LOI round 10

[eL Bettor]

Hills with the early odds again..

Premier odds:
http://odds-comparison.bestbetting.com/football/european-leagues/rep--of-ireland/eircom-premier-division/matches/

Div 1 odds:
http://odds-comparison.bestbetting.com/football/european-leagues/rep--of-ireland/eircom-first-division/matches/

[Raheny Red]

The Shels game has been moved to Friday now.

[Rovers fan]

Lay into cork to beat us. We're down to the bare bones,will struggle to field 11 senior players.

[brianw82]

I'd back up Rovers fan on that one. Won't be doing it myself as going against the Rovers is just a no-go, but for anyone else, plough on. Cork are motoring under Doolin, as painful as that is to admit. :)

Shels' price away to Harps looks decent too. I'll probably double something up with Bohs.

[Raheny Red]

I've just had a treble on with Hills - 0.5 pts

Shels win @ 8/11
Fingal ht/ft @ 8/11
Cork win @ 8/15

Treble is just a shade bigger than 7/2 - 4.57.

All 3 should come in. That's my only LoI bet for next week unless we see something tasty on the Kildare Wexford game but I highly doubt it.

[Schumi]

I'd be wary of backing Shels away to Harps after seeing our game up there earlier in the season. Harps strike me as a team who'll be much better at home than away.

[brianw82]

Just did out my little predictor and the ones that come up as the strongest wins this week are UCD, Fingal, Waterford at home, and Derry and Wexford away.

I don't think there'll be any value on individual win-draw-wins this week, even when Waterford and Wexford's odds come out, so it's looking like doubles all the way for me.

[Sam_Heggy]

I'd be wary of backing Shels away to Harps after seeing our game up there earlier in the season. Harps strike me as a team who'll be much better at home than away.

Don't be, we are pish

[eL Bettor]

Wexford are 4/9 with Hills and Boyles. I expected much much lower.

Wexford Ht Ft is EVS with both also.

[Raheny Red]

Wexford are 4/9 with Hills and Boyles. I expected much much lower.

Wexford Ht Ft is EVS with both also.

I was expecting, at most, 2/5.

I really want to get stuck into the HT FT but gonna hold off in case Kildare's new manager makes some signings. 5 or 6 half decent LSL players could hamper that bet.

[brianw82]

I was expecting, at most, 2/5.

I really want to get stuck into the HT FT but gonna hold off in case Kildare's new manager makes some signings. 5 or 6 half decent LSL players could hamper that bet.

Fair enough, considering Hill's ht/ft price generally doesn't change. Are they allowed sign players at this stage, thought?

[Raheny Red]

Fair enough, considering Hill's ht/ft price generally doesn't change. Are they allowed sign players at this stage, thought?

Just out of contract players I think.

As for the price changing with Hills, that is really change - especially for a firm of their size.

[Battery Rover]

Just out of contract players I think.

Only players that have not been contracted to any club this junior/ intermediate/senior club this season can be signed during May.
Players from junior and intermediate clubs (provided they are FAI affiliated) can be signed from the 1st of June provided they are being signed as amateurs. If they are being signed as professionals then they have to wait until 1st July

[Mr A]

Harps have Gethins suspended and Mukendi a major doubt. If Mukendi doesn't make it this is likely to be a stroll for Shels :(

[Longfordian]

Have Derry, Cork, Fingal and Shels in a four fold. So at least one of those won't win this weekend. I've also separately backed Wexford half time full time against Kildare at evens.

[Raheny Red]

Harps have Gethins suspended and Mukendi a major doubt. If Mukendi doesn't make it this is likely to be a stroll for Shels :(

We have only one fully fit defender.

[brianw82]

UCD -v- Longford Town

UCD should comfortably pick up the 3 points tomorrow against a poor Longford side. They were comfortably dispatched by Fingal last week, and I find it hard to see past another defeat for them. The talk on Longford's forum doesn't reflect positively on Alan Gough's regime, and I'm banking on that continuing to hamper their form. UCD scraped an injury time victory over Mervue last week, although we shouldn't read too much into that, considering Mervue gave fellow promotion hopefuls Shelbourne a hard time in Galway as well.

I am very, very tempted to go with the -1 handicap at 2.05 odds with Bet365, but the fact that Longford haven't had many heavy defeats forces me to go with the win-draw-win. Crap odds, but it builds up.

Backing UCD (Betfair) @ 1.33 - 2.5 pts

[brendy_éire]

Are Shels that safe a bet really? Finn Park is a lonely place to go? I'm avoiding it.

Against my head, I'm actaully going to back Derry this week. Bohs, Cork, us and Shams.
(on a side note, think about sticking Glentoran, Linfield, Manchester United and Liverpool into one of your bets. All those teams have to win this weekend. The IL ones are certs.)

[eL Bettor]

My bets:
Wexford @ 4/9, HT-Ft @ EVS, win both halves @ 2/1
Wexford 4 wins from 5, Kildare terrible, new manager or not, no need for further analysis.

Cork - 1(AH).
The odds on this have fallen from about 1.95 to 1.8 since I placed my bet on Wed morn so I dont know if its worth it any more.

