Paddy Garcia
07/04/2009, 9:12 PM
"Basketball's Halftime Advantage
Not surprisingly, the basketball team in the lead early in a game wins over 2/3 of the time, and the further a team is ahead, the more likely it is to win. Every 2 points better a team is doing relative to its opponent at halftime increases its probability of winning by 8%. But an analysis of 6,572 NCAA basketball games recently published by two Wharton School professors shows that this relationship changes significantly when one team is only slightly behind the other. Teams losing by 1 point at halftime end up winning more often than teams winning by 1 point. The study's authors surmise that players (and employees) are motivated to work harder and perform better when they're just shy of a goal."
http://qbox.wharton.upenn.edu/documents/mktg/research/Losing_and_Winning.pdf
OK, I know its a long shot posting this, nonetheless so true for us. I thought it was just us - as opposed to a scientfiic phenomena.
I've seen quite a few comments about the difference in our performance against Bulgaria and against Italy. I've also seen us sit back on leads over the years, time & time again, only to give up victory. Sometimes when we score early I feel sick in the knowledge that we will be living on a knife edge for the next XX minutes, inviting the opposition to have a go as we protect what we have. We have to learn to kill teams off - even from a scientific perspective!
If we score one goal, then we should have a tactic which requires us to go ALL OUT for a second. Especially if its in the first half. Trapp please take note.
I was gonna call this "Better from the Front or Behind ?" - but thought better of it.
Not surprisingly, the basketball team in the lead early in a game wins over 2/3 of the time, and the further a team is ahead, the more likely it is to win. Every 2 points better a team is doing relative to its opponent at halftime increases its probability of winning by 8%. But an analysis of 6,572 NCAA basketball games recently published by two Wharton School professors shows that this relationship changes significantly when one team is only slightly behind the other. Teams losing by 1 point at halftime end up winning more often than teams winning by 1 point. The study's authors surmise that players (and employees) are motivated to work harder and perform better when they're just shy of a goal."
http://qbox.wharton.upenn.edu/documents/mktg/research/Losing_and_Winning.pdf
OK, I know its a long shot posting this, nonetheless so true for us. I thought it was just us - as opposed to a scientfiic phenomena.
I've seen quite a few comments about the difference in our performance against Bulgaria and against Italy. I've also seen us sit back on leads over the years, time & time again, only to give up victory. Sometimes when we score early I feel sick in the knowledge that we will be living on a knife edge for the next XX minutes, inviting the opposition to have a go as we protect what we have. We have to learn to kill teams off - even from a scientific perspective!
If we score one goal, then we should have a tactic which requires us to go ALL OUT for a second. Especially if its in the first half. Trapp please take note.
I was gonna call this "Better from the Front or Behind ?" - but thought better of it.