone 23/20
Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians 13/10
Limerick v St. Pats 17/20

€10 accumulator returns €158 (14.8/1)

Some weeks there won't even be 4 games with more than 2 goals but the odds normally reflect this so hopefully any win at all will see a good return.

Follow at your peril and sorry for starting a new thread but I always wanted to have a crack off something like this.

[Real ale Madrid]

No luck last week.


Finn Harps v Cobh Ramblers 8/11 (2-0)
Shelbourne v Athlone 23/20 (1-3)
Shamrock Rovers v Bohemians 13/10 (0-0)
Limerick v St. Pats 17/20 (1-2)


On to week 2

Bank €90
Week 2 €10 +2.5 goals (bet365)

Sligo Rovers v Bray Wanderers 17/20
Limerick v Dundalk 8/11
Longford v St. Patricks Ath 5/4
Athlone Town v Wexford Youths 23/20

Accumulator Returns €154.50 (14.45/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Few short of the jackpot on week 2.



Sligo Rovers v Bray Wanderers 17/20 1-3
Limerick v Dundalk 8/11 1-1
Longford v St. Patricks Ath 5/4 2-2
Athlone Town v Wexford Youths 23/20 0-1


Onto week 3:

Bank €80
Week 3 €10 +2.5 goals accumulator (PP)

Dundalk v Drogheda 8/11
Galway United v Sligo Rovers 11/10
Finn Harps v Athlone 11/8
Shelbourne v Wexford Youths 5/4

Accumulator Returns €193.83 (18.38/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

A fool and his money are easily parted.



Dundalk v Drogheda 8/11 1-0
Galway United v Sligo Rovers 11/10 0-1
Finn Harps v Athlone 11/8 1-0
Shelbourne v Wexford Youths 5/4 2-4


Week 4:

Bank €70

Week 4 €10 +2.5 goals accumulator (b365)

Bohemians v St. Patricks Ath 27/20
Derry City v Bray Wanderers 21/20
UCD v Waterford United 23/20
Cobh Ramblers v Shelbourne 4/5

Accumulator Returns €186.40 (17.64/1)

[TheBoss]

Seeing as this thread is about +2.5 goals, I thought I would check out percentage of games that were over/under 2.5 goals since the league split into 2 divisions in 1985, and here are the results: (Does not include default 3-0 wins, but the actual score in the game)



2.5 Goals
Games
%


Over
4,607
45%


Under
5,529
55%

[Real ale Madrid]

Bohemians v St. Patricks Ath 27/20 0-1
Derry City v Bray Wanderers 21/20 0-0
UCD v Waterford United 23/20 3-0
Cobh Ramblers v Shelbourne 4/5 1-0


Getting worse!

Shouldn't even be going to the well tonight but sure going to have another go anyway.

Week 5:

Bank €60

Week 5: +2.5 goals acca (Lads)

Bray Wanderers v Shamrock Rovers EVENS
Dundalk v Galway United 8/13
Sligo Rovers v Bohemians 5/4
Limerick v Derry City 6/5

Accumulator returns €159.90 (€14.99/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Seeing as this thread is about +2.5 goals, I thought I would check out percentage of games that were over/under 2.5 goals since the league split into 2 divisions in 1985, and here are the results: (Does not include default 3-0 wins, but the actual score in the game)



2.5 Goals
Games
%


Over
4,607
45%


Under
5,529
55%



32/76 so far this season just over 42%

[nigel-harps1954]

Here's a tip. Stop backing Derry to score goals.

[Real ale Madrid]

Here's a tip. Stop backing Derry to score goals.

LOL - yeah - but Limerick have played 4 home games this year - 3 have hit the 3 goal mark - the only exception being the Dundalk game that finished 1-1 - i think the 6/5 is fair enough and that game merits inclusion in the bet.

[nigel-harps1954]

0-0 it is then! ;)

[Real ale Madrid]

0-0 it is then! ;)

at 0-2 at half time - I thought that one was in the bag! Sligo / Bohs was no good so it didn't matter anyway - another one bites the dust!