Shels @ 1.93.
Despite the lack of optimism on this forum, I've backed Shels. Reading the Harps forum , none of their fans give themselves a hope. Conor Gethins suspended for Harps also.

Fingal v Limerick - under 2.5 @ 1.77
Limerick have 5 from the last 6 as unders. The only overs was vs Kildare. Fingal have 5 from 8 unders, 5/7 if discounting the Kildare annihilation. Limerick under Scully playing a very defensive game vs the stronger teams, the 2 goals they conceded to Waterford last week were supposedly offside and a hotly disputed penalty.

[TheBoss]

I would not like to bet in a game when a new manager comes along, the players always up their game, and I can see Kildare holding on at Halftime.
The Cork bet looks likely win, Sligo appear to be playing a few youth players with not much experience.
I can see Shels winning with a 2nd half winner.
According to the stats that you have provided, it is due to go against Limerick, thats 1 reason I would not back that.

[eL Bettor]

According to the stats that you have provided, it is due to go against Limerick, thats 1 reason I would not back that.

??? You mean Limerick are due an over 2.5 game?

[SkStu]

Cork City - Sligo Rovers
3Way - result
Pick: Cork City 1.50


Sporting Fingal - Limerick
3Way - result
Pick: Sporting Fingal 1.36


Kildare County - Wexford Youths
3Way - result
Pick: Wexford Youths 1.40


Glentoran - Cliftonville
3Way - result
Pick: Glentoran 1.50


Crusaders - Linfield
3Way - result
Pick: Linfield 1.75


Sunderland - Everton FC
3Way - result
Pick: Everton FC 2.70





20.24 Total odds
Stake per bet

202.42 EUR
Possible winnings

added Everton for a bit more value, i think thats the sort of game where theyre nailed on.

[Raheny Red]

Galway United v St Patrick's Athletic Both Teams To Score Yes @ 10/11 - I think this could be an open game and the possibility of both scoring could be a real threat.

Sporting Fingal v Limerick Half-Time/Full-Time Sporting Fingal / Sporting Fingal @ 10/11 - Fingal are flying along now and should win this one with ease. Full time -V- Part time surely the double result will be on the cards.

Finn Harps v Shelbourne No Finn Harps Goalscorer @ 6/5 - although Shels will have a makeshift defence tonight it’s hard to see Harps scoring tonight. They have scored 8 so far this season, 5 of them coming from Gethins who happens to be suspended tonight. Shels have played 9 games in all competitions so far, they’ve kept clean sheets in 6 of those. Harps not scoring looks good.

Drogheda United v Derry City To Win to Nil Derry City @ 7/5 - Derry should bounce back tonight. Drogheda have been hard to break down this season but they have a few players missing tonight. Drogs can barely score this season and they couldn’t score last week against Sligo even when they had 2 men sent off.

Cork City v Sligo Rovers To Score in Both Halves Cork City @ 17/10 - the value on a Cork win has dried up so we had to look for an alternative and this could be the one. Cork are moving along nicely now. Sligo travel down with a depleted squad with over 6 players missing. Cork scoring in both halves in a real possibility.

This is just a ‘fun’ acc @ 51/1 but I’m very confident I’ll get at least 3 up. 0.25 pts (Powers)

Also did an early treble last week with Hills:

Shels @ 8/11
Fingal HT?FT @ 8/11
Cork @ 8/15

0.5 pts @ 7/2 (Hills)

Finn Harps -V- Shelbourne

Shelbourne travel to the North-West with a mini defensive crisis with up to 3 decent defenders missing. However, Keely should be able to rejig the defence with minimal fuss. Harps will be missing their top scorer so they will find it hard to break down Shels’ back 4 either way. The away side should have enough in midfield and up front to destroy the dismal Donegal side, they are the only side to drop points to Kildare so far. Ballybofey would usually be a daunting place to visit in the hope of gaining 3 points but this won’t be the case tonight. The Finn Harps fans are fearful of a whipping tonight and that makes me even more confident. Rumours bouncing about that the Harps manager is sueing a loyal supporter and the fans have been calling for his head for quite some time now. Surely this will affect the players on the pitch also. There’s a real possibility that Shels could run riot tonight with a 3 or 4 nil scoreline. However, just medium stakes for me tonight due to Shels defence, otherwise it would be a max bet.

Backing Shels @ 1.9 (Betdaq) - 2pts.

[JC_GUFC]

Galway V St Pat's.

Galway are full strength for the first time this season with John Russell back in midfield and Sean Kelly back from being unavailable against Cork. Galway aren't on the best of runs with only 1 win in the last 7 but Pat's have been equally as bad, if not worse - losing 4 of their last 5 and lucky to beat Drogs at home. United hammered Pat's on the opening day and although I don't expect the same performance Pat's haven't improved much since and are missing Jason Gavin through suspension. I think United will definitely score and I'd make them favourites for this but will play it safe on the Draw no Bet market.