[nigel-harps1954]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Uz1Jwyxd4tE

[Real ale Madrid]

Bad case of the Monday blues:


Bray Wanderers v Shamrock Rovers EVENS 0-3
Dundalk v Galway United 8/13 3-0
Sligo Rovers v Bohemians 5/4 0-0
Limerick v Derry City 6/5 0-2

But Friday brings renewed sense of hopeless optimism

Week 6

Bank €50

+2.5 goals acca (b365)

St Patricks Athletic v Sligo Rovers 23/20
Limerick v Shamrock Rovers Evens
Athlone Town v Waterford United 43/40
UCD v Cobh Ramblers 4/5

Accumulator returns €160.60 (€15.06/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

St Patricks Athletic v Sligo Rovers 23/20 3-0
Limerick v Shamrock Rovers Evens 1-1
Athlone Town v Waterford United 43/40 1-0
UCD v Cobh Ramblers 4/5 1-1

Week 7

Bank €40

+2.5 goals acca (b365)

Cabinteely v Finn Harps 27/20
Waterford v Wexford Yths 21/20
Dundalk v Bray 4/9
Bohemians v Cork City 7/5

Accumulator returns €167.00 (15.70 / 1 )

[Real ale Madrid]

Cabinteely v Finn Harps 27/20 1-1
Waterford v Wexford Yths 21/20 1-4
Dundalk v Bray 4/9 8-1
Bohemians v Cork City 7/5 1-1

Week 8

Bank €30

+2.5 goals acca (Lads)

Wexford v Cobh 3/5
Longford v Dundalk 5/6
Drogheda v Bray 10/11
Derry v Galway 11/10

Accumulator returns €117.60 (10.76/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Wexford v Cobh 3/5 1-0
Longford v Dundalk 5/6 0-2
Drogheda v Bray 10/11 4-2
Derry v Galway 11/10 0-2


Week 9

Bank €20

+2.5 acca (b365)

Dundalk v Derry City 17/20
Galway United v Bohemians 43/40
Waterford United v Cabinteely 21/20
UCD v Wexford Youths 43/40

Accumulator returns €163.20 (15.32/1)

[nigel-harps1954]

Waterford v cabo to let you down there, I'd almost bet your house on less than 2.5.

[Real ale Madrid]

Waterford v cabo to let you down there, I'd almost bet your house on less than 2.5.

2-1 at half time. First night Roderick effect

[Real ale Madrid]

Dundalk v Derry City 17/20 1-0
Galway United v Bohemians 43/40 5-3
Waterford United v Cabinteely 21/20 3-1
UCD v Wexford Youths 43/40 4-1



T'was the night to do it. Was full sure Dundalk would hammer Derry :(

[nigel-harps1954]

2-1 at half time. First night Roderick effect

I obviously meant to say Dundalk v Derry.

[Real ale Madrid]

Week 10

Last throw of the dice after a holiday and the break for the cup.

Bank €10

+2.5 acca (Lads )

Galway United v Cork City 20/21
Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers 5/4
UCD v Cabinteely 4/7
Wexford Youths v Shelbourne 17/20

Accumulator Returns €127.71 (11.71/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Proof that a stopped clock is right twice a day.

GET IN!

[Real ale Madrid]

Galway United v Cork City 20/21 1-3
Shamrock Rovers v Sligo Rovers 5/4 4-1
UCD v Cabinteely 4/7 6-1
Wexford Youths v Shelbourne 17/20 2-2


Week 11

So a success means I keep going.

Bank €127.71

+2.5 accs (Lads)

Cabinteely v Athlone Town 7/10
Longford Town v Galway United 10/11
Shelbourne v Cobh Ramblers 17/20
Sligo Rovers v Dundalk 9/10

€10 Accumulator Returns 114.00 (10.40 / 1 )

[Real ale Madrid]

Cabinteely v Athlone Town 7/10 2-0
Longford Town v Galway United 10/11 0-1
Shelbourne v Cobh Ramblers 17/20 1-1
Sligo Rovers v Dundalk 9/10 1-2


Week 12

Bank €117.71

+2.5 acca B365

Galway United v Shamrock Rovers Evens
Cabinteely v Wexford Youths 7/10
St. Patrick's Ath. v Limerick 17/20
Bray Wanderers v Sligo Rovers Evens

€10 accumulator returns €125.80 (11.58/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Galway United v Shamrock Rovers Evens 1-2
Cabinteely v Wexford Youths 7/10 2-3
St. Patrick's Ath. v Limerick 17/20 3-0
Bray Wanderers v Sligo Rovers Evens 1-0
)

Was 3/3 Friday night - let down on Saturday. Gave me a chance to lay the tenner at least!

Week 13

Bank €107.71

+2.5 acca Lads

Drogheda United v Dundalk 2/3
Wexford Youths v Waterford United 3/4
Longford Town v Bohemians 23/20
Sligo Rovers v Galway United Evens

€10 accumulator returns €125.42 (11.54/1)

[bennocelt]

shud win, im not on you tonight, good luck:)

[Real ale Madrid]

Sligo / Galway 1-1 after 16mins and no more goals :(

[Real ale Madrid]

Drogheda United v Dundalk 2/3 1-2
Wexford Youths v Waterford United 3/4 4-0
Longford Town v Bohemians 23/20 2-1
Sligo Rovers v Galway United Evens 1-1


1 poxy goal away.

Week 14

Bank 97.71

Limerick v Galway 5/6
Sligo Rovers v Longford Town 21/20
Bray v Derry 11/10
Cobh v Wexford 2/3

10 accumulator returns 131.54 (12.15/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Limerick v Galway 5/6 2-4
Sligo Rovers v Longford Town 21/20 3-2
Bray v Derry 11/10 1-0
Cobh v Wexford 2/3 0-3


No bet last week as only 6 games and not enough to bet on - full set of fixtures this week but by coincidence all 4 selected games are on tonight.

Week 15

Bank 87.71

+2.5 acca Lads

Galway United v Bray Wanderers 4/5
Sligo Rovers v St. Patricks Athletic 17/20
Waterford United v Shelbourne 10/11
Athlone Town v Wexford Youths 8/11

€10 accumulator returns €109.81 (9.98/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Galway United v Bray Wanderers 4/5 0-1
Sligo Rovers v St. Patricks Athletic 17/20 0-3
Waterford United v Shelbourne 10/11 1-2
Athlone Town v Wexford Youths 8/11 3-1


3 from 4 AGAIN :(

Week 16

Bank 77.71

+2.5 acca Lads

Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers 19/20
Cork City v Bohemians 20/21
Shelbourne v Wexford Youths 3/4
Waterford United v Cobh Ramblers 20/21

10 accumulator returns 130.00 (12.00/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers 19/20 0-1
Cork City v Bohemians 20/21 4-0
Shelbourne v Wexford Youths 3/4 0-0
Waterford United v Cobh Ramblers 20/21 1-3


Week 17

Bank €67.71

+2.5 acca Lads.

Shamrock Rovers v St. Patricks Ath :) 5/4
Athlone Town v Cabinteely 4/6
Sligo Rovers v Cork City 17/20
Limerick v Bohemians 8/11

€10 accumulator Returs €119.83 (10.98/1)

[nigel-harps1954]

Joined you on this one this week, done

UCD v Waterford 4/7
Bray v Drogheda 11/10
Limerick v Bohs 8/11
Cobh v Shelbourne 5/6

€4 for €41.80 returns

[Real ale Madrid]

GL Nigel.

[nigel-harps1954]

F**k Bray and f**k Drogheda.

[Real ale Madrid]

Shamrock Rovers v St. Patricks Ath :) 5/4 0-2
Athlone Town v Cabinteely 4/6 0-1
Sligo Rovers v Cork City 17/20 0-2
Limerick v Bohemians 8/11 3-4


Week 18

Galway v Drogheda 8/11
Limerick v Longford 8/13
Sligo v Derry City 11/10
UCD v Athlone 4/7

€10 acca returns €92.08 with PP (8/1)

Odds less than the 10/1 limit tonight as I think the top 4 games will be tight and Bray are the 1-0 specialists.