3pts United DnB @ 1.98 Betdaq (1.95 Bet365)

Rovers v Bray

Rovers playing very well at the moment with Gary Twigg on fire. Bray aren't on the best of form and although I think they're a lot better than people give them credit for I think they'll struggle in Tallaght.
Rovers are pretty short to win but you can back them at 6/4 to win with a clean sheet with Boyles which looks much more attractive. Can definitely see this finishing 1-0 or 2-0

2pts Rovers to win with a clean sheet @ 6/4 Boyles

Cork v Sligo

Will Sligo have a team?!? I'm guessing all the "doubts" will have to play but they're still pretty strechted at the back. Cork are playing very well and worth backing at Hackett's 4/7 and a double with 1/2 Bohs at home to Dundalk looks pretty safe.

3 pts Cork v Sligo @ 4/7 Hacketts

2pt double Cork @ 4/7, Bohs @ 1/2 - Hacketts.

I feel a bit like Jeremy Chapman in the Racing Post - throw money at every game and something's bound to click! :D

[brianw82]

UCD -v- Longford Town

UCD should comfortably pick up the 3 points tomorrow against a poor Longford side. They were comfortably dispatched by Fingal last week, and I find it hard to see past another defeat for them. The talk on Longford's forum doesn't reflect positively on Alan Gough's regime, and I'm banking on that continuing to hamper their form. UCD scraped an injury time victory over Mervue last week, although we shouldn't read too much into that, considering Mervue gave fellow promotion hopefuls Shelbourne a hard time in Galway as well.

I am very, very tempted to go with the -1 handicap at 2.05 odds with Bet365, but the fact that Longford haven't had many heavy defeats forces me to go with the win-draw-win. Crap odds, but it builds up.

Backing UCD (Betfair) @ 1.33 - 2.5 pts

Sweet. Sorry I didn't take the -1, but I'll take the winnings.

Fingal screwed over a lot of people last night, by the looks of things.

[bennocelt]

what! at odds of 1.33 - your having a laugh:p

[brianw82]

You're, not your.

They were in a fair few accies by the looks of things.

[bennocelt]

You're, not your.

They were in a fair few accies by the looks of things.

please!!!! typo man!!! (hangover too!):eek:

plus why put it in an accum? too short, too much of a risk
i once had a 1/8 shot mess up an accum!

[eL Bettor]

Anyone betting on any of today's div 1 games?
I'm on Wexford already.

[brianw82]

What are you going for, eL Bettor? Ht/ft, handicaps?

Looked at the Youths' team news and, although it's only Kildare, they have 9 players out injured. That, along with the possible new manager effect, is enough for me to stay away.

[JC_GUFC]

I've rolled over some of last night's winnings on to Waterford at 1.44.

I also think Athlone are a bet tonight - about evens on the exchanges - I backed them at 5/6 with Boyles thinking I wouldn't get any better! :(

[eL Bettor]

My bets:
Wexford @ 4/9, HT-Ft @ EVS, win both halves @ 2/1
Wexford 4 wins from 5, Kildare terrible, new manager or not, no need for further analysis.

Cork - 1(AH).
The odds on this have fallen from about 1.95 to 1.8 since I placed my bet on Wed morn so I dont know if its worth it any more.

Shels @ 1.93.
Despite the lack of optimism on this forum, I've backed Shels. Reading the Harps forum , none of their fans give themselves a hope. Conor Gethins suspended for Harps also.

Fingal v Limerick - under 2.5 @ 1.77
Limerick have 5 from the last 6 as unders. The only overs was vs Kildare. Fingal have 5 from 8 unders, 5/7 if discounting the Kildare annihilation. Limerick under Scully playing a very defensive game vs the stronger teams, the 2 goals they conceded to Waterford last week were supposedly offside and a hotly disputed penalty.

2 wins (counting Wexford bets as one), and 2 refunded stakes, not a bad weekend's betting though Harps-Shels game postponed was annoying to say the least!


Brianw: yes I saw the news of the Wexford injuries which made me a bit nervous as I had my bets on already in the week. Thats the risk you take by placing the bets early anyway. Had Wexford not had the injuries and/or Kildare not appointed a new manager then the odds on Wexford would have been much lower today.

[SkStu]

Cork City - Sligo Rovers
3Way - result
Pick: Cork City 1.50


Sporting Fingal - Limerick
3Way - result
Pick: Sporting Fingal 1.36


Kildare County - Wexford Youths
3Way - result
Pick: Wexford Youths 1.40


Glentoran - Cliftonville
3Way - result
Pick: Glentoran 1.50


Crusaders - Linfield
3Way - result
Pick: Linfield 1.75


Sunderland - Everton FC
3Way - result
Pick: Everton FC 2.70





20.24 Total odds
Stake per bet

202.42 EUR
Possible winnings

added Everton for a bit more value, i think thats the sort of game where theyre nailed on.


just Fingal :mad:

[bennocelt]

thats why accums are a waste of time really:)
unlucky

[TheBoss]

I think Doubles are worth doing rather than 4/5 teams. You can still get good value with Doubles.

[bennocelt]

yeah i agree
i mean the ammount of effort that goes into a biggish accum!!!! If i was on the dole and all maybe :p

[KR's Post]

Pats let me down other night in accum. had Bray 6-1, derry, bohs and shels. And pats 17-10.