[Real ale Madrid]

Galway v Drogheda 8/11 1-1
Limerick v Longford 8/13 3-3
Sligo v Derry City 11/10 1-0
UCD v Athlone 4/7 3-1


Week 19

Bank €47.71

+2.5 acca PP

Bohemians v Dundalk 5/6
Drogheda United / Limerick 4/6
Shelbourne v UCD 4/5
Waterford United v Wexford Youths 4/6

€10 accumulator returns €92.01 (8.2/1)

Short odds across the board this week.

[Real ale Madrid]

Winner winner chicken dinner!

[TheBoss]

Winner winner chicken dinner!

https://media.giphy.com/media/itDBteCsTFSVO/giphy.gif

[Real ale Madrid]

Bohemians v Dundalk 5/6 2-2
Drogheda United / Limerick 4/6 1-4
Shelbourne v UCD 4/5 2-1
Waterford United v Wexford Youths 4/6 2-3
.

Week 20

Bank 129.72

Bray Wanderers v Cork City 10/11
Derry City v Drogheda United 11/10
Athlone Town v UCD 4/6
Finn Harps v Waterford United 5/6

10 accumulator returns 122.50 (11.25/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Bray Wanderers v Cork City 10/11 0-0
Derry City v Drogheda United 11/10 0-2
Athlone Town v UCD 4/6 2-2
Finn Harps v Waterford United 5/6 0-0


Week 21

Bank €119.72

+2.5 acc with PP

Bohemians v Longford Town Evens
Athlone Town v Shelbourne 4/6
Waterford United v Cabinteely 4/5
Cobh Ramblers v Finn Harps 8/11

€10 accumulator returns €103.64 (9.36 /1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Bohemians v Longford Town Evens 1-1
Athlone Town v Shelbourne 4/6 2-1
Waterford United v Cabinteely 4/5 1-0
Cobh Ramblers v Finn Harps 8/11 0-1


Week 22

Bank €109.72

+2.5 acc with PP

Drogheda United v Bohemians 5/6
Longford Town v St. Patricks Ath 4/5
Finn Harps v UCD 10/11
Wexford Youths v Athlone Town 8/13

€10 accumulator returns €101.77 (9.17 /1)

[nigel-harps1954]

Cash out!! Cash out!!

[Real ale Madrid]

Cash out!! Cash out!!

God I hate that Ray Winston "Cash aauhtttt!!!!"

[nigel-harps1954]

I hope you didn't cash out. That would have been silly.

At least you're guaranteed profit for the year now!

[Real ale Madrid]

I hope you didn't cash out. That would have been silly.

At least you're guaranteed profit for the year now!

Any more wins now and i'll be changing my username to "the prophet of profit" or something obnoxious like that.

[Real ale Madrid]

Drogheda United v Bohemians 5/6 2-2
Longford Town v St. Patricks Ath 4/5 0-3
Finn Harps v UCD 10/11 3-0
Wexford Youths v Athlone Town 8/13 3-0
:)

Penultimate Bet for 2015

Week 23

Bank €201.49

+2.5 acc PP

Bohemians v St. Patricks Ath 5/6
Drogheda United v Cork City 4/5
Galway v Limerick 4/9
Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk 11/10

€10 returns 100.10 (9/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Bohemians v St. Patricks Ath 5/6 2-0
Drogheda United v Cork City 4/5 1-1
Galway v Limerick 4/9 1-3
Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk 11/10 1-1


Last bet as there is only 7 games per week after this generally

Week 24

Bank €191.49
As there is nothing left to play for in Div 1 - I'm going for those 4 games. Relax now lads and just have a game of ball!

Cabinteely v Athlone Town 4/5
Finn Haprs v Wexford Youths 4/5
Shelbourne v Cobh Ramblers 4/6
Waterford United v UCD 4/6

€10 accumulator returns €90.00 (8/1)

[Real ale Madrid]

Cabinteely v Athlone Town 4/5 1-2
Finn Haprs v Wexford Youths 4/5 4-1
Shelbourne v Cobh Ramblers 4/6 2-0
Waterford United v UCD 4/6 0-1


Final Totals.
Bets: 24
Wins: 3
Strike Rate: 12.5%
Final Profit: €81.49

[Dodge]

fair play

[osarusan]

Interesting scrolling down through the thread from start to finish in 10 mins.

Fair play for coming out with a profit at the end of it all.

How does it compare to other, 'regular' bets on your part?